Monday, January22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Miramar Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 5:16PM Monday January 22, 2018 2:06 PM CST (20:06 UTC) Moonrise 11:07AMMoonset 11:26PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 947 Am Cst Mon Jan 22 2018
Rest of today..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming north. Waves less than 1 foot.
Wednesday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Wednesday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Thursday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Thursday night..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday night..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 947 Am Cst Mon Jan 22 2018
Synopsis..A moderate onshore wind flow will continue today and early this evening as a cold front approaches from the west. Patchy to areas of dense marine fog will impact inland bays and sounds and the near shore gulf waters today, then expect showers and a few Thunderstorms to develop later today as the front approaches. The front moves east across the marine area tonight, bringing a moderate to occasionally strong offshore wind flow mid to late week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Miramar Beach, FL
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location: 30.3, -86.16     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 221948
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
248 pm est Mon jan 22 2018

Near term [through tonight]
At 1 pm est a surface cold front extended southward through eastern
ms, southeast la, and into the western gulf of mexico from a 995 mb
low centered over ia. The mid-upper tropospheric low was positioned
near the surface low, indicating that the low was near maturity.

Ragged bands of showers and thunderstorms preceded this surface
front, and will be moving east across our forecast area later this
afternoon through tonight. While 0-6km bulk shear values suggest
storm organization is possible, poor thermodynamics will make it
difficult to sustain strong updrafts, or for surface-based damaging
wind gusts. So far recent upstream radar imagery and surface
observations bear this out, as there haven't been any significant
wind gusts where there was organized reflectivity.

For most of our forecast area temperatures will be well above
average, with lows in the mid 50s to low 60s. However, lows in the
upper 40s are expected in southeast al and the western fl panhandle,
where the cold front will have moved through before daybreak. Ahead
of the front, areas of fog will be possible, mainly between the time
when the rain ends and the cold front arrives.

Short term [Tuesday through Wednesday night]
The cold front will continue sweeping eastward across the
remainder of the forecast area Tuesday, with a cooler, drier
airmass moving in behind it. Temperatures will warm to the 60s
Tuesday, but will struggle to hit 60 Wednesday as the cold air
advection continues. Overnight, temperatures will dip into the
mid-upper 30s Tuesday night, low-mid 30s on Wednesday night.

Long term [Thursday through Monday]
A shortwave upper level trough will lift northeastward from central
mexico toward the central gulf coast, helping develop a disturbance
in the western gulf waters that will move toward the north-central
gulf coastline. As this system will spend its early life cycle over
the gulf waters, it's expected to be very rich in moisture and
bring a decent amount of rain with it. Early estimates from wpc
are around 1-2" accumulations this weekend, with higher rainfall
totals offshore and to our west. The storm will move eastward out
of the area by Sunday night, with a dry start to the following
work week.

Aviation [through 18z Tuesday]
Onshore s-se winds were keeping a stable marine layer in place
across much of the region so far today, with ifr to low-end MVFR
cigs being reported at all stations. CIGS will improve to MVFR
levels later this afternoon as a ragged, north-south oriented band
of shra tsra moves east, affecting kecp and kdhn mid to late
afternoon, then ktlh and kaby this evening, then finally kvld later
tonight. There will be a 3-6 hour window for fog low CIGS to develop
between the end of this rain and the cold front passage late
tonight, but the cold front will bring a wind shift to the NW and
gradually clearing skies Tuesday morning.

Marine
Winds and seas will be agitated by tonight's frontal passage and
will remain elevated for the next several days as a low pressure
system develops in the western gulf and then moves into our
forecast area this weekend. Cautionary conditions are expected the
next few days, with advisory conditions possibly developing
around Wednesday night for our offshore waters.

Fire weather
A few areas could briefly reach locally critical rh values Tuesday
afternoon. However, tonight's rain and weakening winds on Tuesday
should prevent red flag conditions are not expected.

Hydrology
Rainfall totals from the approaching cold front will be around 0.5-
1", which is not expected to cause any flooding concerns. This
weekend, we'll have another chance for rain, this time with higher
rainfall totals expected, around 1-2", which should be welcomed
given our current drought.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 56 68 38 59 34 90 10 0 0 0
panama city 54 63 41 57 39 90 0 0 0 0
dothan 48 64 36 59 33 90 0 0 0 0
albany 52 65 37 60 34 100 0 0 0 0
valdosta 59 66 39 57 36 100 20 0 0 0
cross city 61 70 39 60 35 80 40 0 0 0
apalachicola 57 65 41 57 38 70 0 0 0 0

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Fournier
short term... Nguyen
long term... Nguyen
aviation... Fournier
marine... Nguyen
fire weather... Fournier
hydrology... Nguyen


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 16 mi48 min ESE 13 G 14 60°F 57°F1015.8 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 28 mi48 min SSE 13 G 18 66°F 54°F1015.9 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 56 mi54 min S 8.9 G 13 63°F 50°F1013.7 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 74 mi48 min ESE 6 G 8.9 57°F 51°F1015.9 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL18 mi73 minSE 78.00 miOvercast68°F62°F81%1014.9 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL20 mi73 minSSE 1110.00 miOvercast68°F64°F87%1016.9 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi71 minSE 85.00 miFog/Mist64°F61°F92%1015.5 hPa

Wind History from DTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S5SE5CalmCalmCalmSE8SE8E5SE9SE7CalmCalmCalmE4SE7SE7SE7SE10SE7SE8SE11SE7SE7
1 day agoS4S3S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3E7E10SE9SE9SE8SE9
2 days agoW6SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE43NE5E7S5S5

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach, Florida
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Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:23 AM CST     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:38 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:05 AM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:32 PM CST     0.26 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:11 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:29 PM CST     0.23 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:20 PM CST     0.42 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:24 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.50.40.30.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1-000.10.20.20.30.30.20.20.30.40.40.40.4

Tide / Current Tables for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:48 AM CST     0.67 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:38 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:30 AM CST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:05 AM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:11 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:57 PM CST     0.37 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:58 PM CST     0.37 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:24 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.70.60.60.40.30.1-0-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.100.10.20.30.30.40.40.40.40.40.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.