Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bagdad, FL
March 28, 2024 3:43 PM CDT (20:43 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:40 AM Sunset 7:06 PM Moonrise 10:26 PM Moonset 8:20 AM |
GMZ634 Expires:202403290930;;778823 Fzus54 Kmob 282022 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 322 pm cdt Thu mar 28 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz633-634-290930- perdido bay-pensacola bay system- 322 pm cdt Thu mar 28 2024
Tonight - North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday night - South winds around 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday - South winds around 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming west after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 322 pm cdt Thu mar 28 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz633-634-290930- perdido bay-pensacola bay system- 322 pm cdt Thu mar 28 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 322 Pm Cdt Thu Mar 28 2024
Synopsis - Surface high pressure moves across the southeast on Friday, slipping off the southeast coast late in the weekend. As this occurs, onshore flow sets up. No impactful marine conditions expected through Monday. NExt weather system in the form of a cold front advances eastward across the lower mississippi river valley on Tuesday and brings next chance of showers and storms to the marine area. Late in the forecast, seas will build ahead of the front.
Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 282042 AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
(Now through Friday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Axis of surface high pressure moving east across the Lower Mississippi River Valley today and tonight will be positioned over the northern FL Peninsula Friday. Will be a chilly night with the high overhead with lows dipping down to a range of 39 to 43 over the interior to the mid to upper 40s closer to the coast. These numbers will be some 5 to 9 degrees below normal on average. A nice Spring day on tap for Friday with highs lifting into the lower to mid 70s. Rip current risk trends downward to low this evening and Friday. /10
SHORT TERM
(Friday night through Sunday night)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A nearly zonal flow is expected over the forecast area through Saturday followed by upper ridging gradually building over the eastern CONUS Sunday into Sunday night ahead of an upper trof advancing across the western states. A surface ridge remains oriented close to the northern Gulf coast through the period and promotes a light southerly flow over the forecast area. Deep layer moisture gradually improves through Sunday night, but remains too limited to consider pops and have continued with a dry forecast for now. Lows Friday night mostly range from the mid to upper 40s inland to the lower 50s near the coast, then trend warmer by Sunday night to range from around 60 inland to the mid 60s at the coast. Will need to monitor for the potential of fog development, potentially dense, over much of the area late Saturday night. Have added the mention of patchy fog for now. Highs on Saturday will be in the mid to upper 70s then highs on Sunday will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. A low risk of rip currents is expected through the period. /29
LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A positively tilted upper trof over the western CONUS expands while advancing into the eastern states through Wednesday, and in the process looks to cut off an upper low over northern Mexico. An associated surface low lifts from the central Plains to across the northeast states, and brings a cold front through the forecast area between late Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. MLCAPE values look to increase to 500-750 J/kg ahead of the front Tuesday afternoon, and 0-3 km helicity values could approach 150-200 m2/s2. Model soundings show that lapse rates will be near moist adiabatic below 750 mb or so with nearly all of the instability confined aloft. Should this continue to be the case, this profile would be a significant limiting factor for the potential for stronger storms. Will continue to monitor at this point. Dry conditions continue for Monday and Monday night, then will have slight chance to chance pops for Tuesday and chance pops areawide Tuesday night. For Wednesday, will have slight chance pops east of I-65 in the morning then dry conditions follow through Thursday as dry surface high pressure builds into the region in the wake of the frontal passage. /29
MARINE
Issued at 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
No high impact weather expected through Monday. The next weather system moves across the deep south Tuesday, bringing next chance of storms Tuesday/Tuesday night and a build in seas. /10
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 45 73 50 76 58 79 62 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 49 70 54 74 60 77 65 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 53 70 56 72 62 76 65 76 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 41 75 45 79 52 82 59 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 40 74 46 79 54 81 61 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Camden 40 73 48 77 53 81 60 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Crestview 42 75 42 77 53 80 60 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
(Now through Friday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Axis of surface high pressure moving east across the Lower Mississippi River Valley today and tonight will be positioned over the northern FL Peninsula Friday. Will be a chilly night with the high overhead with lows dipping down to a range of 39 to 43 over the interior to the mid to upper 40s closer to the coast. These numbers will be some 5 to 9 degrees below normal on average. A nice Spring day on tap for Friday with highs lifting into the lower to mid 70s. Rip current risk trends downward to low this evening and Friday. /10
SHORT TERM
(Friday night through Sunday night)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A nearly zonal flow is expected over the forecast area through Saturday followed by upper ridging gradually building over the eastern CONUS Sunday into Sunday night ahead of an upper trof advancing across the western states. A surface ridge remains oriented close to the northern Gulf coast through the period and promotes a light southerly flow over the forecast area. Deep layer moisture gradually improves through Sunday night, but remains too limited to consider pops and have continued with a dry forecast for now. Lows Friday night mostly range from the mid to upper 40s inland to the lower 50s near the coast, then trend warmer by Sunday night to range from around 60 inland to the mid 60s at the coast. Will need to monitor for the potential of fog development, potentially dense, over much of the area late Saturday night. Have added the mention of patchy fog for now. Highs on Saturday will be in the mid to upper 70s then highs on Sunday will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. A low risk of rip currents is expected through the period. /29
LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A positively tilted upper trof over the western CONUS expands while advancing into the eastern states through Wednesday, and in the process looks to cut off an upper low over northern Mexico. An associated surface low lifts from the central Plains to across the northeast states, and brings a cold front through the forecast area between late Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. MLCAPE values look to increase to 500-750 J/kg ahead of the front Tuesday afternoon, and 0-3 km helicity values could approach 150-200 m2/s2. Model soundings show that lapse rates will be near moist adiabatic below 750 mb or so with nearly all of the instability confined aloft. Should this continue to be the case, this profile would be a significant limiting factor for the potential for stronger storms. Will continue to monitor at this point. Dry conditions continue for Monday and Monday night, then will have slight chance to chance pops for Tuesday and chance pops areawide Tuesday night. For Wednesday, will have slight chance pops east of I-65 in the morning then dry conditions follow through Thursday as dry surface high pressure builds into the region in the wake of the frontal passage. /29
MARINE
Issued at 342 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
No high impact weather expected through Monday. The next weather system moves across the deep south Tuesday, bringing next chance of storms Tuesday/Tuesday night and a build in seas. /10
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 45 73 50 76 58 79 62 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 49 70 54 74 60 77 65 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 53 70 56 72 62 76 65 76 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 41 75 45 79 52 82 59 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 40 74 46 79 54 81 61 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Camden 40 73 48 77 53 81 60 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Crestview 42 75 42 77 53 80 60 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL | 16 mi | 55 min | N 12G | 74°F | 30.07 | |||
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL | 45 mi | 58 min | NNW 5.1 | 72°F | 30.12 | 37°F | ||
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy | 46 mi | 43 min | NNW 7.8G | 67°F | 65°F | 30.09 | 51°F |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KNDZ WHITING FIELD NAS SOUTH,FL | 9 sm | 47 min | N 11G27 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 73°F | 27°F | 17% | 30.06 | |
KNSE WHITING FIELD NAS NORTH,FL | 10 sm | 47 min | N 17G25 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 73°F | 30°F | 20% | 30.07 | |
KPNS PENSACOLA INTL,FL | 12 sm | 50 min | N 11G19 | 10 sm | Clear | 75°F | 23°F | 14% | 30.06 | |
KHRT HURLBURT FIELD,FL | 19 sm | 52 min | N 17G25 | 10 sm | Clear | 75°F | 23°F | 14% | 30.03 | |
KNPA PENSACOLA NAS/FORREST SHERMAN FIELD,FL | 23 sm | 47 min | NNE 10G19 | 10 sm | Clear | 75°F | 30°F | 19% | 30.06 |
Tide / Current for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Bay Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:10 AM CDT -0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:41 AM CDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:20 AM CDT Moonset
Thu -- 02:25 PM CDT 1.29 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 PM CDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:25 PM CDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:10 AM CDT -0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:41 AM CDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:20 AM CDT Moonset
Thu -- 02:25 PM CDT 1.29 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 PM CDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:25 PM CDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
-0 |
1 am |
-0 |
2 am |
0 |
3 am |
0.1 |
4 am |
0.2 |
5 am |
0.3 |
6 am |
0.4 |
7 am |
0.6 |
8 am |
0.7 |
9 am |
0.8 |
10 am |
0.9 |
11 am |
1.1 |
12 pm |
1.2 |
1 pm |
1.2 |
2 pm |
1.3 |
3 pm |
1.3 |
4 pm |
1.2 |
5 pm |
1.1 |
6 pm |
0.9 |
7 pm |
0.7 |
8 pm |
0.5 |
9 pm |
0.3 |
10 pm |
0.1 |
11 pm |
-0 |
Lora Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:41 AM CDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:20 AM CDT Moonset
Thu -- 01:38 PM CDT 1.29 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:05 PM CDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:26 PM CDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:41 AM CDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:20 AM CDT Moonset
Thu -- 01:38 PM CDT 1.29 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:05 PM CDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:26 PM CDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
-0 |
1 am |
-0 |
2 am |
0.1 |
3 am |
0.2 |
4 am |
0.3 |
5 am |
0.4 |
6 am |
0.5 |
7 am |
0.6 |
8 am |
0.8 |
9 am |
0.9 |
10 am |
1 |
11 am |
1.1 |
12 pm |
1.2 |
1 pm |
1.3 |
2 pm |
1.3 |
3 pm |
1.2 |
4 pm |
1.1 |
5 pm |
1 |
6 pm |
0.8 |
7 pm |
0.6 |
8 pm |
0.4 |
9 pm |
0.2 |
10 pm |
0 |
11 pm |
-0.1 |
Northwest Florida,
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