Sunrise 6:06 AM   Sunset 7:22 PM Moonrise 9:18 PM   Moonset 6:54 AM

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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 931 Pm Cdt Thu Apr 25 2024
Rest of tonight - Southwest winds around 5 knots late this evening and early morning, becoming light and variable. Waves 1 foot or less. Patchy fog. Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Patchy fog in the morning. Friday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Saturday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Saturday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Sunday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Monday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Tuesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Tuesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.

GMZ600 931 Pm Cdt Thu Apr 25 2024
Synopsis - Southeasterly winds continue through the remainder of the week and into the weekend. Winds are expected to strengthen this weekend, along with building seas, before gradually subsiding early next week.

FXUS64 KMOB 252344 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 644 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 644 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the remainder of the evening hours. Fog is expected to develop overnight tonight, mainly north of I-10. Some localized patches of dense fog may be possible primarily over interior portions of south central Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle. Fog will dissipate after sunrise and VFR conditions will return for the remainder of the day tomorrow.
Light and variable winds tonight will become southeasterly and increase to around 10 to 15 knots late tomorrow morning. Winds during the afternoon hours could gust as high as 25 knots in spots. /96

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 332 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Friday)
Issued at 332 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Upper ridging will slowly build eastward during the overnight hours as the axis of an upper level trough swings into the Plains.
At the surface, southerly flow will persist, filtering in warm and moist air. Current conditions across the forecast area are on the warm side, as temps have risen into the lower to mid 80s under partly cloudy skies. Skies will remain partly cloudy over the most part tonight and winds are expected to become calm, leading to radiational cooling for our overnight hours. This will allow temps to fall into the upper 50s to lower 60s by daybreak. The upper ridge will strengthen a bit on Friday morning before it begins to exit the area as the trough to our west slides eastward.
Seasonably warm temperatures are expected again on Friday, as highs warm into the lower to mid 80s. /73

SHORT THROUGH LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 419 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Dry and seasonably warm conditions will persist through the weekend as upper ridging and surface high pressure maintain their hold on the sensible weather pattern. The aforementioned trough to our west will pivot northward before it becomes absorbed in the ridging aloft. Another closed low and trough will then swing into the Plains again and the upper ridge will strengthen over the southeast. Temps through the weekend will rise into the lower 80s during the day and fall into the lower to mid 60s during the overnight hours.

The closed low over the plains will open as it moves to the northeast at the start of the upcoming work week. The ridge will maintain its hold through at least Monday, with another dry and seasonal day is on tap. The upper ridge will continue to push to the east through the day on Tuesday, as the weakening trough moves into the Mississippi Valley. The trough will continue to weaken through the day and flow aloft will become more zonal by Tuesday afternoon. There may be enough forcing to lend isolated thunderstorms Monday night into Tuesday, with the better chances during the afternoon hours on Tuesday. Confidence is not overly high on the coverage and for now will cap PoPs to 30%. Another ridge begins to build eastward on Wednesday, with dry conditions expected to return. /73

MARINE...
Issued at 332 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Onshore flow will persist and then strengthen late Friday and especially this weekend. Winds may become sustained between 15-25 kt over the marine area through much of the weekend. Seas may build to 5-8 ft over the Gulf waters Saturday night into Sunday.
Small Craft Advisories will likely become necessary this weekend.
/73

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 62 82 65 81 66 80 65 82 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Pensacola 64 78 67 78 68 78 67 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 66 77 68 78 68 78 68 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 59 86 61 84 61 84 59 85 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 60 86 63 84 63 83 61 85 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 Camden 59 85 63 83 62 83 60 84 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Crestview 58 84 60 84 61 84 59 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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East Pass (Destin)
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Thu -- 06:07 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:54 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:25 AM CDT     0.63 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:20 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:17 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Harris
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Thu -- 12:46 AM CDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:08 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:55 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:29 PM CDT     1.50 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:21 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:18 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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