Sunrise 5:50 AM   Sunset 7:41 PM Moonrise 5:13 PM   Moonset 3:57 AM

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GMZ633 Perdido Bay-pensacola Bay System-western Choctawhatchee Bay- Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 318 Am Cdt Mon May 20 2024
Today - East winds around 5 knots, becoming south late. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Tonight - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming east after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Tuesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Tuesday night - South winds around 5 knots, becoming east after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Friday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.

GMZ600 318 Am Cdt Mon May 20 2024
Synopsis - Light easterly winds today become light southeasterly to southerly through the remainder of the week.

FXUS64 KMOB 201131 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 631 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

VFR conditions prevail for the next 24 hours with the exception of some localized patchy fog late tonight across portions of southeast Mississippi. Calm or light and variable winds this morning become easterly to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots today. /22

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 518 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Tuesday)
Issued at 518 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Dry conditions will persist through Tuesday as deep ridging remains across Mississippi, Alabama and the western Florida panhandle. Subsidence from the riding should prevent any showers or storms from developing, and also allow for daytime temperatures to heat up today and Tuesday. Skies should be mostly clear at night and partly cloudy during the day. Primarily light easterly winds today and tonight becoming southeasterly on Tuesday. Patchy fog is expected to develop across Stone, George, Perry and southwest Greene counties late tonight.

Temperatures will remain 1-5 degrees above seasonal norms, with highs today and Tuesday in the mid 80s to lower 90s and lows ranging from 62 to 66 degrees interior areas and from 67 to 72 degrees close to the coast. A Moderate risk of rip currents today becomes Low on Tuesday. /22

SHORT AND LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 518 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

The forecast remains dry and warm through at least Thursday.
Ridging aloft continues to nose into the region from the southwestern Gulf through Wednesday. The ridge begins to flatten into the Gulf Thursday into the weekend as a series of shortwaves skirt along the periphery of the ridge. Meanwhile, a surface high over the western Atlantic maintains a firm grip over parts of the Southeast and eastern Gulf through at least Friday and potentially into the early part of the weekend. A weak front associated with the first shortwave will attempt to drift into the MidSouth, but likely won't make it near our region given the influence of deep layer ridging. The surface high's grasp over the local area should keep the bulk of the showers and storms further to our north on Friday. We maintained the 15-25% POPs on Friday afternoon, but our confidence in these POPs is rather low at this time given the nearby ridging. The best chance for showers and storms over the weekend will be generally north of the Highway 84 corridor in the afternoon hours and early evening hours.

Beach Note: Rip current risk remains LOW through Friday with the RCMOS probabilities also remaining LOW through the weekend. 07/mb

MARINE...
Issued at 518 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Light easterly winds today become light southeasterly to southerly through the remainder of the week. Seas generally remaining 2 feet or less through the period. No significant hazards to small craft are expected. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 89 68 87 67 86 68 87 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 87 70 86 70 84 71 85 72 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 84 72 83 71 83 72 84 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 88 63 89 63 90 66 90 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 89 65 90 65 90 66 90 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Camden 87 63 89 64 89 66 89 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Crestview 89 65 89 63 89 65 89 66 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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Pensacola Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:56 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:52 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:16 AM CDT     0.90 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:12 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:18 PM CDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:39 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pensacola Bay Entrance, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Warrington
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:56 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:51 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:12 AM CDT     1.12 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:12 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:22 PM CDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:39 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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