Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Breeze Park, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:25AMSunset 8:11PM Monday May 29, 2017 5:02 PM EDT (21:02 UTC) Moonrise 9:27AMMoonset 11:09PM Illumination 19% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 342 Pm Edt Mon May 29 2017
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 3 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out 60 Nm- 342 Pm Edt Mon May 29 2017
Synopsis..The axis of the atlantic high pressure ridge across south florida will migrate northward into central florida by mid week. This will produce a southeast to south wind flow and will increase moisture. Isolated afternoon and evening storms may begin to push offshore and affect the nearshore waters Tuesday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 29th. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Breeze Park, FL
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location: 27.25, -80.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 291937
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
337 pm edt Mon may 29 2017

Discussion
Hopefully start of the wet season upcoming for most areas...

tonight-Tuesday... The sea breezes will merge down the spine of the
peninsula this evening. This may be too late to generate much
convection, and the hrrr hasn't been showing much. Have left the
previous forecast which showed slight shower chances over the
lower kissimmee river region.

Mid level ridge will retreat into the atlantic through tue. This
will decrease subsidence and allow for deeper moistening to occur.

Precipitable water should start off early Tue 1.3 to 1.4 inches,
then higher moisture is shown advecting up from the south.

Low level high pressure ridge over the southern peninsula will
maintain a light southwest flow, then as the east coast sea breeze
forms and moves steadily inland, expect initiation of isolated to
scattered showers storms early to mid afternoon. Enough steering
should exist for some of the inland storms to affect the more
populous portions of the coast, but slightly higher coverage
should be over interior sections. MOS has 40 percent rain chances
over the area, but with the dryness of late, have gone with 20
percent along the coast and 30 inland. Expect the earliest
convection in the south, while northern sections get into the
action towards early evening.

Wed-thu... Axis of subtropical ridge will continue a gradual
northward movement across the region, with it initially across the
area Wednesday and then moving into north florida Thursday.

Moisture will continue to increase across the area in low level
flow that will initially be light out of S SW Wednesday, and then
increasing slightly out of the E SE Thursday. East coast sea
breeze will move inland each day, with late day boundary
collisions across the interior favoring higher rain chances up to
30-40 percent Wed and 40-50 percent Thursday. Highs will continue
to range from the upper 80s along the coast and low 90s over the
interior. Lows in the low to mid 70s.

Fri-sun... The subtropical ridge axis will persist across north to
north central fl into late week and then shift southward into the
weekend as a front pushes into the southeastern united states.

Moisture will remain sufficient to produce scattered afternoon and
evening lightning storms with rain chances forecast to increase to
50-60 percent Fri and around 50 percent into the weekend. The
increase in cloud cover and rain chances will keep high temps
closer to seasonable levels in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees.

Aviation Local MVFR stratus is possible early Tue morning.

Expect isolated-scattered showers storms Tue afternoon, mainly after
18z, but could be slightly earlier ksua-kfpr. Chances may hold off
until after 21z northward from about kism-kmco-ktix.

Marine
Tonight-Tuesday... Axis of high pressure ridge will remain south of
the waters. This will provide a light southwest gradient wind and
continued benign seas. The main mariner concern will be a slight
chance for afternoon evening storms on Tue to push back across the
coast into the nearshore atlantic waters.

Wed-sat... High pressure ridge axis will slowly migrate northward
across the area and into north north central florida by late week.

S SE flow will generally range from 10-15 knots, with seas 2-3 ft.

Scattered storms will continue to be possible each afternoon,
mainly across inland areas, but a few storms may push offshore
into the nearshore waters mainly north of sebastian inlet.

Fire weather
Tuesday... Moisture will continue to gradually increase. Min rh
values are forecast around 40 percent over interior sections. Winds
will continue to have a light westerly component, then as the sea
breeze pushes inland during the afternoon, speeds will pick up
briefly to 10- 15 mph. The moistening looks sufficient for
isolated to scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 72 91 71 89 10 20 40 40
mco 73 95 73 92 10 30 40 40
mlb 74 91 73 89 10 20 30 30
vrb 74 90 73 89 10 20 20 20
lee 74 94 73 92 10 30 30 40
sfb 74 95 73 92 10 30 40 40
orl 75 94 74 92 10 30 40 40
fpr 73 91 72 90 10 20 20 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Lascody
mid term... ..Weitlich
long term... .Smith


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 21 mi33 min 82°F1 ft
SIPF1 44 mi33 min ESE 8 78°F 1018 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 45 mi45 min 83°F 82°F1018.3 hPa77°F
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 75 mi63 min SSW 4.1 G 5.1 84°F 1018.3 hPa (-1.0)76°F
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 80 mi39 min SE 7 G 9.9 86°F 1017.6 hPa74°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Stuart, Witham Field Airport, FL5 mi76 minESE 97.00 miA Few Clouds90°F78°F71%1017.9 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL19 mi70 minE 1010.00 miFair88°F75°F68%1017.2 hPa

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8E8SE9SE8SE4SE4E4SE4S5S5S5W7W4NW4N5NW5N7NE7----NE4E6E8SE9
1 day agoE12E10E7SE6SE3--SE3S4S4SW3W4W4CalmCalmCalmNW5NW3CalmNW3E6E7E8E8E8
2 days agoE6--E7SE7SE5--S5CalmS3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm4Calm44--E10E10E10E9

Tide / Current Tables for Jensen Beach, Indian River, Florida
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Jensen Beach
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Mon -- 02:23 AM EDT     1.38 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:56 AM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:39 PM EDT     1.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:18 PM EDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.71.11.41.31.10.80.50.1-0.1-0.1-00.30.611.21.21.10.80.40-0.2-0.4-0.3-0

Tide / Current Tables for South Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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South Fork
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:32 AM EDT     1.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:25 AM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:27 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:47 PM EDT     1.12 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:44 PM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.611.21.21.10.90.60.30-0.1-0.10.10.50.81.11.110.80.50.2-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.