Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ferry Pass, FL
March 19, 2024 8:45 AM CDT (13:45 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:51 AM Sunset 7:01 PM Moonrise 2:06 PM Moonset 3:56 AM |
GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 343 Am Cdt Tue Mar 19 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 am cdt this morning - .
Today - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots early this morning, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots late this morning, then becoming southwest late this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.
Friday - East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northeast in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers, mainly in the morning.
Friday night - North winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday - North winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday night - North winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
GMZ600 343 Am Cdt Tue Mar 19 2024
Synopsis - A strong offshore flow will continue through early this morning before winds gradually diminish through the day. Light and variable winds are expected during the middle part of the week. A moderate easterly flow returns late this week before turning northerly following the passage of a cold front late Friday into Saturday.
Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 191132 AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 632 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New AVIATION
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 632 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR will continue through the period. Northerly winds will continue to diminish early this morning and become light westerly to southwesterly by this afternoon. /21
PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 445 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024/
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday)
Issued at 442 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Northerly surface winds remain elevated between 5-10 mph over inland portions of the forecast area and up to 10-15 mph with a few gusts over 20 mph along the immediate coast early this morning given the MSLP gradient along the building surface ridge across the Mississippi and Tennessee Valley regions. Temperatures have subsequently been a little slower to drop than anticipated, though a check of observations at 4 AM CDT indicate that temperatures have fallen into the lower to mid 30s over interior portions of southeast MS and southwest AL. There is still some opportunity for temps to briefly drop to around 30 degrees over interior locations through the early morning hours so the Freeze Warning will remain in effect until expiration at 9 AM CDT.
An upper level trough will translate eastward from the Eastern Seaboard into the western Atlantic today, with flow aloft over the eastern CONUS gradually de-amplifying in the wake of this departing feature. A dry northwesterly to zonal flow pattern will prevail across our region through Wednesday afternoon. Surface high pressure will also build over the north central Gulf Coast region through Wednesday. A cool and dry airmass remains in place today with highs only expected to range from around 60 degrees to the lower 60s over most of our area. Mostly clear skies and near calm or light/variable surface winds are anticipated tonight as the surface ridge builds over our region. Overnight lows are expected to range in the mid 30s over interior areas, where conditions perhaps become a little more favorable for areas of frost to form late tonight into early Wednesday morning. Lows near the coast will be a little warmer in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Mostly sunny skies continue on Wednesday with temperatures trending warmer in the upper 60s to lower 70s inland and in the mid to upper 60s along the immediate coast. A LOW rip current risk is anticipated through midweek along area beaches.
/21
SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday night through Friday)
Issued at 442 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Through the Short Term, guidance continues to advertise a shortwave trough moving from over the Plains to over the Southeast. What has changed is a slowing down of a now stronger upper trough moving over the Plains/Southeast. With this change in the upper dynamics comes a more organized surface low forming over the Texas coast, then moving east over the northern Gulf coast(most guidance) or inland(GFS)
over the Southeast. Yesterday, guidance advertised a weakening trough bringing a less organized surface circulation moving over the northern Gulf of Mexico. Have went with a nudge towards this change with yesterday's forecast, instead of making a more significant shift. This means rain lasting longer through Friday before moving east of the forecast area. Have also shifted north a bit any rumbles, with more instability available closer to the northern Gulf coast. Still, have kept mention of thunder to areas south of the coast. Significant rain is still slow to move in Thursday, with isentropic upglide generated rain showers moistening the airmass as a series of shortwave impulses pass over the forecast area ahead of the main trough. Rainfall amounts for this event will see an uptick over most of the forecast area due to the longer period of rain, especially to areas along and south of I-65. Still, am not expecting any water issues, with the still progressive nature of the passing system.
With increasing cloudiness from the passing shortwave energy along with the rain cooling, the diurnal temperatures range will see a decrease. High temperatures a bit below seasonal norms are expected Thursday and Friday (upper 60s to low 70s). Low temperatures mainly in the 40s Wednesday night rise into the 50s for Thursday night.
/16
LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Monday)
Issued at 442 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Upper ridging moves over the Southeast for the weekend behind the exiting shortwave trough. Temperatures rise to a bit above seasonal norms in response for the weekend. Another round of passing shortwave energy approaches the Southeast early in the coming week, with rain moving back over the forecast area Monday/Monday night /16
MARINE...
Issued at 442 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all of our marine zones until 10 AM CDT this morning as northeasterly winds remain elevated between 15-25 kt with higher gusts. Winds should diminish later this morning into this afternoon. Light and variable winds are expected during the middle part of the week. A moderate easterly flow returns late this week. There is some uncertainty on the surface wind pattern late this week as a potential low pressure system translates across the northern Gulf. It still appears that winds turn northerly following the passage of a cold front late Friday into Saturday. /21
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 62 39 70 47 69 54 70 52 / 0 0 0 0 20 40 30 0 Pensacola 61 43 69 49 68 57 70 56 / 0 0 0 0 10 40 40 10 Destin 60 47 66 52 69 59 70 59 / 0 0 0 0 10 40 40 10 Evergreen 63 36 72 43 71 52 68 52 / 0 0 0 0 10 30 40 10 Waynesboro 62 35 71 43 68 51 68 49 / 0 0 0 0 10 30 30 0 Camden 61 36 71 43 70 51 65 49 / 0 0 0 0 10 30 40 10 Crestview 62 35 71 43 72 53 70 53 / 0 0 0 0 10 40 50 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for ALZ051>060-261- 262.
FL...None.
MS...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for MSZ067-075-076- 078-079.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for GMZ630>636- 650-655-670-675.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 632 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New AVIATION
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 632 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR will continue through the period. Northerly winds will continue to diminish early this morning and become light westerly to southwesterly by this afternoon. /21
PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 445 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024/
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday)
Issued at 442 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Northerly surface winds remain elevated between 5-10 mph over inland portions of the forecast area and up to 10-15 mph with a few gusts over 20 mph along the immediate coast early this morning given the MSLP gradient along the building surface ridge across the Mississippi and Tennessee Valley regions. Temperatures have subsequently been a little slower to drop than anticipated, though a check of observations at 4 AM CDT indicate that temperatures have fallen into the lower to mid 30s over interior portions of southeast MS and southwest AL. There is still some opportunity for temps to briefly drop to around 30 degrees over interior locations through the early morning hours so the Freeze Warning will remain in effect until expiration at 9 AM CDT.
An upper level trough will translate eastward from the Eastern Seaboard into the western Atlantic today, with flow aloft over the eastern CONUS gradually de-amplifying in the wake of this departing feature. A dry northwesterly to zonal flow pattern will prevail across our region through Wednesday afternoon. Surface high pressure will also build over the north central Gulf Coast region through Wednesday. A cool and dry airmass remains in place today with highs only expected to range from around 60 degrees to the lower 60s over most of our area. Mostly clear skies and near calm or light/variable surface winds are anticipated tonight as the surface ridge builds over our region. Overnight lows are expected to range in the mid 30s over interior areas, where conditions perhaps become a little more favorable for areas of frost to form late tonight into early Wednesday morning. Lows near the coast will be a little warmer in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Mostly sunny skies continue on Wednesday with temperatures trending warmer in the upper 60s to lower 70s inland and in the mid to upper 60s along the immediate coast. A LOW rip current risk is anticipated through midweek along area beaches.
/21
SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday night through Friday)
Issued at 442 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Through the Short Term, guidance continues to advertise a shortwave trough moving from over the Plains to over the Southeast. What has changed is a slowing down of a now stronger upper trough moving over the Plains/Southeast. With this change in the upper dynamics comes a more organized surface low forming over the Texas coast, then moving east over the northern Gulf coast(most guidance) or inland(GFS)
over the Southeast. Yesterday, guidance advertised a weakening trough bringing a less organized surface circulation moving over the northern Gulf of Mexico. Have went with a nudge towards this change with yesterday's forecast, instead of making a more significant shift. This means rain lasting longer through Friday before moving east of the forecast area. Have also shifted north a bit any rumbles, with more instability available closer to the northern Gulf coast. Still, have kept mention of thunder to areas south of the coast. Significant rain is still slow to move in Thursday, with isentropic upglide generated rain showers moistening the airmass as a series of shortwave impulses pass over the forecast area ahead of the main trough. Rainfall amounts for this event will see an uptick over most of the forecast area due to the longer period of rain, especially to areas along and south of I-65. Still, am not expecting any water issues, with the still progressive nature of the passing system.
With increasing cloudiness from the passing shortwave energy along with the rain cooling, the diurnal temperatures range will see a decrease. High temperatures a bit below seasonal norms are expected Thursday and Friday (upper 60s to low 70s). Low temperatures mainly in the 40s Wednesday night rise into the 50s for Thursday night.
/16
LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Monday)
Issued at 442 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Upper ridging moves over the Southeast for the weekend behind the exiting shortwave trough. Temperatures rise to a bit above seasonal norms in response for the weekend. Another round of passing shortwave energy approaches the Southeast early in the coming week, with rain moving back over the forecast area Monday/Monday night /16
MARINE...
Issued at 442 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all of our marine zones until 10 AM CDT this morning as northeasterly winds remain elevated between 15-25 kt with higher gusts. Winds should diminish later this morning into this afternoon. Light and variable winds are expected during the middle part of the week. A moderate easterly flow returns late this week. There is some uncertainty on the surface wind pattern late this week as a potential low pressure system translates across the northern Gulf. It still appears that winds turn northerly following the passage of a cold front late Friday into Saturday. /21
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 62 39 70 47 69 54 70 52 / 0 0 0 0 20 40 30 0 Pensacola 61 43 69 49 68 57 70 56 / 0 0 0 0 10 40 40 10 Destin 60 47 66 52 69 59 70 59 / 0 0 0 0 10 40 40 10 Evergreen 63 36 72 43 71 52 68 52 / 0 0 0 0 10 30 40 10 Waynesboro 62 35 71 43 68 51 68 49 / 0 0 0 0 10 30 30 0 Camden 61 36 71 43 70 51 65 49 / 0 0 0 0 10 30 40 10 Crestview 62 35 71 43 72 53 70 53 / 0 0 0 0 10 40 50 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for ALZ051>060-261- 262.
FL...None.
MS...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for MSZ067-075-076- 078-079.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for GMZ630>636- 650-655-670-675.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL | 8 mi | 45 min | NNE 5.1G | 42°F | 69°F | 30.26 | ||
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL | 36 mi | 60 min | N 1 | 37°F | 30.27 | 30°F | ||
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy | 38 mi | 35 min | NNE 14G | 46°F | 64°F | 30.27 | 35°F | |
EFLA1 | 45 mi | 45 min | 45°F | 27°F | ||||
PTOA1 | 47 mi | 45 min | 42°F | 24°F | ||||
FRMA1 | 48 mi | 45 min | NE 17G | 45°F | 30.26 | 37°F | ||
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL | 48 mi | 45 min | NE 13G | 42°F | 60°F | 30.28 | ||
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL | 48 mi | 45 min | 46°F | 62°F | 30.30 | |||
MBPA1 | 49 mi | 45 min | 46°F | 25°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KPNS PENSACOLA INTL,FL | 4 sm | 52 min | N 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 41°F | 21°F | 45% | 30.24 | |
KNPA PENSACOLA NAS/FORREST SHERMAN FIELD,FL | 14 sm | 49 min | NNE 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 45°F | 23°F | 42% | 30.25 | |
KNDZ WHITING FIELD NAS SOUTH,FL | 15 sm | 49 min | N 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 39°F | 25°F | 56% | 30.24 | |
KNSE WHITING FIELD NAS NORTH,FL | 16 sm | 49 min | N 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 37°F | 25°F | 60% | 30.24 |
Tide / Current for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:56 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:52 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:34 AM CDT -0.41 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:05 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:59 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:31 PM CDT 1.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:56 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:52 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:34 AM CDT -0.41 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:05 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:59 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:31 PM CDT 1.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
0.9 |
1 am |
0.7 |
2 am |
0.4 |
3 am |
0.2 |
4 am |
-0.1 |
5 am |
-0.2 |
6 am |
-0.3 |
7 am |
-0.4 |
8 am |
-0.4 |
9 am |
-0.3 |
10 am |
-0.2 |
11 am |
-0.1 |
12 pm |
0.1 |
1 pm |
0.3 |
2 pm |
0.5 |
3 pm |
0.7 |
4 pm |
0.9 |
5 pm |
1.1 |
6 pm |
1.3 |
7 pm |
1.4 |
8 pm |
1.5 |
9 pm |
1.5 |
10 pm |
1.4 |
11 pm |
1.3 |
Bay Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:56 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:52 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:58 AM CDT -0.41 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:05 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:59 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:18 PM CDT 1.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:56 AM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:52 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:58 AM CDT -0.41 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:05 PM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:59 PM CDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:18 PM CDT 1.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
1.1 |
1 am |
0.8 |
2 am |
0.6 |
3 am |
0.3 |
4 am |
0 |
5 am |
-0.1 |
6 am |
-0.3 |
7 am |
-0.4 |
8 am |
-0.4 |
9 am |
-0.4 |
10 am |
-0.3 |
11 am |
-0.2 |
12 pm |
-0 |
1 pm |
0.1 |
2 pm |
0.3 |
3 pm |
0.6 |
4 pm |
0.8 |
5 pm |
1 |
6 pm |
1.2 |
7 pm |
1.3 |
8 pm |
1.4 |
9 pm |
1.5 |
10 pm |
1.5 |
11 pm |
1.4 |
Northwest Florida,
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