Monday, June18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cedar Grove, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:39AMSunset 7:47PM Sunday June 17, 2018 11:15 PM CDT (04:15 UTC) Moonrise 9:50AMMoonset 11:32PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 947 Pm Edt Sun Jun 17 2018
Rest of tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters smooth to a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday through Friday..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters smooth to a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 947 Pm Edt Sun Jun 17 2018
Synopsis..Winds and seas will remain low through the next several days. Some localized enhancements near the coast each afternoon can be expected with the daily sea breeze.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cedar Grove, FL
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location: 30.18, -85.62     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 180114
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
914 pm edt Sun jun 17 2018

Update
An area of showers and thunderstorms that developed from boundary
collisions including the sea breeze was noted across southwest
georgia moving east. This activity may reach the valdosta region
before diminishing. Made adjustment to pops to account for this.

No other changes were made.

Prev discussion [722 pm edt]
Near term [through tonight]
The seabreeze and a convergent axis across central al ga will be the
primary forcing mechanisms for convection this afternoon. With
relatively light steering flow, the seabreeze will most likely be
confined to north fl. An upper level wave is resulting in a weak
surface reflection through central al and ga, with outflow from
convection to our north triggering new storms in our region. Expect
a gradual diminishing of shower and thunderstorm activity after
sunset, with lows in the lower 70s.

Short term [Monday through Tuesday night]
Through the short term period, weak mid level ridging will build
across the southeastern us. There is some differences this model
cycle with whether there will be an influx of drier air from the
east to really diminish thunderstorm chances. In any event, the
overall steering flow suggests a light and variable sea breeze
pattern which tends to produce about 30-40 percent pops each day.

With the euro a little drier than the GFS (which was drier
yesterday), will trend the forecast slightly toward the lower side
of climatology for this time of year. Afternoon temperatures will
also be a little warmer, given less convection, with pockets of
mid 90s possible each day.

Long term [Wednesday through Sunday]
Overall, the weak ridging looks to hold on through Thursday, but
then a trough moving through the mid mississippi river valley on
Friday should result in some weakening of the ridge at least into
Saturday, which will favor some increase in afternoon evening rain
chances. By Sunday, ridging is anticipated to build over the gulf
of mexico, shifting the bulk of any afternoon showers and storms
to the northern and eastern portions of the forecast area.

Temperatures through the period should be in the low to mid 90s
during the day and in the lower 70s at night.

Aviation [through 00z Tuesday]
Iso shra tsra continue near dhn and vld at this hour. Expect this
activity to diminish in the next 1 to 2 hours.VFR conditions will
prevail through the period with light winds below 10 kts. While iso
to sct tsra is expected to develop across the region Monday
afternoon, confidence in location is not high enough to include
in tafs at this time.

Marine
Winds and seas will remain low through the next several days. Some
localized enhancements near the coast each afternoon can be
expected with the daily sea breeze.

Fire weather
No fire weather concerns.

Hydrology
A typical summertime pattern is expected, which will keep any
widespread rainfall amounts low. However, as the steering flow
becomes weaker by the first of the week, isolated heavy rainfall
is possible from stronger thunderstorms.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 72 94 73 94 74 20 30 20 40 20
panama city 76 91 74 91 75 10 20 10 20 10
dothan 72 92 71 94 73 20 20 20 30 20
albany 72 91 72 92 72 20 40 20 40 30
valdosta 71 92 72 93 73 40 40 30 40 30
cross city 72 93 72 92 73 20 30 20 30 10
apalachicola 75 91 75 91 76 10 20 10 20 10

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk until 2 am edt 1 am cdt Monday for
coastal bay-south walton.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Update... Barry
near term... Harrigan
short term... Godsey
long term... Godsey
aviation... Pullin
marine... Godsey
fire weather... Barry
hydrology... Godsey


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 3 mi45 min NE 4.1 G 4.1 82°F 87°F1021.2 hPa
PCBF1 14 mi45 min NNE 2.9 G 4.1 81°F 82°F1021.2 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 46 mi45 min NNW 1.9 G 4.1 81°F 82°F1020.8 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 47 mi90 min NW 1.9 79°F 75°F

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL8 mi79 minN 010.00 miFair78°F76°F95%1020.9 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL15 mi22 minN 010.00 miFair78°F75°F93%1021.5 hPa

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S4S5S4CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmE3E4NE3CalmCalmS7SW7SW9SW9SW7SW6W4W3CalmCalm
1 day agoSW5SW5SW5SW3SW5CalmS3NW14
G20
CalmCalmCalmCalmSW4W6S8SW8SW8SW7SW7SW5SW3CalmS3Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmSW7SW8SW6SW6SW6SW5SW5SW7SW7W10SW4N10NW4W5W5W5W4SW5SW7S5S7SW6

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Panama City
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:30 AM CDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:41 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:55 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:53 PM CDT     1.44 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:46 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-0.2-0.1-00.10.20.40.60.70.91.11.21.31.41.41.41.31.210.80.60.40.30.1

Tide / Current Tables for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Laird Bayou
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:53 AM CDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:40 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:54 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:02 PM CDT     1.67 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:45 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.10.10.20.40.60.811.21.41.51.61.71.61.61.41.210.80.50.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.