Sunday, September24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ferry Pass, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 6:43PM Sunday September 24, 2017 9:42 PM CDT (02:42 UTC) Moonrise 10:38AMMoonset 9:49PM Illumination 20% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 535 Pm Cdt Sun Sep 24 2017
Tonight..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northwest. Smooth to a light chop becoming smooth.
Wednesday..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop.
Thursday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop.
Friday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop.
Friday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 535 Pm Cdt Sun Sep 24 2017
Synopsis..High pressure ridging into the marine area will continue through midweek. This will create a light to occasionally moderate easterly flow. An offshore flow is expected to develop in the wake of a frontal passage toward the end of the forecast period, with northerly winds and seas then building into the latter part of the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ferry Pass, FL
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location: 30.52, -87.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 250143 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
843 pm cdt Sun sep 24 2017

Discussion See updated information for land areas below.

Update The earlier scattered showers and thunderstorms have
mostly dissipated around the region early this evening with loss
of daytime heating. We have left a slight chance of rain in the
forecast mainly over southern areas tonight, but the best chance
of convection will be focused offshore. No other updates currently
appear to be necessary. 21

Prev discussion issued 638 pm cdt Sun sep 24 2017
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance...VFR CIGS visbys generally expected through the
forecast. Shra SE of i65 and isolated tsra generally west of the
al ms state line will bring local drops to MVFR levels through the
evening before fizzling out. Another round of shra tsra is expected
Monday, bringing drop to MVFR levels. Also, possible strong outflow
winds with the stronger storms can make operations difficult at
times.

16
prev discussion... Issued 537 pm cdt Sun sep 24 2017
discussion... Updated for latest marine discussion below.

Marine... Marine forecast updated to bump winds and waves up
along and south of coast. Forecast shipped.

16
prev discussion... Issued 355 pm cdt Sun sep 24 2017
near term now through Monday ... Upper low continues to spin over
the area this afternoon. Widespread clouds from convection offshore
has slowed development of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon.

However, scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to
develop inland through early this evening with heavy rain and gusty
winds the primary threats. The upper low opens up on Monday as it
drifts west, maintaining the chances for scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Plenty of deep layer moisture with precipitable water
values around 2 inches will continue the risk for locally heavy
rain. The showers and storms will be moist numerous during the peak
afternoon heating hours before fading during the evening hours. Lows
tonight will range from the upper 60s inland to low to mid 70s along
the coast. 13
short term Monday night through Wednesday night ... The upper low
that excited thunderstorm activity over the area Sunday Monday
shifts southeast and settles over the northeastern gulf through
the short term. With the local area back under its northwestern
quadrant and northerly flow aloft, expecting convective activity
to diminish through midweek as moisture levels drop and pwats
return to sub-1.5 inch values. Meanwhile at the surface, weak high
pressure maintains a light easterly flow Tuesday, then a more
variable flow Wednesday with a diurnal sea land breeze circulation
dominating winds near the coast. With skies clearing, highs
return to the low 90's each afternoon and lows reach the mid 60's
inland to low 70's along the coast each night. 49
long term Thursday through Sunday ... A bit more uncertainty has
developed in the latest long range model solutions. While models
are consistent in keeping us warm and dry through Thursday, the
gfs is now backing off on the frontal passage occurring late this
week, stalling the cooler and drier airmass along the i-20
corridor instead before lifting it back to the north. Meanwhile,
the ECMWF continues to push the front through Friday, providing us
with cooler and drier weather over the weekend while the gfs
leaves us warm and soupy. Given this added uncertainty, have
remained a bit conservative in this package with just how low the
dewpoints get over the weekend, and have them recovering a bit
more quickly than originally progged. In either case, we could
see an uptick in showers and storms along and ahead of the front,
but only enough to warrant slight chance pops this far out.

High temps Thursday remain above seasonal, reaching the upper 80's
to low 90's. Lows Thursday night range from mid 60's inland to low
70's along the immediate coast. Beyond that, tough to say since
temperatures will depend heavily on how far south the front makes
it. South of the front, locations will remain in the mid to upper
80's, while north of the front only low 80's. Overnight lows
range from upper 50's north of the front to mid to upper 60's
south of the front. 49
marine... High pressure ridging into the marine area will continue
through midweek. This will create a light to occasionally moderate
easterly flow. An offshore flow is expected to develop in the wake
of a frontal passage toward the end of the forecast period, with
northerly winds and seas then building into the latter part of the
week. 13

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 8 mi42 min 78°F 83°F1013.8 hPa (+0.9)
PPTA1 26 mi42 min E 11 79°F 1013.9 hPa (+1.0)
WBYA1 35 mi42 min 84°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 36 mi57 min 75°F 1013 hPa72°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 37 mi52 min ENE 18 G 21 79°F 82°F3 ft1012.7 hPa (+0.7)72°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 42 mi42 min Calm 75°F 1014.2 hPa (+0.7)
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 45 mi72 min NE 8 79°F 1013.5 hPa
PTOA1 47 mi42 min 77°F 71°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 48 mi42 min 78°F 82°F1013.8 hPa (+0.4)
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 48 mi42 min ENE 5.1 G 6 78°F 83°F1013.8 hPa (+0.5)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL4 mi49 minENE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F70°F76%1013.8 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL14 mi46 minENE 8 miMostly Cloudy76°F69°F79%1013.7 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL15 mi46 minENE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F73°F85%1012.5 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL16 mi46 minN 010.00 miFair73°F72°F96%1012.4 hPa

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr3E4NE4NE3NE5E4NE3NE6NE5NE6NE6NE4CalmCalmE5E5SE5E3NE5NE5NE6NE4NE7E3
1 day agoNW3N4N4N5N6N3N3N3NE5NE4E6NE5E4SE7E7SE5S4SE9S5SE5SE3CalmCalmNE5
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3N3NE3NE3CalmNE3NE4E5E5E5E555SE9SE8SE9S8S4CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:56 AM CDT     1.78 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:38 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:38 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:23 PM CDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:42 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:48 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.71.81.81.71.71.51.41.210.80.70.60.60.60.70.70.80.9111.21.31.41.6

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:20 AM CDT     1.48 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:38 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:38 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:20 AM CDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:42 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:49 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.41.51.51.41.31.210.90.70.60.50.50.50.50.60.70.70.80.90.911.21.31.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.