Sunday, November19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Marshallberg, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 5:17PM Sunday November 19, 2017 5:37 PM AST (21:37 UTC) Moonrise 8:06AMMoonset 7:00PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Marshallberg, NC
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location: 30.38, -71.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 191951
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
251 pm est Sun nov 19 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build in from the west tonight and Monday,
and then move offshore Tuesday. Low pressure will move northeast
near the coast early Wednesday and again Friday.

Near term through tonight
As of 210 pm sun... Latest sfc analysis shows cold front off the
coast this afternoon... With strong 1030mb high pressure
centered over tx. The front will continue to push eastward this
evening and tonight as the high builds in from the west. Latest
satellite imagery shows mostly sunny skies across the area this
afternoon, with line of clouds lingering just behind the front
along the immediate coast. Leaned towards the colder guidance
overnight with mostly clear skies, winds may decouple west of
highway 17, but should stay up east with good caa. Light breeze
should limit any frost potential for those coastal counties that
have not yet ended the growing season. Lows in the low to mid
30s inland, and upper 30s to low 40s along the beaches.

Short term Monday
As of 210 pm sun... High pressure will continue to build in from
the west Monday, making for an overall pleasant day, though
temps will remain below normal. Low level thickness values and
mostly sunny skies support highs in the low to mid 50s for the
outer banks, and mid 50s to around 60 degrees inland. Min rh
values will drop to 25-30 percent inland Mon afternoon.

Long term Monday night through Sunday
As of 210 pm sun... High pressure shifts off the coast late
Monday night and Tuesday. A cold front will move through
Wednesday morning and become stationary off the coast of the
southeast states. Areas of low pressure will move northeast
along the front thanksgiving day into Friday.

Monday night and Tuesday... There will be the potential for frost
for those coastal counties that have not yet ended the growing
season Monday night Tue morning (mainland hyde, pamlico and
carteret)... With temps dropping into the mid to upper 30s. Warmer
southerly flow on Tuesday will lead to milder temps, with highs
in the lower to upper 60s.

Wednesday thru Friday... A cold front will move off the coast
Wednesday morning and stall over the offshore waters of the
southeast states. A few waves of low pressure will move
northeast along the front during this time. The best chance for
rain during this time will be mainly east of highway 17 with
pops no higher than 40-50%
high temps will be in the lower to mid 60s Wednesday, and then
the lower to mid 50s Thursday and 55-60 Friday. Low temps wed
will range from the upper 40s inland to the mid to upper 50s
along the south coast and outer banks. Lows Thursday will be
around 40 on the coastal plain to 45-50 south coast and obx.

Lows Friday morning will be in the mid to upper 30s coastal
plain to mid upper 40s south coast and obx.

Saturday... The offshore front will move off to the east as a
deep upper trof sweeps in from the west. Highs will be around 60
after morning lows in the upper 30s inland, with upper 40s to
lower 50s outer banks.

Aviation 20z Sunday through Friday
Short term through Monday ...

as of 1210 pm Sunday... High confidence inVFR conditions to
dominate the TAF period as high pressure builds into the region.

Expect NW gusty winds up to 25 kts this afternoon, then
becoming light and variable tonight. Drier air will filter in,
resulting in no fog development. Tomorrow, expectVFR conditions
to continue with light winds from the NW then becoming W in the
afternoon.

Long term Monday night through Friday ...

as of 230 am sun...VFR conditions forecast Monday night and
Tuesday. Sub-vfr in light rain Wednesday and thanksgiving day,
with the best chance at ewn and oaj. Only isolated activity at
pgv and iso.

Marine
Short term through Monday ...

as of 250 pm Sunday... Latest obs show NW winds 10-20 kt with
gusts 25-30 kt, and seas 3-6 ft north of oregon inlet and 5-9 ft
south. SCA remains in effect for all coastal waters, sounds and
inland rivers through this evening into Monday morning. High
pressure will build in from the west tonight and Monday as front
moves further offshore. Good CAA develops tonight, and though
expect brief "lull" in winds late this afternoon and evening,
expect NW winds to surge again late this evening and overnight
to 15-25 kt. Seas will gradually subside below 6 ft by mid
morning Monday. N NW winds 15-25 kt early Mon morning becoming
w NE 10 kt or less with seas 2-4 ft by late afternoon. Could see
some lower water on the western inland rivers through early
Monday morning, about a foot below normal, given the NW flow but
not enough to warrant an advisory at this point.

Long term Monday night through Friday ...

as of 230 am sun... Winds Tuesday will be sse 5-10 kts. Another
front will cross the waters Wednesday morning, with winds
becoming north 15-20 knots and continuing through thanksgiving
day. Seas on Tuesday only 1-2 feet. However, seas will very
quickly build to 5-8 feet north of CAPE lookout and 4-6 feet
south following the passage of the cold front Wednesday morning.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 pm est this evening for amz136-
137.

Small craft advisory until 7 am est Monday for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 5 am est Monday for amz130-131.

Small craft advisory until 11 am est Monday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 10 am est Monday for amz150-156-158.

Synopsis... Jbm cqd
near term... Cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Cqd hsa
aviation... Hsa bm
marine... Cqd hsa


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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.