Sunrise 6:44 AM   Sunset 7:44 PM Moonrise 12:25 PM   Moonset 2:01 AM

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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 418 Am Cdt Tue Apr 16 2024
.small craft exercise caution in effect through late tonight - .
Today - South winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Lake waters rough. Tonight - South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Lake waters choppy. Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. Wednesday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Lake waters choppy. Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Lake waters choppy. Thursday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Lake waters choppy. Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. Friday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. Saturday - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Saturday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms likely after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ400 418 Am Cdt Tue Apr 16 2024
Synopsis - Modest and gusty south winds will continue and strengthen a bit today as an area of low pressure forms and deepens over the plains. Small craft are advised to exercise caution. Winds will ease on Wednesday as the low lifts off toward the great lakes, with a generally light onshore flow prevailing into the weekend. Precipitation chances are negligible until the weekend.

FXUS64 KLCH 161150 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 650 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Currently the upper level low is north of the OK panhandle with the front extending from there into TX. Parts of TX and LA are receiving some isolated showers, however it appears that this activity is not reaching the surface in out area. The upper low will move NNE into the Central to Northern Plains over the day as the front stalls out, never making it through our region. With that being said, cooler and pleasant conditions simply are not in the forecast at the moment.

We will be looking at humid, warm, and windy conditions today. While it appears less likely that a Wind Advisory will be issued, we will still have gusty southerly flow over the day as the pressure gradient tightens. Similar humid and warm conditions will continue for the remainder of the period, with a chance of isolated showers and storms on Thursday across the northern Counties and Parishes.

Stigger/87

LONG TERM
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

By Friday, a quasi stationary boundary along the ARKLATEX region stretches across the Appalachian Mountains. With the northern stream surface above the Great Lakes low pressure slowly weakening and being absorbed by the longwave trough pattern extending south from the Polar regions into central Canada, the pattern for the long range remains a bit unsettled with respect to precipitation impacts and timing during the weekend ahead for SETX / SWLA.
Temperatures will peak Friday and Saturday into the upper 80’s across south central portions portions of the CWA while highs keep a few degrees cooler near coastal locations. Once the front passes through Sunday, temperatures during the early part of next week will dip areawide 7- 9°F lower than forecast throughout this week. A rebound into the mid 80’s with little signal for precipitation is expected while winds returning southeasterly again by Monday night, next week.

As mentioned, the larger focus in the long term is currently the precipitation over the upcoming weekend. Currently, probs for any mode of severe weather remain too low for any notation in severe weather guidance products, per latest SPC and WPC analysis. That said, forecast soundings still indicate the environment can support thunderstorms as the boundary sinks south along western / central coastline of the Gulf of Mexico. POPS have been introduced throughout portions of Saturday, where moisture advection abuts the front, increasing into Sunday where more organized precipitation is favored over the area. The upper level pattern continues to develop subsidence over the Midwest behind the frontal pattern Sunday evening and remains consistently progressive in accelerating into the Gulf of Mexico through the morning of the 22nd (Monday). Signals for precipitation quickly drop off early Monday as the ridge pattern keeps the weather relatively benign trending further into the work week.

Kowalski/30

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 646 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Mostly MVFR CIGs with some sites doing a dance between there and VFR. We could see some improvements over the day, however it will be short lived before possibly IFR CIGs overnight into tomorrow morning. We can expect southerly flow to increase and become gusty for the duration of the period, with gusts of up to 25-30kts.
Otherwise, we could see some patchy fog begin to form late tonight and early tomorrow.

MARINE
Issued at 400 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Modest and gusty south winds will continue and strengthen a bit today as an area of low pressure forms and deepens over the Plains. Small craft are advised to exercise caution. Winds will ease on Wednesday as the low lifts off toward the Great Lakes, with a generally light onshore flow prevailing into the weekend.
Precipitation chances are negligible until the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 86 69 85 68 / 10 0 10 10 LCH 82 70 81 70 / 0 0 0 10 LFT 84 72 84 72 / 0 0 0 0 BPT 83 69 84 70 / 0 0 0 10

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.

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Mesquite Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:01 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:27 AM CDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:47 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:26 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:56 PM CDT     1.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:43 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Mesquite Point, Sabine Pass, Texas, Tide feet

Sabine Pass
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:01 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:52 AM CDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:47 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:26 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:53 PM CDT     1.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:43 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:43 PM CDT     1.31 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:10 PM CDT     1.35 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Sabine Pass, North, Texas, Tide feet

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