Sunrise 6:14 AM   Sunset 7:40 PM Moonrise 2:03 PM   Moonset 2:05 AM

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PMZ021 Southern Gulf Of California- 256 Pm Pdt Thu May 16 2024
Tonight - NW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 16 seconds. Fri - NW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 17 seconds. Fri night - W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 17 seconds. Sat - Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 18 seconds. Sat night - Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft in S swell. Period 14 seconds. Sun - W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. Sun night - W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 13 seconds. Mon - SW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S swell. Period 13 seconds. Mon night - Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S swell. Period 13 seconds. Tue - Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft in S swell. Period 13 seconds. Tue night - W to nw winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 13 seconds.

PMZ005
No data

FXUS64 KMAF 170842 AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 342 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 227 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

Temperatures are starting off well below normal this morning following the severe storms that moved through yesterday.
Unfortunately, it won't last much past today.

An upper trough will cross overhead today keeping mid level heights and temperatures lower even with a weak downslope component to the flow. Highs will top out in the 80s for most locations with 90s along the Rio Grande. A weak disturbance will round the base of the upper trough helping to generate a few showers and storms along and south of the I-10 corridor. Widespread severe weather is not expected, but some gusty winds and small hail will be possible with these storms.

Temperatures return closer to normal tonight as winds return to the south. Mid level ridging quickly builds over the area Saturday as surface winds become more westerly. Even with the recent rain, temperatures will respond by climbing to the hottest temperatures we have seen so far this year. Widespread upper 90s are likely across much of the Permian Basin with 100s along the Pecos and Rio Grande Rivers. And Saturday is the "cooler" day of the weekend...

LONG TERM
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 227 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

Unfortunately, our first hundred degree day in Midland is likely coming this weekend. Upper level ridging builds in with a thermal ridge axis setting up over West Texas and Southeast New Mexico, while strong southerly surface flow helps usher in warmer weather.
Sunny skies and 850mb temps around 32-35C support highs in the 100s for most by Sunday, with 105+ along the Trans Pecos and 110+ for the Rio Grande. Don't expect much of a reprieve overnight as strong southerly winds maintain lows in the upper 60s to low 70s before highs soar back above 100 degrees again Monday afternoon. An approaching upper level trough early Tuesday will tighten the gradient, and warm downsloping winds may continue the well-above- normal temperatures for one more day. Things cool down a bit Wednesday as the trough passes to the north, but we'll be right back to above-normal by the end of the week. If the early summer heat wasn't bad enough, precipitation chances are practically nonexistent in the long term.

-Zuber

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1214 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

VFR will prevail through the period with light winds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 84 61 98 68 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 87 61 98 64 / 10 0 0 0 Dryden 91 64 100 71 / 20 10 0 0 Fort Stockton 89 65 100 68 / 10 10 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 79 63 89 67 / 10 0 0 0 Hobbs 83 59 95 62 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 85 52 93 55 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 84 62 98 69 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 84 63 98 70 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 89 61 101 66 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
NM...None.

Topolobampo
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Fri -- 01:06 AM MST     0.39 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 02:05 AM MST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:29 AM MST     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:21 AM MST     0.64 meters High Tide
Fri -- 12:30 PM MST     0.21 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 02:02 PM MST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:56 PM MST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:05 PM MST     0.96 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Topolobampo, Sinaloa, Mexico, Tide feet

Yavaros
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Fri -- 01:27 AM MST     0.45 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 02:07 AM MST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:29 AM MST     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:25 AM MST     0.70 meters High Tide
Fri -- 12:30 PM MST     0.23 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 02:04 PM MST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:59 PM MST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:15 PM MST     0.97 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Yavaros, Sonora, Mexico, Tide feet

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