Sunrise 5:51 AM   Sunset 7:38 PM Moonrise 1:37 PM   Moonset 2:12 AM

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GMZ655 Expires:202405161515;;284984 Fzus54 Kmob 160222 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 922 pm cdt Wed may 15 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz650-655-161515- coastal waters from pensacola fl to pascagoula ms out 20 nm- coastal waters from okaloosa walton county line fl to pensacola fl out 20 nm- 922 pm cdt Wed may 15 2024
Rest of tonight - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north late. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds and west 1 foot at 3 seconds. Thursday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight. Friday - South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Friday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: south 4 feet at 6 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.Saturday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: south 4 feet at 8 seconds. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. Saturday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots, becoming west 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: south 4 feet at 7 seconds. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening. Sunday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. Sunday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. Monday - North winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds. Monday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 922 Pm Cdt Wed May 15 2024
Synopsis - Southerly winds will increase along with building seas late in the week ahead of an approaching front. The approaching front will bring showers and Thunderstorms to the marine area Thursday night through Saturday morning. Offshore flow returns late in the weekend into early next week in the wake of the front.

FXUS64 KMOB 160458 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1158 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1158 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

Mainly VFR conditions prevail through the next 24 hours, although there may be a few isolated instances of low end MVFR or IFR visibilities in very patchy fog tonight. At the TAF locations this will be most notable at KJKA. Northerly winds of 5 knots or less tonight become light southeast to southerly at 5 to 10 knots on Thursday and then southerly at around 5 knots Thursday evening.
DS/12

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 655 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024/

New AVIATION

AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 655 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

VFR conditions prevail through the next 24 hours. Northerly winds of 5 knots or less tonight become light southeast to southerly at 5 to 10 knots on Thursday. DS/12

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 334 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Thursday)
Issued at 334 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

An upper level ridge will amplify over the southeast on Thursday as the next shortwave begins to eject into the plains. The ridging combined with a deep layer dry airmass will keep Thursday dry under mostly sunny skies. Highs on Thursday will warm into the upper 80s to around 90 inland to mid and upper 80s near the coast.
Lows tonight will be in the low 60s inland to mid and upper 60s near the coast. /13

SHORT TERM...
(Thursday night through Saturday night)
Issued at 334 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

The next storm system moves in from the west late Thursday as a slow moving upper trough moves across the central plains bringing more showers and thunderstorms to the area through Saturday morning. A lead shortwave is expected to eject northeastward Thursday night into Friday morning bringing a round of heavy rain and thunderstorms to portions of the area. Additional rounds of thunderstorms will develop across the area on Friday and continue until a front finally clears the area out Saturday afternoon/evening.
Due to the wet ground conditions from heavy rains earlier this week, WPC has areas along and northwest of I-65 in a Moderate Risk of flooding (4-6 inches possible) with a Slight Risk to the southeast of I-65. Severe storms are also possible on Friday for portions of the area. SPC has a slight risk out for the western half of the area with a marginal risk for eastern area. Damaging winds again will be the main threat along with large hail. /13

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 334 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

Dry and increasingly warm conditions expected Sunday through Wednesday as an upper level ridge builds over the area. Temperatures will be about 3 to 7 degrees above normal, with highs ranging from 86 to 92 degrees and lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. /13

MARINE...
Issued at 334 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

Southerly winds will increase along with building seas late in the week ahead of an approaching front. The approaching front will bring showers and thunderstorms to the marine area at times Thursday night through Saturday morning. Offshore flow return late in the weekend into early next week in the wake of the front. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 64 88 70 85 70 84 68 90 / 0 0 40 70 50 60 10 0 Pensacola 68 86 73 84 73 81 71 88 / 0 0 30 60 50 70 20 0 Destin 70 84 74 83 74 82 72 87 / 0 0 10 50 50 70 30 10 Evergreen 60 90 68 85 69 83 65 89 / 0 0 30 70 60 70 20 10 Waynesboro 60 89 65 85 66 85 64 89 / 0 0 50 80 60 50 10 0 Camden 60 87 66 83 66 82 64 87 / 0 0 40 80 70 60 20 10 Crestview 61 91 67 86 69 85 65 90 / 0 0 20 60 50 70 20 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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Lora Point
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Thu -- 02:12 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:58 AM CDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:53 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:36 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:22 PM CDT     1.11 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:37 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Pensacola
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:12 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:55 AM CDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:53 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:36 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:46 PM CDT     0.93 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:37 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pensacola, Florida, Tide feet

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