Wednesday, December12, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Breeze Park, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 5:29PM Wednesday December 12, 2018 2:19 AM EST (07:19 UTC) Moonrise 11:04AMMoonset 10:14PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1028 Pm Est Tue Dec 11 2018
.small craft advisory for hazardous seas in effect until 10 am est Wednesday...
Tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Friday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
Saturday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1028 Pm Est Tue Dec 11 2018
Synopsis..A moderate north breeze will diminish late tonight and Wednesday as winds veer to the northeast and east. However, seas will remain elevated, especially over the gulf stream. Onshore winds will briefly decrease through mid week, before veering to southerly and increasing by Friday, ahead of the next approaching strong cold front. This front will push through the region early Saturday, preceded by a fast moving band of showers and possibly some strong storms. A second reinforcing frontal boundary will push through the area Saturday night.
Gulf stream hazards..Northwest winds around 15 knots. Seas 6 to to 8 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, december 9th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 27 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Breeze Park, FL
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location: 27.25, -80.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 120220
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
920 pm est Tue dec 11 2018

Update
Frost advisory for interior east central florida late tonight...

large cold surface high centered over the NE gomex eastern gulf
coast will continue to drift eastward overnight, cresting over
southern al ga and northern fl right around sunrise Tuesday.

Light n-nw drainage flow will slacken to light calm winds. Given
the forecast position of surface high and dearth of high level
cloudiness, conditions appear to be ideal for frost formation,
especially in wind-sheltered rural interior areas away from the
relative warmth of larger inland lakes.

Other than a couple tweaks to frost verbiage, no changes are needed
to the inherited forecast.

Aviation Vfr skc.

Marine Evening buoy data indicates slackening winds compared to
earlier today, 15-20kt and 5-6ft near shore. It's reasonable to
assume 20kt winds 7ft seas are occurring farther offshore with seas
even a bit higher in the gulf stream. Since winds are in the process
of diminishing with seas taking several hours longer to subside, we
should be able to allow the SCA to change over to "sca for seas" per
the current forecast.

Update aviation... Cristaldi
impact wx... Sedlock

Prev discussion issued 356 pm est Tue dec 11 2018
Wednesday... Dry airmass in place and high pressure building into the
region from the west will produce light winds and clear skies into
tonight. This will lead to another cold night with temperatures in
the 50s late this afternoon dropping rapidly into the 40s after
sunset and through the evening hours. For lows, leaned toward the
cooler met guidance, and even shaved a degree or two off these
values as MOS can be a tad high for nights like tonight when
favorable radiational cooling conditions are in place. This keeps
min temps ranging from the mid to upper 30s over much of the area
late tonight, with frost formation expected. Areas of frost should
develop away from the coast, especially over more rural low lying
interior locations west of i-95. While for urbanized inland spots,
and places along the coast, frost will be more patchy. Have
therefore issued a frost advisory for the interior counties and
inland volusia county where greater coverage of frost is expected.

After a chilly start to Wednesday, temperatures should warm up
into the mid to upper 60s across much of the area, expect around
70 degrees along the treasure coast. These values will still be
lower than normal for this time of year, but it will be warmer
than the past couple days. A relatively light onshore flow will
begin to modify the dry airmass in place, but rain chances will
remain out of the forecast with just a slight increase in cloud
cover across areas southeast of orlando into the afternoon.

Wednesday night Thursday (prev)... A weak coastal trough is forecast
to develop overnight Wed night along the fl straits with feature
responsible for some lower cloudiness and increasing coastal marine
shower chances into thu. Moisture is showing a marked increase
areawide during Thu as an upstream disturbance begins to approach
the region, coupled with return flow around departing high pressure.

Will keep a sct chance of showers areawide to account for this
activity and lower range measured amounts possible.

Extended (previous)... Next significant system approaches the region
late week as a strong shortwave moving across the great plains is
shown closing off as developing low pressure over the lower ms
valley fri, and transits toward the SE states at presently varying
speeds into Fri night. Given model spread in onset of impact ranging
from Fri to Fri night, storms will be carried for the local area
during at least two periods Fri fri night with an appreciable warm
sector and strong wind fields accompanying approach of this rather
potent feature. It is anticipated consensus in guidance later this
week will allow for better refinements on expected timing and
impacts from expected storms. Cooler and dryer conditions will
follow passage of the system this weekend and into early next
week.

Aviation Scattered stratocu deck clearing out north of kmlb
this afternoon leading toVFR conditions this evening and
overnight. Breezy NW winds decreasing after sunset, becoming
light and variable.

Marine
Tonight-wed... Poor to hazardous boating conditions will continue
through at least Wednesday morning. North-northwest winds up to
15-20 knots will decrease to 10-15 knots into tonight, but seas
will remain elevated over the gulf stream waters. Have therefore
kept SCA continuing for offshore waters and nearshore, south of
sebastian inlet through this evening, transitioning to a SCA for
hazardous seas late in the evening and continuing through early
Wednesday. Nearshore north of sebastian inlet, small craft should
continue to exercise caution for seas up to 6 feet.

Thu... Se winds will increase to 15-20 knots offshore by afternoon
with scec conditions developing across all the waters into thu
evening.

Fri-fri night... Se S winds Friday will increase to near 20 knots
with advisory conditions developing across the waters as a cold
front approaches from the west. Expect a high coverage of showers
and scattered storms to precede the frontal passage with strong
storms possible.

Sat-sun... The front will push offshore into Saturday afternoon with
surface winds veering the west behind the front to 15-20 knots
offshore. Seas to 6-7 ft offshore Saturday will decrease to 4 to 6
ft offshore by Sunday afternoon.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 37 65 49 73 0 0 0 40
mco 39 68 50 73 0 0 0 30
mlb 39 69 54 74 0 0 10 30
vrb 39 70 54 75 0 0 10 30
lee 37 66 49 72 0 0 0 20
sfb 38 67 49 74 0 0 0 30
orl 40 68 53 73 0 0 0 30
fpr 39 70 53 74 0 0 10 30

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... Frost advisory from 3 am to 8 am est Wednesday for inland
volusia county-northern lake county-okeechobee-orange-
osceola-seminole-southern lake county.

Am... Small craft advisory until 4 pm est this afternoon for flagler
beach to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm-volusia-
brevard county line to sebastian inlet 0-20 nm.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm est this evening for flagler
beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian
inlet to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter
inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian
inlet 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas from 10 pm this evening
to 10 am est Wednesday for flagler beach to volusia-brevard
county line 20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 0-20
nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-
brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 21 mi50 min 70°F6 ft
SIPF1 44 mi35 min NNW 15 53°F 53°F1025 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 45 mi32 min NW 9.9 G 15
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 75 mi20 min NE 12 G 14 66°F 1023.1 hPa (-0.0)
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 80 mi38 min NW 12 G 15 54°F 1023.5 hPa44°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL5 mi25 minNW 9 G 1410.00 miPartly Cloudy50°F41°F71%1024.7 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL19 mi27 minNW 610.00 miFair48°F39°F71%1024.5 hPa

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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NW10NW10NW6------NW8NW6NW8NW7W5
2 days agoSE7SE6S6S6S6S7SE11
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Tide / Current Tables for Jensen Beach, Indian River, Florida
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Jensen Beach
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Wed -- 01:32 AM EST     1.09 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:11 AM EST     0.34 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:03 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:07 PM EST     1.17 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:49 PM EST     0.54 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:14 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.11.110.90.70.50.40.30.40.50.70.91.11.21.11.10.90.80.60.60.50.60.7

Tide / Current Tables for Seminole Shores, Florida (2)
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Seminole Shores
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:32 AM EST     0.47 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:51 AM EST     3.18 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:03 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:10 PM EST     0.75 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:14 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 11:03 PM EST     2.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.521.30.80.50.50.81.422.63.13.232.51.91.40.90.70.81.21.72.32.72.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.