Sunrise 6:43 AM   Sunset 7:53 PM Moonrise 10:45 PM   Moonset 8:05 AM

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AMZ610 Lake Okeechobee- 1000 Pm Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
Rest of tonight - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Lake waters a moderate chop. Sat - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Lake waters a moderate chop. Sat night - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Lake waters choppy. Sun - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Lake waters a moderate chop. Sun night through Mon night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Lake waters a moderate chop. Tue through Wed night - E se winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Lake waters a light chop.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
Synopsis -
as a strong area of high pressure continues to build south towards the region, easterly wind flow will continue to increase tonight and into the upcoming weekend. This will result in hazardous marine conditions across the local waters during this time frame. The highest winds and seas will occur over the atlantic waters.
gulf stream hazards: easterly winds increasing to 20 to 25 knots with gusts to 30 kts on Saturday, seas increasing to 5 to 8 ft by Saturday.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of apr 25, 2024 at 12 utc - .
33 nautical miles northeast of port everglades. 15 nautical miles southeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMLB 270203 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1003 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE, PREVIOUS DISCUSSION

UPDATE
Issued at 1003 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

High pressure (1033mb) continues to build across the eastern seaboard and over the western Atlantic with onshore flow across east central Florida. Current satellite imagery shows few to scattered low and high clouds, mainly across Volusia and northern Brevard counties with mostly clear skies elsewhere. The dry weather will continue into the overnight hours with the exception of isolated light showers offshore, as well as non-mentionable PoPs at 10-14% along the Volusia and northern Brevard county coast into the early morning hours Saturday. The seasonable temperatures will continue with overnight lows on track to reach the low 60s to near 70 degrees under partly cloudy skies. East winds at 5-10 mph are expected inland with speeds at 10-15 mph and gusts up to 20-25mph, mainly along the Brevard county coast and areas south.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 1003 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

VFR conditions are forecast with high pressure in place over the region. East winds at 5-10mph are forecast at KLEE, KISM, KMCO, KSFB, KDAB overnight with breezy east winds at 10-12kts gusting up to 18-20kts at KMLB, KVRB, KFPR, and KSUA, before increasing at all TAF sites into the mid morning hours with gusts to 22-26kts.

MARINE
Issued at 1003 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Currently-Tonight... Boating conditions are forecast to become poor into the overnight hours with east winds increasing to 15-20kts across the local Atlantic waters. Seas are forecast to increase up to 3-5ft into early Saturday morning. Isolated showers are forecast over the Volusia and Brevard county waters into Saturday morning.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 306 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Current-Saturday... Upper level ridge over the eastern CONUS will remain over the region, while slowly shifting eastward towards the seaboard through the period. Surface high pressure across the eastern seaboard, extending across the Florida peninsula into the GOMEX, will persist. Locally, the pressure gradient will tighten, allowing for breezy and gusty onshore flow of 10-15 mph with gusts up to 20-25 mph possible to continue through this afternoon and once again on Saturday. Winds will decrease to 5- 10 mph tonight, with gusts around 15 mph possible along the coast. Low level moisture will increase through the rest of today and into Saturday, with PW values today around 1.2" increasing to around 1.4" Saturday. Mostly sunny skies today will become partly cloudy on Saturday as the moisture increases. While most areas will remain dry through Saturday, guidance is indicating isolated light showers and sprinkles will continue to be possible this afternoon and into Saturday across the Atlantic waters. Some of this activity could make it to the coast, mainly from Cape Canaveral northward. Thus, have included mention of isolated very light showers (PoP 10-14 percent) possible across the Volusia and northern Brevard coasts through Saturday. Seasonable temperatures will continue, with afternoon highs today and Saturday in the low to mid 80s. Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 60s.

Sunday... A 1025 hPa high pressure center just off of the Carolinas will continue to deliver east/onshore breezes to the state. Aloft, ridging will continue to reside across the Eastern U.S. This will keep tranquil conditions prevalent. Just enough moisture could traverse from the Atlantic to produce a quick shower or sprinkle along the coast. Otherwise, it will be partly sunny, breezy, and mild with upper 70s to mid 80s (coolest along the coast), falling to the 60s in most areas Sunday night.

Monday-Friday (previous discussion)...The upper ridging begins to break down and shift off of the Atlc Seaboard into the western Atlc.
Initial surface high pressure off of the Carolinas will also continue to weaken through mid-week, while gradually shifting southward, then further seaward by the end of the work-week. The onshore surface flow stays mostly intact, with winds gradually veering a bit more SE/S, though the pressure gradient will slowly weaken during this time. Continue to keep conditions over land dry.
Again, overall (low) coverage potential at the moment, keeping mention of a sprinkle/brief light shower along the coast out of the grids/zones. A warming trend will ensue, with L80s at the immediate coast, perhaps some M80s here by Thu/Fri, and M-U80s into the interior - perhaps some readings near 90F or just above into the interior Wed-Fri. Overnight lows remain consistent and in the 60s areawide.

MARINE
Issued at 306 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Current-Tonight... Deteoriating boating conditions into tonight.
Easterly winds of 10-15 KT this afternoon, with occasional gusts to 20-25 KT possible will increase into tonight, becoming 15-20 KT overnight before becoming 20-25 KT with higher gusts Saturday. Seas 2-3ft today will increase to 4-5ft in the nearshore waters and 5-6ft in the offshore waters tonight, and 5-7ft on Saturday. Small craft will need to exercise caution across all the waters tonight except nearshore Volusia. Small Craft Advisory is now in effect for all the offshore waters starting 14Z Saturday, expanding to all the waters at 20 Z. Mostly dry conditions through the period, however local guidance is indicating isolated light showers/sprinkles will be possible through Saturday, mainly from Cape Canaveral northward as the low level moisture increases over the area.

Sunday-Tuesday (Previous discussion, modified)...Still looking at less-than-favorable boating conditions going late into the weekend.
High pressure along the Eastern Seaboard gradually weakens during this time, while sliding southward to become centered off of the Carolinas. ERLY winds slightly decrease to 15-20 kts on Sun-Sun night, and mainly 10-16 kts Mon-Tue while veering more SERLY early in the week. 5-7 FT seas early Sunday will gradually / slowly subside Sun afternoon-Tue. While conditions will remain mostly dry, cannot rule out ISOLD sprinkle/shower activity throughout this period.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 306 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Saturday-Tuesday (Previous discussion modified)...Still looking at less- than-favorable boating conditions going late into the weekend. High pressure along the Eastern Seaboard gradually weakens during this time, while sliding southward to become centered off of the Carolinas. ERLY winds slightly decrease to 15-20 kts on Sun-Sun night, and mainly 10-16 kts Mon-Tue while veering more SERLY early in the week. 5-7 FT seas early Sunday will gradually / slowly subside Sun afternoon-Tue. While conditions will remain mostly dry, cannot rule out ISOLD sprinkle/shower activity throughout this period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 66 79 66 79 / 10 10 0 0 MCO 65 82 67 82 / 0 10 0 0 MLB 69 80 67 79 / 10 10 0 0 VRB 67 81 65 81 / 0 10 0 0 LEE 66 82 65 82 / 0 10 0 0 SFB 65 81 65 81 / 10 10 0 0 ORL 66 82 67 82 / 0 10 0 0 FPR 66 81 65 80 / 0 10 0 10

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM Saturday to 4 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ550-552-555.

Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM Saturday to 4 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ570-572-575.

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Boy Scout Dock
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:25 AM EDT     2.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:05 AM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 12:19 PM EDT     2.05 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:15 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Boy Scout Dock, Loxahatchee River, Florida, Tide feet

Southwest Fork (spillway)
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:15 AM EDT     2.11 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:53 AM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 12:10 PM EDT     1.90 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:03 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Southwest Fork (spillway), Loxahatchee River, Florida, Tide feet

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