Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Elberta, AL
March 19, 2024 12:15 AM CDT (05:15 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:52 AM Sunset 7:01 PM Moonrise 2:08 PM Moonset 3:58 AM |
GMZ633 Perdido Bay-pensacola Bay System- 938 Pm Cdt Mon Mar 18 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Tuesday morning - .
Rest of tonight - North winds 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Tuesday - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.
Friday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers, mainly in the morning.
Friday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday - North winds around 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
GMZ600 938 Pm Cdt Mon Mar 18 2024
Synopsis - A strong northerly flow continues through Tuesday morning. Winds quickly subside throughout the day on Tuesday, with light and variable winds expected during the middle part of the week. Moderate winds, generally out of the east, returns for late week before turning back to northerly by the weekend.
Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
  (hide/show)  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS64 KMOB 190506 AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1206 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New AVIATION
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1205 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR conditions expected under northerly flow through today.
Winds are expected to become light this evening.
/16
PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 919 PM CDT Mon Mar 18 2024/
New NEAR TERM UPDATE
Overall the forecast remains on track; however, temperatures might not get as cold as originally expected. Just looking at the overall pattern, we are still under the influences of a 50 to 60 knot 500mb jet and a rather tight pressure gradient at the surface. As a result, winds are expected to remain elevated especially closer to the coast. Typically gusty winds limit radiational cooling through mechanical mixing and this coupled with some higher clouds streaming overhead in response to a subtropical jet over the Gulf might help keep temperatures more in the mid 30s further south and only areas along and north of highway 84 to reach below freezing. On top of warmer temperatures, frost may be a little more difficult given rather large dewpoint depressions nearing 10 degrees or more and once again breezy conditions. Typically for good frost formation you want cool, moist, calm conditions with clear skies. This may only happen further north where drier air has filtered in and the influences of the upper jet are not noticeable. Nonetheless, some of the area will likely see a late season freeze tonight and the potential for some frost still exists.
NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday)
Issued at 919 PM CDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Northwesterly flow aloft will be in place through the period as an amplified upper-level longwave trough lifts into the western Atlantic and an upper ridge builds over the central US. At the surface, strong high pressure continues building into the region, moving directly overhead on Tuesday. This high, along with the deep northwesterly flow aloft will allow for a much cooler and drier airmass to continue advecting in from the north. With clear skies and decreasing winds due to the high moving overhead, efficient radiational cooling will allow for lows to drop into low 30s for areas north of I-10 and mid to upper 30s for areas closer to the coast. A Freeze Warning is in effect tonight for all inland counties, as well as northern portions of Mobile and Baldwin counties. Frost may also be seen across the region, however, with a 10 to 15 degree dew point depression, overall confidence in frost development is rather low, although if dew points right at the surface remain rather elevated, then coverage of a light frost could be widespread. Highs tomorrow will only top out in the upper 50s to low 60s. A low risk of rip currents will be in place through the period. /96
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for ALZ051>060-261- 262.
FL...None.
MS...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for MSZ067-075-076- 078-079.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for GMZ630>636- 650-655-670-675.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1206 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New AVIATION
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1205 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR conditions expected under northerly flow through today.
Winds are expected to become light this evening.
/16
PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 919 PM CDT Mon Mar 18 2024/
New NEAR TERM UPDATE
Overall the forecast remains on track; however, temperatures might not get as cold as originally expected. Just looking at the overall pattern, we are still under the influences of a 50 to 60 knot 500mb jet and a rather tight pressure gradient at the surface. As a result, winds are expected to remain elevated especially closer to the coast. Typically gusty winds limit radiational cooling through mechanical mixing and this coupled with some higher clouds streaming overhead in response to a subtropical jet over the Gulf might help keep temperatures more in the mid 30s further south and only areas along and north of highway 84 to reach below freezing. On top of warmer temperatures, frost may be a little more difficult given rather large dewpoint depressions nearing 10 degrees or more and once again breezy conditions. Typically for good frost formation you want cool, moist, calm conditions with clear skies. This may only happen further north where drier air has filtered in and the influences of the upper jet are not noticeable. Nonetheless, some of the area will likely see a late season freeze tonight and the potential for some frost still exists.
NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday)
Issued at 919 PM CDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Northwesterly flow aloft will be in place through the period as an amplified upper-level longwave trough lifts into the western Atlantic and an upper ridge builds over the central US. At the surface, strong high pressure continues building into the region, moving directly overhead on Tuesday. This high, along with the deep northwesterly flow aloft will allow for a much cooler and drier airmass to continue advecting in from the north. With clear skies and decreasing winds due to the high moving overhead, efficient radiational cooling will allow for lows to drop into low 30s for areas north of I-10 and mid to upper 30s for areas closer to the coast. A Freeze Warning is in effect tonight for all inland counties, as well as northern portions of Mobile and Baldwin counties. Frost may also be seen across the region, however, with a 10 to 15 degree dew point depression, overall confidence in frost development is rather low, although if dew points right at the surface remain rather elevated, then coverage of a light frost could be widespread. Highs tomorrow will only top out in the upper 50s to low 60s. A low risk of rip currents will be in place through the period. /96
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for ALZ051>060-261- 262.
FL...None.
MS...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for MSZ067-075-076- 078-079.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for GMZ630>636- 650-655-670-675.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL | 12 mi | 165 min | 58°F | 30.14 | ||||
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL | 12 mi | 90 min | NNE 4.1 | 53°F | 30.21 | 33°F | ||
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy | 21 mi | 35 min | N 19G | 55°F | 65°F | 30.19 | 41°F | |
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL | 21 mi | 45 min | N 8G | 52°F | 71°F | 30.19 | ||
EFLA1 | 22 mi | 45 min | 54°F | 35°F | ||||
FRMA1 | 22 mi | 45 min | NNE 21G | 56°F | 30.19 | 50°F | ||
DILA1 | 26 mi | 45 min | NNE 20G | |||||
DPHA1 | 26 mi | 165 min | 57°F | 65°F | 29.67 | |||
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL | 28 mi | 135 min | 58°F | 30.55 | ||||
MBPA1 | 28 mi | 45 min | 51°F | 24°F | ||||
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL | 31 mi | 45 min | N 7G | 50°F | 64°F | 30.21 | ||
PTOA1 | 31 mi | 45 min | 50°F | 26°F | ||||
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL | 33 mi | 45 min | 51°F | 63°F | 30.24 | |||
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS | 43 mi | 90 min | N 11 | 51°F | 30.21 | 30°F | ||
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS | 49 mi | 45 min | N 22G | 52°F | 30.20 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KJKA JACK EDWARDS NATIONAL,AL | 6 sm | 20 min | N 07G15 | 10 sm | Clear | 50°F | 27°F | 40% | 30.19 | |
KNPA PENSACOLA NAS/FORREST SHERMAN FIELD,FL | 15 sm | 79 min | N 10G25 | 10 sm | Clear | 54°F | 25°F | 32% | 30.17 | |
KCQF H L SONNY CALLAHAN,AL | 16 sm | 20 min | NNE 10G15 | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 27°F | 43% | 30.20 | |
KPNS PENSACOLA INTL,FL | 24 sm | 22 min | N 13G21 | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 21°F | 34% | 30.18 |
Tide / Current for Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama
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Bon Secour
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:11 AM CDT Moonset
Mon -- 06:14 AM CDT -0.35 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:56 AM CDT Sunrise
Mon -- 01:10 PM CDT Moonrise
Mon -- 06:22 PM CDT 1.81 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:01 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:11 AM CDT Moonset
Mon -- 06:14 AM CDT -0.35 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:56 AM CDT Sunrise
Mon -- 01:10 PM CDT Moonrise
Mon -- 06:22 PM CDT 1.81 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:01 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama, Tide feet
12 am |
0.7 |
1 am |
0.5 |
2 am |
0.3 |
3 am |
0.1 |
4 am |
-0.1 |
5 am |
-0.3 |
6 am |
-0.4 |
7 am |
-0.3 |
8 am |
-0.2 |
9 am |
-0 |
10 am |
0.2 |
11 am |
0.5 |
12 pm |
0.7 |
1 pm |
0.9 |
2 pm |
1.2 |
3 pm |
1.4 |
4 pm |
1.6 |
5 pm |
1.7 |
6 pm |
1.8 |
7 pm |
1.8 |
8 pm |
1.7 |
9 pm |
1.6 |
10 pm |
1.4 |
11 pm |
1.2 |
Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:21 AM CDT -2.23 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 03:12 AM CDT Moonset
Mon -- 06:38 AM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:57 AM CDT Sunrise
Mon -- 01:08 PM CDT 2.06 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 01:11 PM CDT Moonrise
Mon -- 07:02 PM CDT Sunset
Mon -- 07:27 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:21 AM CDT -2.23 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 03:12 AM CDT Moonset
Mon -- 06:38 AM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:57 AM CDT Sunrise
Mon -- 01:08 PM CDT 2.06 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 01:11 PM CDT Moonrise
Mon -- 07:02 PM CDT Sunset
Mon -- 07:27 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current, knots
12 am |
-2.2 |
1 am |
-2.2 |
2 am |
-2 |
3 am |
-1.7 |
4 am |
-1.3 |
5 am |
-0.9 |
6 am |
-0.3 |
7 am |
0.2 |
8 am |
0.7 |
9 am |
1.1 |
10 am |
1.5 |
11 am |
1.8 |
12 pm |
2 |
1 pm |
2.1 |
2 pm |
2 |
3 pm |
1.9 |
4 pm |
1.6 |
5 pm |
1.2 |
6 pm |
0.8 |
7 pm |
0.2 |
8 pm |
-0.3 |
9 pm |
-0.8 |
10 pm |
-1.3 |
11 pm |
-1.7 |
Mobile, AL,
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