Sunrise 6:51 AM   Sunset 7:48 PM Moonrise 2:26 PM   Moonset 3:10 AM

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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1006 Pm Edt Wed Apr 17 2024
Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 13 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Friday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Saturday night - South winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Sunday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Sunday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Monday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1006 Pm Edt Wed Apr 17 2024
Synopsis - A high pressure ridge axis slips southward tonight, reaching south florida Thursday. It will then hold nearly stationary through the weekend. A weak cool front will approach the waters early next week.
Gulf stream hazards - None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday, april 17th.
41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KMLB 180130 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 930 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE

UPDATE
Issued at 930 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Quiet conditions continue. A subtle increase in moisture will support building cloud cover overnight as a mid level shortwave passes aloft. Low temperatures are forecast near normal, ranging the low to mid 60s. The current forecast remains on track.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 930 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

VFR prevails. Light winds overnight become south to southeast by late morning. Winds increase to around 8-12 kts in the afternoon, shifting east-southeast as a sea breeze develops and moves inland.
Dry conditions persist.

MARINE
Issued at 930 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Tonight...High pressure across the western Atlantic will promote south to southeast winds around 7-12 kts. Seas remain steady around 2-3 ft. Dry conditions persist.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 255 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Rest of Today-Tonight...Made a few adjustments to temperatures, bringing afternoon highs down a degree or two in a few locations, but nothing impactful. Still expecting to see afternoon highs reach the M-U80s inland west of I-95, while the coastal corridor tops out in the U70-L80s, maybe even the M70s on the barrier islands thanks to the sea breeze. Southeasterly winds have picked up to 10-15 mph with gusts 20-25 mph along the I-95 corridor, occasionally tipping over 15 mph with gusts close to 30 mph. More of a moderate breeze inland with winds up to around 10 mph, but still on the gusty side at 15-20 mph. Skies have become mostly clear, but a few controlled burns are producing smoke, notably one in west central Brevard County which the southeasterly winds are pushing towards the Orlando Metro. Mid to high level clouds return overnight, as temperatures drop into the 60s.

Thursday...The mid-level ridge builds back over the eastern US between the shortwave trough working its way across New England and a substantial mid-level low bearing down from Canada. High pressure over the western Atlantic starts to shift south in response to a series of low pressure systems developing across the CONUS, dragging the ridge across across east central Florida. This will result in lighter surface flow and increasing temperatures. The sea breeze will be a little more muted, increasing south to southeasterly winds to around 10 mph in the late afternoon and evening. Afternoons highs a few degrees warmer than today, with inland areas in the U80s with a few spots reaching 90, and the coastal corridor in the L-M80s due to the weaker sea breeze. Remaining dry.

Friday-Sunday... High pressure over the western Atlantic will influence the region into the weekend. The mid/upper level ridge axis is expected to continue to flatten over the weekend behind the weak shortwave Thursday and with a major shortwave trough developing to the north over Canada and the Upper Midwest into the weekend. Zonal flow aloft over central Florida is expected to continue through Sunday ahead of the next "cool" front Monday. Dry conditions are forecast with non-mentionable PoPs. However, Global models suggests a few isolated showers may be possible Sunday if a sea breeze is able to develop with increasing offshore flow into Sunday. Temperatures are expected to continue an increasing trend and reach near-record values, mainly at inland locations Friday and into the weekend. Afternoon highs are forecast to reach the mid 80s to lo 90s along the coast and the low to mid 90s inland west of I-95 with lows in the low to upper 60s under mostly clear skies. Offshore flow will continue with the east coast sea breeze developing and pushing inland west of I-95 from the east-southeast at around 10mph at least Friday and Saturday afternoons.

Monday-Tuesday... Global models and ensembles are in good agreement that the next "cool" front will weaken and become diffused as it enters central Florida with upper-level support remaining to the north over the Carolinas. Scattered showers (20-40% PoPs) and isolated lightning storms are forecast to develop and move east-northeast Monday morning to the north of I-4 with showers and lightning storms forecast to move to the south into the afternoon. Rain chances then dwindle into Monday night over land as the "cool" front moves farther east-southeast, before stalling over south Florida into Tuesday. Most of east central Florida is forecast to remain dry Tuesday, although some of the guidance suggests that a few isolated showers will be possible into Tuesday afternoon across the Treasure Coast depending on whether the front nudges back north. Afternoon highs are forecast to reach the mid 80s to low 90s Monday with slightly cooler temperatures Tuesday (upper 70s to low 80s across Volusia and Brevard counties with the mid 80s to low 80s elsewhere. Overnight lows are expected to drop into the mid 60s to near 70 degrees.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 255 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Previous discussion...

High pressure will remain in control over east central Florida through the weekend, maintaining dry conditions and warming temperatures. Southeast wind flow today 10-14 mph with some higher gusts up to 20 mph. Slightly lower wind speeds Thursday as high pressure ridge axis slips south across the area. Winds become southwest late week into the weekend with sea breeze development along the coast each afternoon. Min RH values will reach critical levels across the interior, falling to 30-35% each afternoon through Sunday. Along the coast, min RH values will hold between 40-50%. Very Good dispersion is forecast this afternoon and generally Good on Thursday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 63 86 64 87 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 64 89 66 92 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 65 82 64 86 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 63 83 63 88 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 65 88 66 90 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 64 89 66 91 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 65 90 67 91 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 62 83 61 87 / 0 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.

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Stuart
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:38 AM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:08 AM EDT     0.83 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:24 PM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:31 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:30 PM EDT     0.77 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Stuart, St. Lucie River, Florida, Tide feet

Eden
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:39 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:30 AM EDT     0.94 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:25 PM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:31 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:52 PM EDT     0.88 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Eden, Nettles Island, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet

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