LONG TERM
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 209 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024

To make an Olympics analogy, the long term is taking the baton from the short term and continuing the heating race. The ridge to our west builds east, fortunately with the ridge axis to our north where the greatest heating will be. The Texas Panhandle is actually forecast to be hotter than the Permian Basin next week so the heat here could be worse. However Highs in the upper 90s to low 100s will still be hot with some locations in the river valleys nearing Heat Advisory criteria so this will need to be monitored. The heat peaks Wed/Thu before a trough moving across the northern Plains and Great Lakes weakens the ridge over Texas and causes it to retrograde back west. We could see a front move into the area at that time, but for now will only count on lower heights aloft allowing for a few degrees of cooling and keep the rain chances to the mountains.

Hennig

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 617 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2024

VFR conditions and light southeast winds will continue. A line of SHRA has developed between INK and MAF but is expected to dissipate in the next hour or two and not impact flying operations at the local TAF sites.

Hennig

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 96 71 98 73 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 96 71 100 72 / 10 10 10 0 Dryden 94 71 96 73 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 95 70 98 71 / 10 10 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 88 68 91 70 / 20 10 20 10 Hobbs 93 68 97 69 / 10 10 0 0 Marfa 90 63 92 64 / 20 10 20 10 Midland Intl Airport 93 71 96 72 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 93 71 96 73 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 96 73 100 74 / 10 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
NM...None.