Wednesday, May23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Miramar Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 7:40PM Wednesday May 23, 2018 5:37 AM CDT (10:37 UTC) Moonrise 2:07PMMoonset 2:16AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 520 Am Cdt Wed May 23 2018
Today..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Waves less than 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tonight..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming light. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Winds light becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Thursday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday..Southeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday..East winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 520 Am Cdt Wed May 23 2018
Synopsis..A generally light to moderate onshore flow will persist over the marine area through early Friday as a weak surface ridge of high pressure remains across the eastern gulf. An east to southeast windflow is expected to strengthen and seas build late Friday through early next week in response to a developing surface low tracking northward over the central gulf. Due to the uncertainiltyy with the track and intensity of the low pressure system over the gulf winds and seas could be higher by the weekend. Stay tuned for further updates on this pattern in the central gulf throughou the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Miramar Beach, FL
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location: 30.3, -86.16     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 230741
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
341 am edt Wed may 23 2018

Near term [through today]
In the upper levels a ridge is over the central u.S. And a trough is
over the northeast. At the surface a weak low is over the southeast
today. With abundant low level moisture across the region another
soggy day is expected. Showers and thunderstorms will develop late
this morning. Activity will increase during the afternoon hours. 60
to 80 percent pops are expected for most areas. Immediate coastal
areas will be a little drier with 20 to 40 percent pops. Mostly
cloudy skies are expected today with highs in the 80s.

Short term [tonight through Friday]
This wet pattern will continue through the short term. Pw values
of 1.5-1.75 inches will be above normal over the next few days
and will see pops in the 30-70 percent range during the day and
more limited at night to 20-50 percent with the loss of daytime
heating. The higher rain chances will be further inland. Some
minor flooding is possible in the short term with the heavy
rainfall and over any areas that storms train. High temperatures
will range from the mid to upper 80s with lows in the low to mid
70s. While the high temperatures are fairly close to normal, lows
are well above normal for this time of year.

Long term [Friday night through Wednesday]
The long term is expected to be wet with the focus on a tropical
disturbance and rainfall amounts. Models are still in disagreement
with the track of a tropical disturbance that is currently in the
caribbean with guidance spanning the eastern and central gulf of
mexico as the disturbance moves northward. NHC has given the area
a 50% chance of development in the next five days. Regardless of
if the system does develop though or it's exact track, significant
rainfall amounts are expected with 7 day rainfall totals of 3-7
inches (locally higher amounts possible). Given these amounts,
will need to closely monitor the long term for flooding. Pops
remain high through the long term (chance and likely categories)
with no dry days in the forecast. Expect highs in the 80s with
lows in the 70s.

Aviation [through 06z Thursday]
Mostly ifr CIGS are expected in the early morning hours. Some
visibility restriction is also possible.VFR conditions will return
by early afternoon. Showers and a few thunderstorms will develop by
late morning. Activity will increase in the afternoon hours.

Marine
Initial winds of 10 knots or less will increase for the weekend to
at least around 20 knots as a tropical disturbance currently in
the caribbean moves northward into the eastern or central gulf of
mexico. There is still uncertainty in the track of the disturbance
and if it will develop into to a tropical system and given this,
boaters should monitor the forecast closely. Regardless of
development though, we will remain in a wet pattern over the next
week.

Fire weather
A wet pattern will be in place for the next week. No fire weather
concerns.

Hydrology
The wet pattern will continue over the next week with widespread
rainfall totals of 3-7 inches expected with locally higher
amounts. In regards to river flooding, the rivers have been able
to handle the rain so far and only a few sites are in action
stage or forecast to reach action stage. With additional rainfall
over the next week though, this will have to be monitored closely.

Besides the rivers, localized minor flooding will be possible the
next few days with the flash flood risk increasing for this
weekend.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 86 70 87 71 85 50 10 40 20 60
panama city 82 74 83 74 83 50 20 40 30 50
dothan 85 71 86 70 85 70 40 70 50 70
albany 86 71 86 71 85 80 40 60 50 70
valdosta 86 70 88 70 85 60 20 70 50 70
cross city 86 70 88 70 84 40 10 50 40 60
apalachicola 82 73 84 73 82 20 10 20 20 40

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Mcd
short term... Fieux
long term... Fieux
aviation... Mcd
marine... Fieux
fire weather... Mcd
hydrology... Fieux


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 16 mi50 min S 12 G 12 78°F 80°F1017.3 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 28 mi50 min SSE 9.9 G 12 77°F 81°F1017.5 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 56 mi56 min SSW 1.9 G 4.1 80°F 84°F1016.6 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 74 mi50 min SSW 8 G 9.9 78°F 81°F1017.4 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL18 mi45 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds78°F72°F82%1016.6 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL20 mi45 minNNE 49.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F70°F94%1018 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi1.7 hrsN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F71°F80%1016.8 hPa

Wind History from DTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3CalmCalmCalmSE5S6S866SE9S7S9S64SE64S4S3Calm4S44S4Calm
1 day agoNE8NE55NE5E8NE5N4NE3455S5SE7SE6SE7SE7S5S4S533CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmNE3SE4SE4SE5SE5S7S9S745S5SE13
G17
SE6E4E3N4NE5E6E5E6NE8NE7NE5

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach, Florida
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Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:01 AM CDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:14 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:45 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:17 AM CDT     0.81 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:17 AM CDT     0.79 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:06 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:26 PM CDT     0.91 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:24 PM CDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:43 PM CDT     0.82 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:35 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.20.30.30.40.50.60.80.80.80.80.80.80.90.90.90.80.80.80.80.80.60.50.4

Tide / Current Tables for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:14 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:28 AM CDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:45 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 02:06 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:36 PM CDT     0.99 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:35 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.20.20.20.20.30.40.60.70.80.90.9111111110.90.90.80.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.