Friday, June22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Marshallberg, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 8:30PM Friday June 22, 2018 11:42 PM ADT (02:42 UTC) Moonrise 2:59PMMoonset 2:08AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Marshallberg, NC
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location: 30.38, -71.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 230210
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1010 pm edt Fri jun 22 2018

Synopsis
An inland trough offshore high pattern will prevail over the
area through Saturday. A cold front will approach from the
northwest Sunday and move through Monday into Monday night.

High pressure will build into the area Tuesday and gradually
move offshore Wednesday.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
As of 1010 pm Friday... Showers redeveloping just to the west are
moving northeast and should stay out of the forecast area.

Convective cluster over northern south carolina is forecast by
short-range models to dissipate just west of the forecast area
shortly after midnight. Will maintain dry forecast for now. Sw
flow will keep min temps in mid to upper 70s.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday
As of 400 pm... Similar conditions will continue on Saturday with
offshore high inland trough pattern. Isolated convective
activity possible in morning with scattered coverage for
afternoon inland of sea breeze. Highs 90-95 inland with 85-90
coast and heat indices 100-105.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
As of 340 am Friday... Hot and humid SW flow is expected to
continue through the weekend. A moderately strong cold front is
then forecast to move into eastern nc Monday, pushing south of
the region Monday night. High pressure will then build into the
area from the north Tuesday and Wed then continue to influence
the weather while moving offshore Thursday into Friday with
temps near normal. Broad troughing aloft will keep the threat
for convection in the forecast over the weekend. The cold front
will bring even better chances for precipitation from Sunday
night into Monday night, then much lower but not non zero
chances for mainly diurnally driven showers and storms are
expected from Tuesday into Thursday as high pressure builds
tends to inhibit widespread organized convection.

Saturday through Monday... Unsettled muggy weather is expected
during this period. Broad upper troughing is expected to
persist over the area over the weekend aiding lift of hot humid
airmass which will be in place across the carolinas leading to
scattered showers and thunderstorms. The cold front will
continue the threat for showers and storms Mon mon night.

Tue through thu... The front is forecast to push south of the
region Tue as high pressure builds over the area from the
north into wed. The high is forecast to move offshore while
continuing to influence the weather thu. As is typical for this
time of year, there will be enough residual moisture and
instability behind the front to warrant low chance pops each day
for a few mainly diurnally driven showers or storms. Temps will
be closer to normal values in the low to mid 80s.

Aviation 02z Saturday through Wednesday
Short term through 18z Saturday ...

as of 7 pm Friday... Warm sector summertimeVFR expected to
prevail all sites through period. SW winds 5-10 kt expected to
preclude fog threat.

Long term Saturday night through Tuesday ...

as of 340 am Friday...VFR conditions are expected through most
of the long term, with the exception of occasional subVFR
conditions possible each day in scattered showers and
thunderstorms with the greatest threat Mon afternoon and
evening.

Marine
Short term through Saturday ...

as of 1010 pm Friday... No change to zones. Tightening pressure
gradient between offshore high and inland trough will keep ssw
winds 10-20 kt over waters tonight, and approaching front will
result in higher gusts Saturday afternoon. Gusty winds will
persist into Sunday night and have posted SCA for outer waters
and pamlico sound.

Seas will build to 3-4 feet tonight and 4-5 ft Saturday.

Long term Saturday night through Tuesday ... As of 340 am
Friday... Sw flow increases to 20-25 kt late Sat and continues
through Sun night ahead of the cold front. Winds Monday shift to
nw-n and diminish to 10 to 15 kt behind the front. Tue winds
are forecast to be NE 10 to 15 kt as high pressure builds over
the waters from the north. Seas build to 3 to 5 ft late sat,
then 4-7 ft Sat night through Sun night. Seas are then forecast
to subside to 3 to 5 ft late Mon morning and 2 to 4 ft tue
afternoon.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 2 pm Saturday to 4 am edt Monday for
amz135.

Small craft advisory from 2 pm Saturday to 8 am edt Monday for
amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 5 pm Saturday to 8 am edt Monday for
amz156-158.

Small craft advisory from 2 pm Saturday to 11 pm edt Sunday
for amz150.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Hsa jbm
short term... Jbm
long term... Jme
aviation... Hsa jbm jme
marine... Hsa jbm jme


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.