Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Tierra Verde, FL
March 19, 2024 6:12 AM EDT (10:12 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:33 AM Sunset 7:42 PM Moonrise 1:55 PM Moonset 3:30 AM |
GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 350 Am Edt Tue Mar 19 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 am edt this morning - .
Today - North winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Bay and inland waters rough.
Tonight - North winds around 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Wednesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Wednesday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Thursday - East winds around 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Thursday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less, then 2 to 3 feet after midnight. Bay and inland waters rough. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Friday - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots, becoming south 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. Showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night - South winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming west after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Saturday - Northwest winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 350 Am Edt Tue Mar 19 2024
Synopsis - A small craft advisory remains in effect through the first half of today before winds and seas slowly diminish. No further headlines are expected through Thursday, then an approaching storm system will bring showers and Thunderstorms to the region on Friday, along with increasing winds and seas.
Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 190749 AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 349 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
DISCUSSION
A cold front remains draped across the Florida peninsula early this morning and will continue to drift southward, with cooler and drier air moving over the region. Some showers continue over mainly Lee County, but those will gradually come to an end over the next couple of hours. High pressure will then quickly build in over the southeast, allowing skies to clear for the day, though temperatures this afternoon will only top out in the mid 60s north to mid 70s south. Lows tonight will be rather cool, with 40s and 50s expected area-wide, then we can expect temps tomorrow afternoon a few degrees warmer than today. Overall, a pleasantly cool couple of days ahead.
For Thursday, surface high pressure will shift over the Atlantic as heights build in response to a shortwave moving into Texas. For the local area, this means slightly increased moisture and temperatures rising into the upper 70s to lower 80s.
Thursday night into Friday is when the forecast gets more interesting. Shortwave energy will move over the deep south as a surface low forms over the northern Gulf of Mexico region sometime Thursday night. These features will progress across the state through Friday, bringing widespread showers and likely some thunderstorms as well. Global models are still not totally in agreement as far as timing, but overall confidence in the rain itself remains high. We will also have to keep an eye on the potential for a few strong or possibly severe storms, but we do still have a few days to hammer down those details.
We could still be dealing with some lingering showers as we head into Saturday, though these model differences will hopefully decrease over the next couple of days. Either way, we will get another shot of drier air to end the weekend, but temperatures will not cool much as heights quickly rise once again going into early next week.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
A cold front continues to push across the region, with showers and some limited impacts expected over the next couple of hours for KFMY and KRSW. Otherwise, VFR conditions are generally expected through the forecast period. Only other concern is some gustiness at all sites this morning, generally diminishing through the day.
MARINE
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through the first half of today before winds and seas slowly diminish. No further headlines are expected through Thursday, then an approaching storm system will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region on Friday, along with increasing winds and seas.
FIRE WEATHER
Much drier and cooler air will continue to move into the region today, with several hours of critically low relative humidity values expected today and tomorrow across the whole area. However, neither ERC values nor winds are expected to meet Red Flag thresholds.
Conditions then improve through the rest of the week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 70 52 74 55 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 76 55 80 60 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 71 49 76 53 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 74 50 78 56 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 69 38 74 45 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 68 58 72 60 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 349 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
DISCUSSION
A cold front remains draped across the Florida peninsula early this morning and will continue to drift southward, with cooler and drier air moving over the region. Some showers continue over mainly Lee County, but those will gradually come to an end over the next couple of hours. High pressure will then quickly build in over the southeast, allowing skies to clear for the day, though temperatures this afternoon will only top out in the mid 60s north to mid 70s south. Lows tonight will be rather cool, with 40s and 50s expected area-wide, then we can expect temps tomorrow afternoon a few degrees warmer than today. Overall, a pleasantly cool couple of days ahead.
For Thursday, surface high pressure will shift over the Atlantic as heights build in response to a shortwave moving into Texas. For the local area, this means slightly increased moisture and temperatures rising into the upper 70s to lower 80s.
Thursday night into Friday is when the forecast gets more interesting. Shortwave energy will move over the deep south as a surface low forms over the northern Gulf of Mexico region sometime Thursday night. These features will progress across the state through Friday, bringing widespread showers and likely some thunderstorms as well. Global models are still not totally in agreement as far as timing, but overall confidence in the rain itself remains high. We will also have to keep an eye on the potential for a few strong or possibly severe storms, but we do still have a few days to hammer down those details.
We could still be dealing with some lingering showers as we head into Saturday, though these model differences will hopefully decrease over the next couple of days. Either way, we will get another shot of drier air to end the weekend, but temperatures will not cool much as heights quickly rise once again going into early next week.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
A cold front continues to push across the region, with showers and some limited impacts expected over the next couple of hours for KFMY and KRSW. Otherwise, VFR conditions are generally expected through the forecast period. Only other concern is some gustiness at all sites this morning, generally diminishing through the day.
MARINE
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through the first half of today before winds and seas slowly diminish. No further headlines are expected through Thursday, then an approaching storm system will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region on Friday, along with increasing winds and seas.
FIRE WEATHER
Much drier and cooler air will continue to move into the region today, with several hours of critically low relative humidity values expected today and tomorrow across the whole area. However, neither ERC values nor winds are expected to meet Red Flag thresholds.
Conditions then improve through the rest of the week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 70 52 74 55 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 76 55 80 60 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 71 49 76 53 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 74 50 78 56 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 69 38 74 45 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 68 58 72 60 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
MTBF1 | 8 mi | 55 min | NNE 26G | 64°F | 29.98 | 47°F | ||
PMAF1 | 9 mi | 55 min | 64°F | 70°F | 29.97 | |||
42098 | 11 mi | 47 min | 73°F | 6 ft | ||||
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL | 12 mi | 55 min | N 8.9G | 62°F | 74°F | 30.00 | ||
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL | 19 mi | 55 min | N 15G | 63°F | 81°F | 29.99 | ||
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL | 26 mi | 55 min | N 21G | 62°F | 76°F | 30.00 | ||
SKCF1 | 26 mi | 67 min | N 8G | |||||
EBEF1 | 27 mi | 55 min | 62°F | 77°F | 29.99 | |||
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL | 27 mi | 67 min | N 8.9G | |||||
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 | 32 mi | 98 min | N 25G | 67°F | 71°F | 29.94 | 61°F | |
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL | 38 mi | 139 min | N 17G | 66°F | 35 ft | 30.00 | 51°F | |
VENF1 - Venice, FL | 40 mi | 73 min | N 9.9G | 68°F | 74°F | 29.92 | 56°F |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KSPG ALBERT WHITTED,FL | 12 sm | 19 min | NNE 18G25 | 10 sm | Clear | 63°F | 46°F | 55% | 29.98 | |
KSRQ SARASOTA/BRADENTON INTL,FL | 17 sm | 19 min | NNE 13G22 | 10 sm | Clear | 63°F | 46°F | 55% | 29.97 | |
KMCF MACDILL AFB,FL | 20 sm | 17 min | N 14 | 10 sm | Clear | 59°F | 39°F | 48% | 29.99 | |
KPIE ST PETECLEARWATER INTL,FL | 21 sm | 19 min | N 14G26 | 10 sm | Clear | 57°F | 39°F | 51% | 30.00 |
Tide / Current for Egmont Key, Egmont Channel, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Egmont Key
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:57 AM EDT -0.32 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:30 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:35 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 02:55 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:42 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:06 PM EDT 1.74 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:57 AM EDT -0.32 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:30 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:35 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 02:55 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:42 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:06 PM EDT 1.74 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Egmont Key, Egmont Channel, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
0.6 |
1 am |
0.2 |
2 am |
-0.1 |
3 am |
-0.3 |
4 am |
-0.3 |
5 am |
-0.2 |
6 am |
-0.1 |
7 am |
0.2 |
8 am |
0.5 |
9 am |
0.8 |
10 am |
1 |
11 am |
1.1 |
12 pm |
1.2 |
1 pm |
1.2 |
2 pm |
1.2 |
3 pm |
1.3 |
4 pm |
1.4 |
5 pm |
1.5 |
6 pm |
1.6 |
7 pm |
1.7 |
8 pm |
1.7 |
9 pm |
1.7 |
10 pm |
1.6 |
11 pm |
1.4 |
Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:43 AM EDT -1.45 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:30 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:03 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:35 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:36 AM EDT 1.38 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 02:55 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 04:23 PM EDT 0.18 knots Min Flood
Tue -- 07:42 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:38 PM EDT 0.47 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:08 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:43 AM EDT -1.45 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:30 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:03 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:35 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:36 AM EDT 1.38 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 02:55 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 04:23 PM EDT 0.18 knots Min Flood
Tue -- 07:42 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:38 PM EDT 0.47 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:08 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current, knots
12 am |
-0.9 |
1 am |
-1.2 |
2 am |
-1.4 |
3 am |
-1.4 |
4 am |
-1.3 |
5 am |
-1 |
6 am |
-0.6 |
7 am |
-0 |
8 am |
0.6 |
9 am |
1 |
10 am |
1.3 |
11 am |
1.4 |
12 pm |
1.2 |
1 pm |
0.8 |
2 pm |
0.5 |
3 pm |
0.3 |
4 pm |
0.2 |
5 pm |
0.2 |
6 pm |
0.3 |
7 pm |
0.4 |
8 pm |
0.4 |
9 pm |
0.5 |
10 pm |
0.3 |
11 pm |
0.1 |
Tampa Bay Area, FL,
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