Sunrise 6:49 AM   Sunset 8:03 PM Moonrise 2:49 AM   Moonset 2:33 PM

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GMZ130 Laguna Madre From The Port Of Brownsville To The Arroyo Colorado- Laguna Madre From The Arroyo Colorado To 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield Tx- Laguna Madre From 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield To Baffin Bay Tx- 902 Am Cdt Fri May 3 2024
Rest of today - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots this afternoon. Light chop on the bay becoming a moderate chop this afternoon. Patchy fog late this morning. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this morning. Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. A moderate chop on the bay becoming light chop after midnight. Saturday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. A moderate chop on the bay becoming choppy in the afternoon. Saturday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Choppy on the bay becoming a moderate chop after midnight. Sunday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. A moderate chop on the bay becoming choppy in the afternoon. Sunday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Choppy on the bay. Monday - Southeast winds around 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay. Monday night - Southeast winds around 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay. Tuesday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay. Tuesday night - Southeast winds around 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ100 902 Am Cdt Fri May 3 2024
Synopsis - Moderate to fresh southeast winds and moderate to sometimes high seas will prevail along the lower texas coast through the forecast.

FXUS64 KBRO 031750 AAB AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1250 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 357 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

A 500 mb disturbance will approach the western portion of CWA this afternoon. At the surface, the southern extension of the Texas dryline will likely lie just to the west of the area today, extending south into Mexico along the Sierra Madre Oriental range.
The combination of a very moist low-level airmass, daytime heating and mid to upper level energy will support the develop of convection over neighboring Mexico. Forecast soundings from along the Rio Grande River suggest SBCAPE values of 2500-4000 J/kg late this afternoon. The isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may drift into Zapata, Starr, and Jim Hogg counties later this afternoon and evening. SPC has placed the County Warning Area in a general thunderstorm risk area, generally along and east of US 281/I-69C, with the portions of the Rio Grand Plains and the Upper Valley in a marginal thunderstorm risk for today and tonight. Large hail and locally damaging wind gusts will be the main threats. There is a low chance that these stronger supercells will move into the western portions of the CWA this afternoon and evening. SPC has all of Deep South Texas outlined in a general thunderstorm risk for Saturday.

Otherwise, increasing low level moisture and light winds this morning may support patchy light fog, mainly across the Northern Ranchlands and near/over marine areas.

Additionally, above normal temperatures will continue through the short-term with highs generally ranging from the low to mid 90s, except for the 80s near the coast, today and Saturday. Overnight temperatures will be warm with lows in the mid to upper 70s, which is a blend of the NBM/CONSShort. Southeast winds will remain moderate to breezy.

Elevated seas will result in a Moderate Risk of rip currents at the local beaches today through Saturday.

LONG TERM
(Saturday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 357 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

Increasing and prolonged heat will be the main concern during this portion of the total forecast. Steadily rising daytime highs will occur throughout the period, with well above normal values likely in the Tuesday through Thursday time frame. Temperatures will near established HEAT ADVISORY criteria on Tuesday, and may reach or surpass the threshold for Wednesday and Thursday as a dryline nudges into the BRO CWFA from the west.

Additionally, an enhanced pressure gradient will produce a breezy to windy onshore flow, providing some measure of relief from the heat, especially in shaded areas. However, the strength of the wind will not near or exceed established WIND ADVISORY criteria.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

TAF conditions are VFR at the sites as low clouds have scattered out. Still have ceilings above 3 kft, however. High pressure controls the Gulf, with lower pressure to the west, sustaining the seasonal moderate southeast winds across the region. A few storms could be possible upstream toward Laredo this evening, but the lower and even mid RGV, including the TAF sites, should avoid convection. A familiar pattern will occur this evening as ceilings lower to MVFR overnight through Saturday morning. Southeast winds will decrease to light overnight, strengthening to moderate and breezy on Saturday. Light, patchy fog could develop at the TAF sites overnight, but visibility limitations should be no worse than MVFR ceilings.

MARINE
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 357 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

Moderate to fresh southeast winds and moderate to sometimes marginally high seas will prevail along the lower Texas Coast through the period. Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions will be likely for portions or all of the lower Texas coastal waters through Saturday.

(Saturday Night through Thursday)
An enhanced pressure gradient will exist over the western Gulf of Mexico throughout the period. Breezy to strong winds and moderate to rough seas will prevail along the Lower Texas Coast, with both Small Craft Exercise Caution and Small Craft Advisory likely to be needed.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 90 76 89 76 / 20 10 0 0 HARLINGEN 91 74 91 75 / 20 10 0 0 MCALLEN 93 77 93 77 / 20 10 0 10 RIO GRANDE CITY 93 76 93 76 / 20 20 0 10 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 82 77 81 77 / 20 10 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 87 74 86 75 / 20 10 0 0

BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.

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Padre Island (South)
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:49 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:11 AM CDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:04 PM CDT     1.45 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:33 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:09 PM CDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:01 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:55 PM CDT     1.18 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Padre Island (South), Texas, Tide feet

Matamoros
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:51 AM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:49 AM CST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:51 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:42 PM CST     1.08 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:34 PM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 06:31 PM CST     0.56 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:02 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 11:58 PM CST     0.88 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Matamoros, Tamaulipas, Mexico, Tide feet

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Brownsville, TX,