Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ocean Breeze Park, FL
March 19, 2024 7:37 AM EDT (11:37 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:23 AM Sunset 7:33 PM Moonrise 1:46 PM Moonset 3:19 AM |
AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 400 Am Edt Tue Mar 19 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through this evening - .
Today - North winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight - North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet, subsiding to 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet after midnight. A dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A chance of showers.
Friday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. Showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night - South winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet. Showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday - West winds 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 400 Am Edt Tue Mar 19 2024
Synopsis - Poor to hazardous boating conditions today behind a cold front. Seas will be slow to subside, with poor conditions lingering into tonight. Improvement is forecast mid-week. Then, a low pressure system is forecast to approach the area late week and into the weekend, leading to yet another round of poor to hazardous boating conditions. Increased coverage of showers with isolated lightning storms is also expected.
Gulf stream hazards - North winds to 25 to 30 knots with occasional gusts to gale force early this morning, becoming 20 to 25 knots after daybreak. Seas 7 to 10 feet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Saturday, march 16th.
45 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 34 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Saturday, march 16th.
45 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 34 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 190821 AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 421 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, AVIATION
DISCUSSION
Below Normal Temperatures Today And Tonight
Low Pressure System Late Week To Bring Increased Rain Chances
Current...Northerly winds have become gusty early this morning as a cold front continues to move across far south Florida. Skies remain mostly overcast with a few breaks beginning to appear on Nighttime Microphysics imagery. A few light showers continue to linger south and west of Lake Okeechobee and the Treasure Coast behind the front, and have kept a mention of 15-30% PoP before sunrise.
Today-Tonight...Overcast skies will be quick to clear from north to south after sunrise as a drier airmass builds across the Peninsula.
Northerly winds are forecast to remain breezy into late morning before gradually diminishing into the afternoon and the early evening. Breezy conditions combined with MinRH values between 30-35 percent across the interior will lead to sensitive fire weather conditions today.
Temperatures become noticeably cooler with values falling below normal. Afternoon temperatures will mostly range the upper 60s (north) to low 70s (south), however, Volusia county will remain a cool spot, in the low to mid 60s. Temperatures then become chilly overnight, widely ranging the 40s. Areas across Volusia and northern Lake become the coldest, falling into the low 40s with wind chill values as low as the upper 30s. Elsewhere, temperatures are forecast to vary across the Urban-Rural landscape. Temperatures remain noticeably warmer (upper 40s) across the I-4 and southern I-95 corridors compared to more rural areas of east central Florida (mid 40s). Martin county remains the warmest, only falling into the low 50s.
Wednesday-Thursday...Dry conditions prevail through the daytime hours on Thursday, though PWATs of 0.4-0.7" will increase to 0.9- 1.1" through the period. High pressure over the southern US Wednesday breaks down Thursday, as a mid/upper level trough digs through the area, spawning a low pressure system over the GOMEX that will affect the local area late week into the weekend. Generally light winds on Wednesday will be variable into early afternoon, before a sea breeze develops along the coast. Then, easterly flow around 8-12mph forecast Thursday. Temperatures will warm through the through mid-week, with highs in the 70s Wednesday afternoon warming into the mid 70s to lower 80s Thursday. Overnight lows will see a similar trend, warming from the upper 40s to mid-50s Wednesday night to the lower to mid-60s Thursday night.
Friday-Saturday...Models are in decent agreement for this forecast package, but the overall placement of the low pressure system has changed from previous forecasts. Both the GFS and ECMWF now suggest the low pressure system tracking along the northern Gulf Coast states through Friday, before being picked up by a front over the Southeast on Saturday. Regardless of whether models backtrack to their previous solutions, widespread precipitation looks to accompany this feature locally, with PoPs 30-40% Thursday night increasing to 70-80% Friday. PoPs will then diminish into Saturday, as the low pulls away, though chances up to 20-30% will linger along the coast and into Okeechobee County. Overall support looks minimal, with warming temperatures aloft limiting CAPE to 400J/kg or less.
Have maintained a isolated thunder mention Friday, but this is low confidence. Rapidly drying conditions aloft into Saturday will end what little thunder threat exists. The main threat looks to be heavy rainfall. But, with many local climate sites sitting below normal for monthly precipitation, will have to wait to see how the flooding threat evolves.
Winds increase Thursday night as the low approaches, with southerly winds becoming breezy to windy by Friday afternoon, as the pressure gradient tightens. Breezy winds then veer north-northwesterly into Saturday, as the front associated with the low pressure system tracks through the area. Seasonable temperatures forecast, with highs in the mid to upper 70s, near 80 for the inland Treasure Coast and Okeechobee County. Overnight lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s Friday night decreasing to the mid to upper 50s as skies clear and drier air filters into the area.
Sunday-Tuesday...A trough looks to linger over the eastern seaboard, with some possible redevelopment of the low pressure system over the western Atlantic, though models are not in good agreement at this stage. Locally, showers look to continue over the Atlantic waters Sunday, before drier conditions settle into the area through Tuesday. But, it should be noted that should onshore flow prevail, a few light showers could be added to the forecast for this time period. For now, breezy to windy conditions are forecast to persist through the period, especially along the coast, veering from northerly to southeasterly. A warming trend is expected, with highs once again reaching the lower to mid-80s by Tuesday.
MARINE
Issued at 411 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Today-Tonight...Poor to hazardous boating conditions today.
Northerly winds around 25-30 knots will begin to quickly diminish after sunrise becoming widely 5-10 kts by the evening. Seas of 6-7 ft nearshore and 8-10 ft offshore will be slower to subside into the overnight. Seas continuing to range 6-7 ft offshore by late tonight.
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all central Florida Atlantic waters until 11 AM, continuing for the offshore waters and the nearshore Treasure Coast until 11 PM tonight.
Wednesday-Thursday...Dry conditions prevail through the day on Thursday, thanks to high pressure. Light northerly winds Wednesday morning veer onshore in the afternoon as the sea breeze develops.
Then, easterly flow is forecast Thursday, with winds up to 8-12kts.
Seas 2-5ft early Wednesday diminishing to 2-3ft through the period.
Thursday Night-Sunday...Winds continue to increase into Thursday night, as a low pressure system approaches the area. Southeasterly winds increase to up to 18-20kts by daybreak on Friday, then veer southerly at 20-25kts during the afternoon. Winds diminish Saturday, as they veer to northerly at around 15kts, but then increase from the north-northeast once again to around 20kts Sunday. Meanwhile, seas 4-5ft early in the period build to up to 7-11ft by Sunday.
Needless to say, Small Craft Advisories look likely late this week into the weekend.
Shower chances will also begin to increase Thursday night, becoming numerous to widespread during the day on Friday. A few lightning storms cannot be ruled out. Chances diminish into Saturday, but isolated showers will remain possible over the Atlantic waters into Sunday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 411 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Today...A dry, post-frontal airmass builds southward across central Florida and min RH values fall below 45 percent across the area this afternoon. Fire weather conditions become particularly sensitive across the interior where values fall as low as 30-35 percent. Northerly winds around 10-15 mph persist through late morning before gradually diminishing into the afternoon.
Wednesday-Thursday...Sensitive fire weather conditions persist through mid-week. Very dry min RHs forecast area-wide Wednesday, falling to around 25-35% for much of the area. Portions of the Treasure Coast look to remain around 40%. Fortunately, winds will be light, with the afternoon east coast sea breeze forecast to remain around 10mph or less. Poor to fair dispersion.
By Thursday, increasing moisture will provide some improvement, but min RH will remain between 35-45% for much of the local area.
However, onshore flow looks to increase from Wednesday, with afternoon winds 10-12mph. Generally good dispersion.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 411 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR prevailing through the period. Gusty, northerly winds gradually diminish into late afternoon. Overcast high clouds are expected to breakup into mid morning with clear skies forecast through the afternoon and evening.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 62 42 72 50 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 67 47 75 53 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 67 48 73 56 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 70 48 74 56 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 67 44 74 50 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 67 45 75 51 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 67 48 75 53 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 70 46 74 56 / 0 0 0 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for AMZ550-552.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for AMZ555-570- 572-575.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 421 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, AVIATION
DISCUSSION
Below Normal Temperatures Today And Tonight
Low Pressure System Late Week To Bring Increased Rain Chances
Current...Northerly winds have become gusty early this morning as a cold front continues to move across far south Florida. Skies remain mostly overcast with a few breaks beginning to appear on Nighttime Microphysics imagery. A few light showers continue to linger south and west of Lake Okeechobee and the Treasure Coast behind the front, and have kept a mention of 15-30% PoP before sunrise.
Today-Tonight...Overcast skies will be quick to clear from north to south after sunrise as a drier airmass builds across the Peninsula.
Northerly winds are forecast to remain breezy into late morning before gradually diminishing into the afternoon and the early evening. Breezy conditions combined with MinRH values between 30-35 percent across the interior will lead to sensitive fire weather conditions today.
Temperatures become noticeably cooler with values falling below normal. Afternoon temperatures will mostly range the upper 60s (north) to low 70s (south), however, Volusia county will remain a cool spot, in the low to mid 60s. Temperatures then become chilly overnight, widely ranging the 40s. Areas across Volusia and northern Lake become the coldest, falling into the low 40s with wind chill values as low as the upper 30s. Elsewhere, temperatures are forecast to vary across the Urban-Rural landscape. Temperatures remain noticeably warmer (upper 40s) across the I-4 and southern I-95 corridors compared to more rural areas of east central Florida (mid 40s). Martin county remains the warmest, only falling into the low 50s.
Wednesday-Thursday...Dry conditions prevail through the daytime hours on Thursday, though PWATs of 0.4-0.7" will increase to 0.9- 1.1" through the period. High pressure over the southern US Wednesday breaks down Thursday, as a mid/upper level trough digs through the area, spawning a low pressure system over the GOMEX that will affect the local area late week into the weekend. Generally light winds on Wednesday will be variable into early afternoon, before a sea breeze develops along the coast. Then, easterly flow around 8-12mph forecast Thursday. Temperatures will warm through the through mid-week, with highs in the 70s Wednesday afternoon warming into the mid 70s to lower 80s Thursday. Overnight lows will see a similar trend, warming from the upper 40s to mid-50s Wednesday night to the lower to mid-60s Thursday night.
Friday-Saturday...Models are in decent agreement for this forecast package, but the overall placement of the low pressure system has changed from previous forecasts. Both the GFS and ECMWF now suggest the low pressure system tracking along the northern Gulf Coast states through Friday, before being picked up by a front over the Southeast on Saturday. Regardless of whether models backtrack to their previous solutions, widespread precipitation looks to accompany this feature locally, with PoPs 30-40% Thursday night increasing to 70-80% Friday. PoPs will then diminish into Saturday, as the low pulls away, though chances up to 20-30% will linger along the coast and into Okeechobee County. Overall support looks minimal, with warming temperatures aloft limiting CAPE to 400J/kg or less.
Have maintained a isolated thunder mention Friday, but this is low confidence. Rapidly drying conditions aloft into Saturday will end what little thunder threat exists. The main threat looks to be heavy rainfall. But, with many local climate sites sitting below normal for monthly precipitation, will have to wait to see how the flooding threat evolves.
Winds increase Thursday night as the low approaches, with southerly winds becoming breezy to windy by Friday afternoon, as the pressure gradient tightens. Breezy winds then veer north-northwesterly into Saturday, as the front associated with the low pressure system tracks through the area. Seasonable temperatures forecast, with highs in the mid to upper 70s, near 80 for the inland Treasure Coast and Okeechobee County. Overnight lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s Friday night decreasing to the mid to upper 50s as skies clear and drier air filters into the area.
Sunday-Tuesday...A trough looks to linger over the eastern seaboard, with some possible redevelopment of the low pressure system over the western Atlantic, though models are not in good agreement at this stage. Locally, showers look to continue over the Atlantic waters Sunday, before drier conditions settle into the area through Tuesday. But, it should be noted that should onshore flow prevail, a few light showers could be added to the forecast for this time period. For now, breezy to windy conditions are forecast to persist through the period, especially along the coast, veering from northerly to southeasterly. A warming trend is expected, with highs once again reaching the lower to mid-80s by Tuesday.
MARINE
Issued at 411 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Today-Tonight...Poor to hazardous boating conditions today.
Northerly winds around 25-30 knots will begin to quickly diminish after sunrise becoming widely 5-10 kts by the evening. Seas of 6-7 ft nearshore and 8-10 ft offshore will be slower to subside into the overnight. Seas continuing to range 6-7 ft offshore by late tonight.
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all central Florida Atlantic waters until 11 AM, continuing for the offshore waters and the nearshore Treasure Coast until 11 PM tonight.
Wednesday-Thursday...Dry conditions prevail through the day on Thursday, thanks to high pressure. Light northerly winds Wednesday morning veer onshore in the afternoon as the sea breeze develops.
Then, easterly flow is forecast Thursday, with winds up to 8-12kts.
Seas 2-5ft early Wednesday diminishing to 2-3ft through the period.
Thursday Night-Sunday...Winds continue to increase into Thursday night, as a low pressure system approaches the area. Southeasterly winds increase to up to 18-20kts by daybreak on Friday, then veer southerly at 20-25kts during the afternoon. Winds diminish Saturday, as they veer to northerly at around 15kts, but then increase from the north-northeast once again to around 20kts Sunday. Meanwhile, seas 4-5ft early in the period build to up to 7-11ft by Sunday.
Needless to say, Small Craft Advisories look likely late this week into the weekend.
Shower chances will also begin to increase Thursday night, becoming numerous to widespread during the day on Friday. A few lightning storms cannot be ruled out. Chances diminish into Saturday, but isolated showers will remain possible over the Atlantic waters into Sunday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 411 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Today...A dry, post-frontal airmass builds southward across central Florida and min RH values fall below 45 percent across the area this afternoon. Fire weather conditions become particularly sensitive across the interior where values fall as low as 30-35 percent. Northerly winds around 10-15 mph persist through late morning before gradually diminishing into the afternoon.
Wednesday-Thursday...Sensitive fire weather conditions persist through mid-week. Very dry min RHs forecast area-wide Wednesday, falling to around 25-35% for much of the area. Portions of the Treasure Coast look to remain around 40%. Fortunately, winds will be light, with the afternoon east coast sea breeze forecast to remain around 10mph or less. Poor to fair dispersion.
By Thursday, increasing moisture will provide some improvement, but min RH will remain between 35-45% for much of the local area.
However, onshore flow looks to increase from Wednesday, with afternoon winds 10-12mph. Generally good dispersion.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 411 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR prevailing through the period. Gusty, northerly winds gradually diminish into late afternoon. Overcast high clouds are expected to breakup into mid morning with clear skies forecast through the afternoon and evening.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 62 42 72 50 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 67 47 75 53 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 67 48 73 56 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 70 48 74 56 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 67 44 74 50 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 67 45 75 51 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 67 48 75 53 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 70 46 74 56 / 0 0 0 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for AMZ550-552.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for AMZ555-570- 572-575.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) | 21 mi | 42 min | 74°F | 7 ft | ||||
SIPF1 | 44 mi | 38 min | 26 | 62°F | 67°F | 29.96 | ||
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL | 45 mi | 50 min | NE 8.9G | 66°F | 75°F | 29.95 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KSUA WITHAM FIELD,FL | 5 sm | 50 min | NNW 13G21 | 7 sm | Overcast | 68°F | 52°F | 56% | 30.03 | |
KFPR TREASURE COAST INTL,FL | 19 sm | 44 min | var 04G21 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 63°F | 46°F | 55% | 30.02 |
Tide / Current for Jensen Beach, Indian River, Florida
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Jensen Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:44 AM EDT 0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:18 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:25 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:51 AM EDT 0.95 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:32 PM EDT 0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:45 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:31 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT 0.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:44 AM EDT 0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:18 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:25 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:51 AM EDT 0.95 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:32 PM EDT 0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:45 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:31 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT 0.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Jensen Beach, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
0.3 |
1 am |
0.2 |
2 am |
0.2 |
3 am |
0.2 |
4 am |
0.4 |
5 am |
0.6 |
6 am |
0.8 |
7 am |
0.9 |
8 am |
0.9 |
9 am |
0.9 |
10 am |
0.8 |
11 am |
0.7 |
12 pm |
0.6 |
1 pm |
0.5 |
2 pm |
0.4 |
3 pm |
0.4 |
4 pm |
0.5 |
5 pm |
0.6 |
6 pm |
0.7 |
7 pm |
0.8 |
8 pm |
0.9 |
9 pm |
0.8 |
10 pm |
0.7 |
11 pm |
0.6 |
Seminole Shores
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:18 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 04:36 AM EDT 2.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:25 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:52 AM EDT 0.58 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:45 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 04:46 PM EDT 2.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:31 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:08 PM EDT 0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:18 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 04:36 AM EDT 2.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:25 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:52 AM EDT 0.58 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:45 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 04:46 PM EDT 2.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:31 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:08 PM EDT 0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Seminole Shores, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
0.7 |
1 am |
1.2 |
2 am |
1.8 |
3 am |
2.2 |
4 am |
2.5 |
5 am |
2.5 |
6 am |
2.3 |
7 am |
1.9 |
8 am |
1.4 |
9 am |
1 |
10 am |
0.7 |
11 am |
0.6 |
12 pm |
0.7 |
1 pm |
1.1 |
2 pm |
1.6 |
3 pm |
2 |
4 pm |
2.3 |
5 pm |
2.3 |
6 pm |
2.2 |
7 pm |
1.8 |
8 pm |
1.3 |
9 pm |
0.8 |
10 pm |
0.4 |
11 pm |
0.2 |
Melbourne, FL,
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