Sunrise 5:53 AM   Sunset 7:25 PM Moonrise 4:45 AM   Moonset 6:05 PM

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GMZ750 Expires:202405070130;;735821 Fzus52 Ktae 061833 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 233 pm edt Mon may 6 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-070130- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 233 pm edt Mon may 6 2024 /133 pm cdt Mon may 6 2024/
Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.Tuesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Wednesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Wednesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Thursday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Friday night - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening. Saturday - North winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Saturday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 233 Pm Edt Mon May 6 2024
Synopsis -
southerly winds will continue as high pressure moves slowly east of the waters and cold front approaches on Friday. Chances for showers and Thunderstorms will increase Thursday night into Friday night. The cold front is expected to move south of the waters Friday night with northwest winds in its wake. Seas will generally be 2 to 3 feet through the period, except for higher winds and seas in the vicinity of Thunderstorms.

FXUS62 KTAE 061853 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 253 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY

NEAR TERM
(Through Tuesday)
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Mainly isolated convection should diminish this evening and pave the way for quiet, but muggy overnight conditions. Fog and low stratus redevelops over the FL counties, then spreads to the remainder of the Tri-State area through the early morning hrs. Some of the fog has the potential to be dense once again, but confidence was not high enough to issue an advisory at this time. The best chances appear to be over Southern AL/Western FL Panhandle. Conditions should improve by mid morning. Forecast lows range from the upper 60s inland to around 70 along the coast.

For tomorrow, a building subtropical ridge from the SW Gulf sets the stage for 3-day period of hot weather characterized by daily inland high temperatures in the upper 80s/low 90s. Heat indices will be a few degrees hotter. Strong subsidence from this ridge should suppress most if not all convection. These conditions can be harmful to those sensitive to heat, so please take the necessary precautions if exposed. For beachgoers, be mindful of what color flags are flying: red = high risk for rip currents while yellow = moderate.

SHORT TERM
(Tuesday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Fairly benign period of weather with ridging in control. Cannot rule out an isolated shower or rumble of thunder across SE AL and SW GA late Wednesday. Unseasonably warm with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s and lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

LONG TERM
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Southern stream shortwave energy will lead to an unsettled period of weather centered on Thursday and Friday with a slow frontal passage.
Cannot rule out heavy rain and severe weather, especially on Friday.
The timing of the front will determine the severe weather potential with otherwise favorable shear. Temperatures cool to more seasonable levels Friday and Friday night with the passage of the front. Some lingering clouds/showers are possible into the weekend if the front slows with the support of addt'l southern stream shortwave energy, but that is still uncertain, and the forecast leans drier attm.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Cumulus field with cigs up to 040 are making for VFR conds this aftn. Maintained VCTS at TLH/ABY/VLD into the early evening as isolated t-storms develop within the next couple hrs, then drift east to NE. Late tonight into early tmrw morning, fog and low stratus return and look to impact all terminals. The greatest restrictions are expected at ECP/TLH where sub-IFR conds are likely with MVFR cigs/vsbys elsewhere. Improvement arrives around 13-15Z.
South to SW winds generally 10 kts or less prevail.

MARINE
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Southerly winds will continue as high pressure moves slowly east of the waters and cold front approaches on Friday. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase Thursday night into Friday night.
The cold front is expected to move south of the waters Friday night with northwest winds in its wake. Seas will generally be 2 to 3 feet through the period, except for higher winds and seas in the vicinity of thunderstorms.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Minimal rain chances are on tap for Tuesday and Wednesday, but the tradeoff will be hot afternoon conditions when high temperatures surge into the upper 80s/low 90s away from the immediate coast. Heat indices will be a few degrees hotter. By Thursday coverage of showers/thunderstorms increase ahead of an approaching front from the NW. Even wetter & stormier weather is expected on Friday once the front moves through the region. Widespread wetting rains are likely. Persistent southerly winds maintain a moist airmass. Lastly, high afternoon dispersions are forecast through Thursday.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 251 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

The main concern is rainfall centered on Friday ahead of the next cold front. The highest amounts are expected in the AL/GA counties where WPC has a marginal risk for excessive rainfall, but this threat may shift southward into the FL counties in subsequent forecasts. On the rivers, there are no flooding concerns at this time.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 68 90 69 90 / 0 0 0 10 Panama City 71 84 73 85 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 67 90 70 92 / 10 10 0 10 Albany 67 91 69 92 / 20 0 0 10 Valdosta 67 92 68 92 / 10 0 0 10 Cross City 66 89 67 89 / 0 10 0 0 Apalachicola 73 83 73 82 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ this evening for FLZ112-114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

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Parker
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Mon -- 04:45 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:54 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:54 AM CDT     1.47 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:04 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:23 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:57 PM CDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Parker, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Channel entrance
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Mon -- 04:45 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:55 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:28 AM CDT     1.22 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:04 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:33 PM CDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:24 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Channel entrance, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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