Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Alva, FL
March 19, 2024 5:00 AM EDT (09:00 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:31 AM Sunset 7:40 PM Moonrise 1:53 PM Moonset 3:24 AM |
GMZ836 Charlotte Harbor And Pine Island Sound- 350 Am Edt Tue Mar 19 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 am edt this morning - .
Today - North winds around 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots, becoming northeast around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of showers early this morning.
Tonight - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Wednesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Wednesday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Thursday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Thursday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Friday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters choppy. Showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Saturday - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 350 Am Edt Tue Mar 19 2024
Synopsis - A small craft advisory remains in effect through the first half of today before winds and seas slowly diminish. No further headlines are expected through Thursday, then an approaching storm system will bring showers and Thunderstorms to the region on Friday, along with increasing winds and seas.
Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
  (hide/show)  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KTBW 190749 AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 349 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
DISCUSSION
A cold front remains draped across the Florida peninsula early this morning and will continue to drift southward, with cooler and drier air moving over the region. Some showers continue over mainly Lee County, but those will gradually come to an end over the next couple of hours. High pressure will then quickly build in over the southeast, allowing skies to clear for the day, though temperatures this afternoon will only top out in the mid 60s north to mid 70s south. Lows tonight will be rather cool, with 40s and 50s expected area-wide, then we can expect temps tomorrow afternoon a few degrees warmer than today. Overall, a pleasantly cool couple of days ahead.
For Thursday, surface high pressure will shift over the Atlantic as heights build in response to a shortwave moving into Texas. For the local area, this means slightly increased moisture and temperatures rising into the upper 70s to lower 80s.
Thursday night into Friday is when the forecast gets more interesting. Shortwave energy will move over the deep south as a surface low forms over the northern Gulf of Mexico region sometime Thursday night. These features will progress across the state through Friday, bringing widespread showers and likely some thunderstorms as well. Global models are still not totally in agreement as far as timing, but overall confidence in the rain itself remains high. We will also have to keep an eye on the potential for a few strong or possibly severe storms, but we do still have a few days to hammer down those details.
We could still be dealing with some lingering showers as we head into Saturday, though these model differences will hopefully decrease over the next couple of days. Either way, we will get another shot of drier air to end the weekend, but temperatures will not cool much as heights quickly rise once again going into early next week.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
A cold front continues to push across the region, with showers and some limited impacts expected over the next couple of hours for KFMY and KRSW. Otherwise, VFR conditions are generally expected through the forecast period. Only other concern is some gustiness at all sites this morning, generally diminishing through the day.
MARINE
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through the first half of today before winds and seas slowly diminish. No further headlines are expected through Thursday, then an approaching storm system will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region on Friday, along with increasing winds and seas.
FIRE WEATHER
Much drier and cooler air will continue to move into the region today, with several hours of critically low relative humidity values expected today and tomorrow across the whole area. However, neither ERC values nor winds are expected to meet Red Flag thresholds.
Conditions then improve through the rest of the week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 70 52 74 55 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 76 55 80 60 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 71 49 76 53 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 74 50 78 56 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 69 38 74 45 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 68 58 72 60 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 349 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
DISCUSSION
A cold front remains draped across the Florida peninsula early this morning and will continue to drift southward, with cooler and drier air moving over the region. Some showers continue over mainly Lee County, but those will gradually come to an end over the next couple of hours. High pressure will then quickly build in over the southeast, allowing skies to clear for the day, though temperatures this afternoon will only top out in the mid 60s north to mid 70s south. Lows tonight will be rather cool, with 40s and 50s expected area-wide, then we can expect temps tomorrow afternoon a few degrees warmer than today. Overall, a pleasantly cool couple of days ahead.
For Thursday, surface high pressure will shift over the Atlantic as heights build in response to a shortwave moving into Texas. For the local area, this means slightly increased moisture and temperatures rising into the upper 70s to lower 80s.
Thursday night into Friday is when the forecast gets more interesting. Shortwave energy will move over the deep south as a surface low forms over the northern Gulf of Mexico region sometime Thursday night. These features will progress across the state through Friday, bringing widespread showers and likely some thunderstorms as well. Global models are still not totally in agreement as far as timing, but overall confidence in the rain itself remains high. We will also have to keep an eye on the potential for a few strong or possibly severe storms, but we do still have a few days to hammer down those details.
We could still be dealing with some lingering showers as we head into Saturday, though these model differences will hopefully decrease over the next couple of days. Either way, we will get another shot of drier air to end the weekend, but temperatures will not cool much as heights quickly rise once again going into early next week.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
A cold front continues to push across the region, with showers and some limited impacts expected over the next couple of hours for KFMY and KRSW. Otherwise, VFR conditions are generally expected through the forecast period. Only other concern is some gustiness at all sites this morning, generally diminishing through the day.
MARINE
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through the first half of today before winds and seas slowly diminish. No further headlines are expected through Thursday, then an approaching storm system will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region on Friday, along with increasing winds and seas.
FIRE WEATHER
Much drier and cooler air will continue to move into the region today, with several hours of critically low relative humidity values expected today and tomorrow across the whole area. However, neither ERC values nor winds are expected to meet Red Flag thresholds.
Conditions then improve through the rest of the week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 70 52 74 55 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 76 55 80 60 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 71 49 76 53 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 74 50 78 56 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 69 38 74 45 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 68 58 72 60 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL | 25 mi | 42 min | NW 8.9G | 69°F | 80°F | 30.01 | ||
VENF1 - Venice, FL | 44 mi | 60 min | NNW 25G | 70°F | 74°F | 29.96 | 60°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KPGD PUNTA GORDA,FL | 19 sm | 67 min | N 11 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 68°F | 63°F | 83% | 29.97 |
Tide / Current for Shell Point, Peace River, Florida
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (hide/show)  Help
Shell Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:25 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:51 AM EDT -0.32 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:39 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:25 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:51 AM EDT -0.32 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:39 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Shell Point, Peace River, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
1.7 |
1 am |
1.6 |
2 am |
1.4 |
3 am |
1.2 |
4 am |
0.9 |
5 am |
0.5 |
6 am |
0.2 |
7 am |
-0.1 |
8 am |
-0.3 |
9 am |
-0.3 |
10 am |
-0.2 |
11 am |
-0 |
12 pm |
0.3 |
1 pm |
0.6 |
2 pm |
0.8 |
3 pm |
1 |
4 pm |
1.1 |
5 pm |
1.2 |
6 pm |
1.2 |
7 pm |
1.3 |
8 pm |
1.3 |
9 pm |
1.4 |
10 pm |
1.6 |
11 pm |
1.7 |
Punta Gorda
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:25 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:32 AM EDT -0.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 02:54 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:39 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:34 PM EDT 1.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:25 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:32 AM EDT -0.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 02:54 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:39 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:34 PM EDT 1.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Punta Gorda, Charlotte Harbor, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
1.5 |
1 am |
1.3 |
2 am |
1.1 |
3 am |
0.8 |
4 am |
0.5 |
5 am |
0.1 |
6 am |
-0.1 |
7 am |
-0.3 |
8 am |
-0.3 |
9 am |
-0.2 |
10 am |
0.1 |
11 am |
0.3 |
12 pm |
0.5 |
1 pm |
0.7 |
2 pm |
0.9 |
3 pm |
1.1 |
4 pm |
1.1 |
5 pm |
1.1 |
6 pm |
1.1 |
7 pm |
1.2 |
8 pm |
1.3 |
9 pm |
1.4 |
10 pm |
1.5 |
11 pm |
1.6 |
Tampa Bay Area, FL,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE