Saturday, June24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ferry Pass, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 7:56PM Saturday June 24, 2017 12:33 AM CDT (05:33 UTC) Moonrise 6:25AMMoonset 8:35PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 1047 Pm Cdt Fri Jun 23 2017
Rest of tonight..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest. Smooth to a light chop becoming a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop becoming smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming light. A light chop becoming smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Winds light becoming north 3 to 8 knots. Smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop.
Wednesday..East winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1047 Pm Cdt Fri Jun 23 2017
Synopsis..Weak high pressure will continue over the eastern and north central gulf through Sunday then become reinforced by early next week as drier more stable air moves south over the region, in the wake of a weakening frontal boundary moving south towards the coast over the weekend. Showers and Thunderstorms are expected ahead and along the front with the best coverage occurring over the marine area Sunday into the Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ferry Pass, FL
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 30.52, -87.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus64 kmob 240513 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1213 am cdt Sat jun 24 2017

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
06z issuance... MVFR to ifr CIGS and visibilities through 24.12z
followed by mostly MVFR CIGS and visibilities through 25.06z.

Lower CIGS and visibilities mostly in and around scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms moving eastward across the
forecast area through Sat afternoon. The best coverage of showers
and thunderstorms will occur through late tonight and on sat,
reforming mostly after 24.15z sat. Winds will be south to
southwest at 3 to 8 knots late tonight through Sat evening. Higher
gusts up to 25 knots will also be possible with a few of the
stronger thunderstorms through the forecast period. 32 ee

Prev discussion issued 910 pm cdt Fri jun 23 2017
discussion... See updated information for land areas below.

Update... Have updated to extend expand the flash flood watch
until late Saturday night for nearly the entire area. Have been
monitoring a confluent zone which resulted in gradually weakening
showers and storms, which have become isolated scattered roughly
from near wiggins, ms to luverne, al. This convection has probably
left a weak boundary in this general orientation. In addition, a
weakening convective complex advancing from arkansas northern
louisiana northwestern mississippi will continue advancing
southeastward and bring convection (and likely an outflow
boundary) into the forecast area overnight. Meanwhile, a cold
front has been advancing from the north and will move into the
forecast area Saturday afternoon, then slowly into the southern
portion of the forecast area later Saturday night. Very high
precipitable water values will be in place over the area during
the period, with values near 2.25 inches, and the steering flow
for convection weakens considerably, resulting in slow moving
storms. Model soundings are open for convective development, and
expect convection developing on the boundaries and also the cold
front, with locally heavy rainfall possible due to anticipated slow
movement of the storms. After examining the rainfall for the past
24 hours, the portion of the area generally west of i-65 likely
has completely saturated soil conditions. While the portion east
of i-65 has not received much (if any) rainfall in the past 24
hours, this portion has received significantly excessive rainfall
(at least in some locations) over the past 2 to 3 days. The
antecedent soil conditions, high deep layer moisture, boundaries
and anticipated slow storm movement are the basis for the flash
flood watch. Made other minor adjustments. 29
prev discussion... Issued 723 pm cdt Fri jun 23 2017
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance... MVFR to ifr CIGS and visibilities through 24.12z
followed by mostly MVFR CIGS and visibilities through 24.00z.

Lower CIGS and visibilities mostly in and around scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms moving eastward across the
forecast area through Sat afternoon. The best coverage of showers
and thunderstorms will occur through about 24.07z tonight,
reforming mostly after 24.15z sat. Winds will be south to
southwest at 10 to 15 knots this evening diminishing to 3 to 8
knots late tonight through Sat afternoon. Higher gusts up to 25
knots will also be possible with a few of the stronger
thunderstorms through the forecast period. 32 ee
prev discussion... Issued 653 pm cdt Fri jun 23 2017
discussion... See updated information for land areas below. Note:
the climate info in the third paragraph of the previous
discussion has been corrected.

Update... Have updated to increase pops along the line of showers
and storms advancing slowly from the western portion into the
central portion of the area this evening. Have also updated for
the expiration of the coastal flood warning for alabama and the
coastal flood advisory for the western florida panhandle as
astronomical tidal values decrease along with gradually decreasing
onshore winds. A flash flood watch remains in effect for
southeast mississippi and part of southwest alabama until 10 pm,
but adjustments to the watch are possible. No other major changes
at this time. 29
prev discussion... Issued 350 pm cdt Fri jun 23 2017
near term now through Saturday ... Remnant circulation of cindy
over ky and tn was shearing out to the northeast. South and west
of the circulation, a resurgence in cold cloud tops =>
showers storms were developing in a northeast to southwest band
from northwest al to southwest ms. This convection was occurring
within a zone of high deep layer tropical moisture where total
pwat was in excess of 2.00 inches. To the east, a well defined
deep layer ridge was positioned from the southwest atlantic into
the eastern gulf causing a net lowering in deep layer moisture
along and east of the i-65 corridor. Considering the placement of
the deep layer moisture and afternoon instability with mucape
values around 3000 j kg, the higher precipitation chances remain
advertised over the northwest zones and will be carried over into
tonight. Lower chances southeast of the interstate. Due to soil
moisture levels being at capacity, there remains concerns that
developing showers and storms, repeatedly moving over the same
areas, will likely result in runoff and flooding. Flash flood
watches continue from clarke co. Al to george co. Ms and points
west thru late this evening. Many area rivers remain in, or will
soon go into, minor to moderate flood.

A frontal boundary sags southward Saturday, bringing enhanced
ascent while interacting with a deeply moist environment. Thus,
the unsettled weather pattern continues with scattered, to at
times numerous showers and thunderstorms. Unfortunately, storms
initiating in this type of environment will be efficient in
depositing heavy rains in a short amount of time over already
saturated soil conditions. This of course will likely lead to
runoff and flooding problems going forward into the day Saturday.

Have extended the high risk of rip currents and high surf advisory into
the mid morning hours Saturday due to the potential of lingering
modest swell and breaker action up across the surf zone. Muggy
overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s. Daytime highs Saturday in
the mid to upper 80s.

Interesting climate fact... June has been wet even before rains
from tropical cindy affected the area, and more rain is expected
this weekend due to a southward moving front. At mobile regional,
the rain gauge has added up to 11.81" which is 7.30 inches above
normal, but still way less than the all time record 26.67 set in
1900. For pensacola, the rain gauge has added up to an impressive
18.21" so far, and depending on how much rain we receive in the
coming days, it's possible that the monthly record for pensacola
of 21.14" set in 1994 is within striking distance.

Short term Saturday night through Monday night ... Scattered to
at times numerous showers and storms Saturday night into Sunday as
frontal boundary settles south to the coast. Some of the rains
locally heavy. With the boundary slipping off the coast, a
reduction in rainfall probabilities is expected Sunday night thru
Monday night. Following the frontal passage, latest forecast for
overnight lows show potential of mid 60s over the interior Sunday
and Monday nights. Daytime highs Sunday and Monday 83 to 87. 10
long term Tuesday through Friday ... Chances of rain will be
minimal as somewhat drier northwest to zonal flow aloft prevails
across interior portions of the forecast area Tuesday as our
region remains at the base of a longwave high level trough that
extends across much of the eastern conus. An axis of deeper
moisture may still remain in the vicinity of coastal portions of
the region per the 23.12z ECMWF which favors a slight chance of
showers and storms. Medium range models remain in generally good
agreement with building an upper level ridge across the eastern
seaboard and adjacent western atlantic by the middle to later part
of next week, allowing an axis of deeper moisture to advect back
northward over the central gulf coast. This pattern should result
in a return to better rain chances as we close out this very wet
month of june.

Early morning lows begin to moderate back into the lower to mid
70s by Friday morning. Highs each day range in the mid 80s. 10
marine... Onshore flow decreases and seas subside in the short term.

Rain chances will increase over the weekend into early next week as
a frontal boundary sinks southward to the coast and eases offshore.

Winds, waves and seas will be locally higher in and near storms.

10

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... Flash flood watch through late tonight for alz051>057-059-
261>266.

High rip current risk until 10 am cdt this morning for alz265-
266.

High surf advisory until 10 am cdt this morning for alz265-266.

Fl... Flash flood watch through late tonight for flz201>204.

High rip current risk until 10 am cdt this morning for flz202-
204-206.

High surf advisory until 10 am cdt this morning for flz202-204-
206.

Ms... Flash flood watch through late tonight for msz067-075-076-078-
079.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 8 mi52 min 81°F 83°F1016.5 hPa
PPTA1 26 mi64 min S 8.9 81°F 1016.6 hPa
WBYA1 35 mi46 min 82°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 37 mi44 min S 14 G 16 81°F 81°F3 ft1015.6 hPa (+0.4)78°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 37 mi64 min SSW 11 82°F 1015.6 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 42 mi64 min S 12 81°F 1015.9 hPa
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 45 mi124 min S 12 81°F 1015.6 hPa
PTOA1 47 mi46 min 80°F 78°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 48 mi46 min SW 4.1 G 8 80°F 81°F1016.7 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 48 mi46 min 81°F 80°F1015.9 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Last
24hr
1 day
ago
2 days
ago

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL4 mi41 minSSW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F75°F82%1016.5 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL14 mi38 minSSW 8 miOvercast81°F75°F85%1016.5 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL15 mi38 minSSW 410.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F78°F91%1014.9 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL16 mi38 minSW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F75°F96%1014.9 hPa

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
Last 24hrS11S11S8S11S10S10S10S11S14
G19
S16S15S17
G22
S13
G20
S16
G22
S15S15S10S11S11S9SW6S8S9S8
1 day agoSE13S15
G28
S14S18
G24
SE16
G24
S17
G22
S15SE15
G23
SE15
G21
SE15
G23
S17
G27
S17
G27
S18
G26
S22
G27
S17
G27
S17
G24
S19
G25
S20
G27
S17
G22
S16S14S14S12
G21
S13
2 days agoNE10
G18
NE12
G21
E8NE8NE6SE8SE17
G23
SE10SE13SE19
G25
SE16SE15SE12SE12SE14
G22
SE17
G24
SE18
G24
SE17
G25
S24
G34
SE19
G25
SE12
G19
SE14
G22
SE16
G23
SE14
G21

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Lora Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:47 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:26 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:50 AM CDT     2.21 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:54 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:34 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:27 PM CDT     -0.57 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.5-0.3-0.10.10.40.711.31.61.822.22.22.121.71.410.60.3-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Pensacola
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:48 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:26 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:14 AM CDT     1.84 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:54 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:34 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:24 PM CDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.3-0.10.10.30.50.811.21.51.61.81.81.81.71.51.20.90.60.3-0-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (1,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.