Sunrise 6:13 AM   Sunset 7:53 PM Moonrise 9:04 AM   Moonset 11:46 PM

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GMZ435 Vermilion And West Cote Blanche Bays- 345 Pm Cdt Sun May 12 2024
.small craft exercise caution in effect through Monday morning - .
Tonight - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming south late. Bay waters rough. A chance of Thunderstorms. Monday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. Thunderstorms likely. Showers likely. Tuesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning. Tuesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Bay waters light chop. Wednesday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth. Wednesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Thursday - Southeast winds around 10 knots, increasing to around 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. Thursday night - South winds around 15 knots. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Friday - South winds around 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the morning. Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ400 345 Pm Cdt Sun May 12 2024
Synopsis - Moderate to strong east to southeast winds will become more southerly tonight, with winds gradually diminishing Monday morning. Shower and Thunderstorm chances should increase again later tonight, with the highest chances expected Monday into Monday night ahead of a cold front. Winds will shift westerly on Tuesday, then offshore Tuesday night with the passage of the front. Winds will turn back to the east and southeast by Wednesday night, with rain chances returning by Thursday as another low pressure system approaches the area.

FXUS64 KLCH 122259 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 559 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 554 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

Showers and thunderstorms are still moving through our northern counties and parishes, some of which are severe.

With no further activity expected in the southern counties and parishes, they have been removed from the tornado watch.

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

Strong/severe convection associated with advancing shortwave/sfc warm front ongoing across the forecast area at this time and expected to continue through the afternoon before gradually ending with the passage of the shortwave later. In the interim, as the storms appear to be weakening somewhat as they move ewd, not anticipating expanding the ongoing tornado watch to include the remainder of the forecast area. Thereafter, the remainder of the night should be quiet with just some patchy fog likely with copious low-level moisture in place.

Monday should see another round of strong/severe storms as yet another disturbance sweeps through and interacts with our very moist airmass. Forecast soundings indicate better severe potential and thus the entire area has been highlighted in a slight risk. As of now, WPC has shifted the moderate risk of excessive rain to east of the Atchafalaya, although the entire CWA remains in a slight risk. No changes to the going flood watch have been made this afternoon.

Convection will end from west-to-east Monday night into Tuesday morning as the mid-level trof/sfc frontal system push ewd across the forecast area.

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LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

Dry weather is expected to start the period on Wednesday. Moisture begins to return late Wednesday into Wednesday night as high moves off to the east. As the next disturbance moves into the region early Thursday the signals for heavy rainfall returns to the region as PW's get above 2 inches. While much of the area is under the risk for very heavy rainfall most signals continue across Southeast Texas and Southwest Louisiana which have been hit by multiple rounds of heavy rainfall the past month and half.
Precip then moves out of the area by Friday morning.

Temperatures will be slightly below seasonal norms through Thursday then trend warmer than normal the remainder of the period.

27/25

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

MVFR or lower ceilings will develop through the afternoon and continue through the period per forecast soundings/time-height sections. Tried timing the convection through the forecast area based on movement trends at press time...expect it to end from west-to-east through late afternoon.

25

MARINE
Issued at 330 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

Expanded the SCEC headlines to include Sabine/Calcasieu Lakes and Vermilion Bay...otherwise no changes to inherited headlines with this package.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 66 85 65 86 / 80 70 50 10 LCH 72 85 69 88 / 70 60 50 10 LFT 73 87 70 89 / 70 70 70 10 BPT 73 87 68 90 / 50 60 40 0

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for LAZ027>032.

TX...Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for TXZ180-201-259>262.

GM...None.

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Cote Blanche Island
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Sun -- 03:59 AM CDT     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:15 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:04 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:38 PM CDT     1.63 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cote Blanche Island, West Cote Blanche Bay, Louisiana, Tide feet

Weeks Bay
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:15 AM CDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:15 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:04 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:03 PM CDT     1.75 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Weeks Bay, Vermilion Bay, Louisiana, Tide feet

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Lake Charles, LA,