Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cedar Grove, FL
March 19, 2024 2:40 AM CDT (07:40 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:45 AM Sunset 6:54 PM Moonrise 2:01 PM Moonset 3:49 AM |
GMZ750 Expires:202403191915;;991533 Fzus52 Ktae 190654 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida big bend and eastern panhandle national weather service tallahassee fl 254 am edt Tue mar 19 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-191915- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 254 am edt Tue mar 19 2024 /154 am cdt Tue mar 19 2024/
.small craft advisory in effect until noon edt /11 am cdt/ today - .
Today - Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots, becoming north 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds, subsiding to 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds this afternoon. Protected waters rough.
Tonight - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday - North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet with a dominant period of 2 seconds in the afternoon. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 8 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 8 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening.
Saturday - North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Saturday night - North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for florida big bend and eastern panhandle national weather service tallahassee fl 254 am edt Tue mar 19 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-191915- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 254 am edt Tue mar 19 2024 /154 am cdt Tue mar 19 2024/
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 254 Am Edt Tue Mar 19 2024
Synopsis -
advisory level conditions continue through this morning with winds and seas continuing to gradually decrease throughout today and tonight. Light winds and seas are expected Wednesday through Thursday with some increases to cautionary levels possible on Friday/Saturday as the next system bringing rain passes to our south. Easterly flow is likely as this system moves through.
advisory level conditions continue through this morning with winds and seas continuing to gradually decrease throughout today and tonight. Light winds and seas are expected Wednesday through Thursday with some increases to cautionary levels possible on Friday/Saturday as the next system bringing rain passes to our south. Easterly flow is likely as this system moves through.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 190525 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 125 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 927 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Breezy to gusty northwesterly winds continue for a few more hours as a fresh push of cooler and drier air arrives. These winds are forecast to decrease some prior to sunrise Tuesday with temperatures generally in the middle to upper 30s for a good majority of the area. Have continued tonight's Freeze Warning for portions of Southeast Alabama and Southwest Georgia in case winds decrease a little sooner than expected.
The biggest changes made to this update were to lower the dew points faster and to keep elevated winds and wind gusts a bit longer tonight. Otherwise, no major updates were made.
NEAR TERM
(Through Tuesday)
Issued at 241 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Northwest upper flow will prevail as an upper trough exits the region. At the surface, north-northwest flow will prevail as a cold front continues sweeping the region advecting colder and drier air into the forecast area. Overhead, high pressure will build over the region with large scale subsidence and drier air aloft keeping cloud cover minimal in the overnight hours. A complex scenario is in play tonight regarding minimum temperatures in portions of our SE AL and SW GA counties where this would typically be a decent setup for radiational cooling, perhaps resulting in temperatures 32 and below.
However, winds are expected to remain somewhat elevated this evening which could keep temperatures slightly warmer than if the winds were calm. Looking at probabilistic guidance, the NBM has around a 50% chance of temperatures below freezing for the aforementioned areas.
Given the sensitive nature of how early the grow season has started this year, opted to upgrade the previous freeze watch to a freeze warning to err on the side of caution. Make sure to cover vulnerable plants this evening and bring smaller potted plants inside.
Overnight lows are expected to be in the low to mid 30s across our SE AL and SW GA counties with upper 30s to low 40s across our FL counties.
Cool northerly flow will persist through tomorrow keeping max temperatures slightly below average. High temperatures in our SE AL and SW GA counties will mainly be confined to the low 60s with mid to upper 60s across our FL counties.
SHORT TERM
(Tuesday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 241 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Quiet conditions are anticipated through the middle of the week as upper level troughing moves out and surface high pressure settles into the region. One last chilly night is expected Tuesday night due to light winds and clear skies aiding radiational cooling in the remnant cool airmass in place from Monday's cold front.
Dry conditions are expected as high temperatures warm into the low to mid 70s on Wednesday afternoon, about 10 degrees warmer than Tuesday high temps.
LONG TERM
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 241 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Broad westerly upper level flow, with some contributions from the subtropical jet, will influence the pattern from Thursday into the upcoming weekend. A few weak disturbances are expected to pass through the flow Thursday night into Saturday bringing the possibility of scattered showers and storms as these disturbances interact with a weak stationary boundary across the eastern Gulf. The greatest rain chances appear to be south and east of the area and across the Florida peninsula, but with broad upper level support in place and weak isentropic ascent possible with these features, rain chances still remain high over the forecast area. Severe weather prospects at this point remain uncertain, but with limited instability, anything more than isolated strong/severe storms in this pattern appears unlikely at this point across our area.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 120 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Gusty northwest winds should continue to relax over the next few hours before becoming near calm out of the north through the remainder of the TAF period. All terminals will remain at VFR levels through the period with surface high pressure settling into the region.
MARINE
Issued at 927 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Advisory level conditions continue through early Tuesday. A brief gust to low- end gale force can't be ruled out tonight. These winds will begin to reduce Tuesday afternoon and conditions will drop to cautionary levels by the overnight hours. Light winds and seas are expected Wednesday through Thursday with some increases to cautionary levels possible on Friday/Saturday as the next system bringing rain passes to our south. Easterly flow is likely as this system moves through.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 241 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
A cold front will continue sweeping through the area today resulting in northerly flow tomorrow. In addition, the airmass will be quite dry dropping MinRH values into the low 20% range. Transport winds will be around 10mph out of the north with mixing heights up to 4200ft yielding fair dispersions tomorrow. With the recent rainfall, fire concerns remain low at this time given higher fuel moisture areawide. Wednesday will see transport winds out of the west around 5-10mph with mixing heights around 4000-4300ft yielding fair to good dispersions once again. MinRH values will generally remain around 30% areawide, though our FL Big Bend counties may see dispersions in the 20% range. Fire weather concerns are also low for Wednesday given higher fuel moisture from the recent rains.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 241 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
The back end of the flood wave stemming from heavy rain on March 9 has almost finished its trek down the Flint River, with the Flint River at Bainbridge dropping below flood stage earlier today.
High flows and minor flooding will continue along the Apalachicola River throughout this work week.
Rainfall this past weekend was not enough to cause new flooding.
Upcoming dry weather from this afternoon through Thursday morning will allow rivers to continue flushing water and generally receding. The next round of rain will come on Thursday night and Friday. The heavier rainfall amounts are forecast over our Florida counties, with the most likely amounts currently around a non- concerning one inch. However, there are some low-probability outlier solutions that show around 3 to 4 inches of rain over the Big Bend region, which would be more significant. However, uncertainty in the pattern still remains fairly high.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 64 41 73 47 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 62 45 68 50 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 61 37 70 46 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 61 37 70 46 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 62 39 72 46 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 64 40 70 44 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 60 47 66 52 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until noon EDT /11 AM CDT/ today for FLZ112-114.
GA...Freeze Warning until 10 AM EDT this morning for GAZ120>124-142.
AL...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for ALZ065>067.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT /11 AM CDT/ today for GMZ730- 750-752-755-765-770-772-775.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 125 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 927 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Breezy to gusty northwesterly winds continue for a few more hours as a fresh push of cooler and drier air arrives. These winds are forecast to decrease some prior to sunrise Tuesday with temperatures generally in the middle to upper 30s for a good majority of the area. Have continued tonight's Freeze Warning for portions of Southeast Alabama and Southwest Georgia in case winds decrease a little sooner than expected.
The biggest changes made to this update were to lower the dew points faster and to keep elevated winds and wind gusts a bit longer tonight. Otherwise, no major updates were made.
NEAR TERM
(Through Tuesday)
Issued at 241 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Northwest upper flow will prevail as an upper trough exits the region. At the surface, north-northwest flow will prevail as a cold front continues sweeping the region advecting colder and drier air into the forecast area. Overhead, high pressure will build over the region with large scale subsidence and drier air aloft keeping cloud cover minimal in the overnight hours. A complex scenario is in play tonight regarding minimum temperatures in portions of our SE AL and SW GA counties where this would typically be a decent setup for radiational cooling, perhaps resulting in temperatures 32 and below.
However, winds are expected to remain somewhat elevated this evening which could keep temperatures slightly warmer than if the winds were calm. Looking at probabilistic guidance, the NBM has around a 50% chance of temperatures below freezing for the aforementioned areas.
Given the sensitive nature of how early the grow season has started this year, opted to upgrade the previous freeze watch to a freeze warning to err on the side of caution. Make sure to cover vulnerable plants this evening and bring smaller potted plants inside.
Overnight lows are expected to be in the low to mid 30s across our SE AL and SW GA counties with upper 30s to low 40s across our FL counties.
Cool northerly flow will persist through tomorrow keeping max temperatures slightly below average. High temperatures in our SE AL and SW GA counties will mainly be confined to the low 60s with mid to upper 60s across our FL counties.
SHORT TERM
(Tuesday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 241 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Quiet conditions are anticipated through the middle of the week as upper level troughing moves out and surface high pressure settles into the region. One last chilly night is expected Tuesday night due to light winds and clear skies aiding radiational cooling in the remnant cool airmass in place from Monday's cold front.
Dry conditions are expected as high temperatures warm into the low to mid 70s on Wednesday afternoon, about 10 degrees warmer than Tuesday high temps.
LONG TERM
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 241 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Broad westerly upper level flow, with some contributions from the subtropical jet, will influence the pattern from Thursday into the upcoming weekend. A few weak disturbances are expected to pass through the flow Thursday night into Saturday bringing the possibility of scattered showers and storms as these disturbances interact with a weak stationary boundary across the eastern Gulf. The greatest rain chances appear to be south and east of the area and across the Florida peninsula, but with broad upper level support in place and weak isentropic ascent possible with these features, rain chances still remain high over the forecast area. Severe weather prospects at this point remain uncertain, but with limited instability, anything more than isolated strong/severe storms in this pattern appears unlikely at this point across our area.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 120 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Gusty northwest winds should continue to relax over the next few hours before becoming near calm out of the north through the remainder of the TAF period. All terminals will remain at VFR levels through the period with surface high pressure settling into the region.
MARINE
Issued at 927 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Advisory level conditions continue through early Tuesday. A brief gust to low- end gale force can't be ruled out tonight. These winds will begin to reduce Tuesday afternoon and conditions will drop to cautionary levels by the overnight hours. Light winds and seas are expected Wednesday through Thursday with some increases to cautionary levels possible on Friday/Saturday as the next system bringing rain passes to our south. Easterly flow is likely as this system moves through.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 241 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
A cold front will continue sweeping through the area today resulting in northerly flow tomorrow. In addition, the airmass will be quite dry dropping MinRH values into the low 20% range. Transport winds will be around 10mph out of the north with mixing heights up to 4200ft yielding fair dispersions tomorrow. With the recent rainfall, fire concerns remain low at this time given higher fuel moisture areawide. Wednesday will see transport winds out of the west around 5-10mph with mixing heights around 4000-4300ft yielding fair to good dispersions once again. MinRH values will generally remain around 30% areawide, though our FL Big Bend counties may see dispersions in the 20% range. Fire weather concerns are also low for Wednesday given higher fuel moisture from the recent rains.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 241 PM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
The back end of the flood wave stemming from heavy rain on March 9 has almost finished its trek down the Flint River, with the Flint River at Bainbridge dropping below flood stage earlier today.
High flows and minor flooding will continue along the Apalachicola River throughout this work week.
Rainfall this past weekend was not enough to cause new flooding.
Upcoming dry weather from this afternoon through Thursday morning will allow rivers to continue flushing water and generally receding. The next round of rain will come on Thursday night and Friday. The heavier rainfall amounts are forecast over our Florida counties, with the most likely amounts currently around a non- concerning one inch. However, there are some low-probability outlier solutions that show around 3 to 4 inches of rain over the Big Bend region, which would be more significant. However, uncertainty in the pattern still remains fairly high.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 64 41 73 47 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 62 45 68 50 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 61 37 70 46 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 61 37 70 46 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 62 39 72 46 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 64 40 70 44 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 60 47 66 52 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until noon EDT /11 AM CDT/ today for FLZ112-114.
GA...Freeze Warning until 10 AM EDT this morning for GAZ120>124-142.
AL...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for ALZ065>067.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT /11 AM CDT/ today for GMZ730- 750-752-755-765-770-772-775.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL | 3 mi | 53 min | N 8G | 66°F | ||||
PCBF1 | 14 mi | 53 min | N 7G | 65°F | 30.14 | |||
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL | 46 mi | 53 min | N 12G | 53°F | 67°F | 30.11 | ||
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL | 48 mi | 41 min | N 14 | 55°F | 30.12 | 36°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KPAM TYNDALL AFB,FL | 8 sm | 45 min | N 12 | 10 sm | Clear | 50°F | 25°F | 37% | 30.12 | |
KECP NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES INTL,FL | 16 sm | 47 min | NNW 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 46°F | 27°F | 46% | 30.14 |
Tide / Current for Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Panama City
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:49 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:47 AM CDT -0.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:47 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 02:00 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:53 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:12 PM CDT 1.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:49 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:47 AM CDT -0.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:47 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 02:00 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:53 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:12 PM CDT 1.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
0.4 |
1 am |
0.2 |
2 am |
0 |
3 am |
-0.2 |
4 am |
-0.3 |
5 am |
-0.3 |
6 am |
-0.3 |
7 am |
-0.3 |
8 am |
-0.2 |
9 am |
-0.1 |
10 am |
-0 |
11 am |
0.2 |
12 pm |
0.3 |
1 pm |
0.5 |
2 pm |
0.7 |
3 pm |
0.9 |
4 pm |
1 |
5 pm |
1.1 |
6 pm |
1.2 |
7 pm |
1.3 |
8 pm |
1.3 |
9 pm |
1.2 |
10 pm |
1.1 |
11 pm |
0.9 |
Channel entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:49 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 04:29 AM CDT -0.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:47 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 02:01 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:24 PM CDT 1.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:54 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:49 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 04:29 AM CDT -0.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:47 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 02:01 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:24 PM CDT 1.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:54 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Channel entrance, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
0.2 |
1 am |
-0 |
2 am |
-0.2 |
3 am |
-0.3 |
4 am |
-0.3 |
5 am |
-0.3 |
6 am |
-0.3 |
7 am |
-0.2 |
8 am |
-0.1 |
9 am |
0 |
10 am |
0.2 |
11 am |
0.3 |
12 pm |
0.5 |
1 pm |
0.7 |
2 pm |
0.8 |
3 pm |
1 |
4 pm |
1.1 |
5 pm |
1.2 |
6 pm |
1.2 |
7 pm |
1.2 |
8 pm |
1.2 |
9 pm |
1 |
10 pm |
0.9 |
11 pm |
0.7 |
Northwest Florida,
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