Wednesday, December12, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Cuthbert, GA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:25AMSunset 5:35PM Wednesday December 12, 2018 1:59 AM EST (06:59 UTC) Moonrise 11:30AMMoonset 10:26PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cuthbert, GA
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location: 31.77, -84.79     debug

Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 120524
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
1224 am est Wed dec 12 2018

[through 06z Thursday]
with the exception of a brief period of MVFR visibilities around
vld and tlh near sunrise,VFR will prevail through the TAF under
increasing high-level cloudiness.

Prev discussion [745 pm est]
Near term [through tonight]
A layer of stubborn low level clouds continues to slowly erode as
low level isentropic flow descends while moving south-southeastward.

The remaining strip of low clouds extends roughly from tallahassee,
fl to albany, ga and areas under these clouds may have maximum
temperatures in the low 50s this afternoon instead of the mid 50s
advertised in that region. By tonight however, these low clouds will
have eroded and with high pressure in place winds will calm, so
conditions will be primed for radiational cooling. Temperatures will
drop into the low 30s to upper 20s in our inland zones, low-mid 30s
along the immediate coastline.

Short term [Wednesday through Thursday night]
Surface high pressure will be anchored across the southeast conus
Wednesday and slide east Wednesday night with return flow
returning out ahead of the next system. A brief window of sunny
skies is on tap Wednesday with highs around 60 before clouds
return Thursday. Highs will moderate into the low to mid 60s as
southerly flow strengthens somewhat. Frontal system will remain to
the west Thursday with a few showers possible across our western
counties Thursday afternoon. By Thursday night, rain and
thunderstorm chances increase significantly from west to east as
the front gets closer.

Long term [Friday through Tuesday]
Strong lift associated with the closed upper low and favorable jet
dynamics will result in widespread moderate to locally heavy rain
and possibly a few stronger thunderstorms overnight Thursday night
into Friday. Instability does not look particularly impressive,
but low level and deep layer shear values are likely to be high.

The heavy rain threat appears to be increasing with each new model
run having increased rainfall amounts, especially across the
eastern half of the area. Widespread 1-2 inches, with possibly
closer to 3 inches over the eastern half of the area with locally
higher amounts, are possible. The front clears Friday but the area
will still be impacted by the upper low into Saturday so clouds
and light precipitation may hang around into Saturday afternoon.

Past Saturday, sensible weather becomes more tranquil with
seasonable temperatures.

Favorable marine conditions expected through Wednesday night. The
next frontal system will affect the coastal waters beginning
Thursday with advisory level winds and seas and potential gale
force gusts Thursday night into Friday. Conditions linger into
Saturday with improving conditions towards Sunday.

Fire weather
No concerns this period.

The middle and lower suwannee river continue to rise. While the
contribution from the withlacoochee is nearing its peak, there's
still additional water on the way from the alapaha and upper
suwannee. Even with the additional water is beginning to look less
and less likely that ellaville and dowling park will reach minor
flood. However, further downstream, minor flooding is likely at
luraville and branford in the next few days.

The next storm system is expected to affect the region starting
Thursday night and continuing through Friday. While there are some
uncertainties with the overall track and intensity of the system, it
looks as though at least a couple of inches of rain are possible
across the region with some of the heaviest totals up to 4
inches mainly across the eastern half of the region.

Even though the region is considerably wet after recent rains, a
widespread 1-2 inch rainfall event should have limited impact on
area river systems. But a heavier event exceeding 3 inches would
move some of the smaller basin rivers back to at least minor flood

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 61 40 67 58 68 0 0 10 70 80
panama city 61 49 66 59 66 0 10 30 90 70
dothan 58 42 62 54 63 0 0 20 90 80
albany 59 39 63 54 66 0 0 0 90 80
valdosta 60 39 66 56 67 0 0 10 50 90
cross city 62 42 69 59 70 0 0 20 50 80
apalachicola 60 50 65 61 68 0 10 10 80 80

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... Frost advisory until 8 am est 7 am cst this morning for
coastal bay-coastal dixie-coastal franklin-coastal gulf-
coastal jefferson-coastal taylor-coastal wakulla-south

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Nguyen
short term... Scholl
long term... Scholl
aviation... Harrigan
marine... Scholl
fire weather... Barry
hydrology... Godsey

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Eufaula Municipal Airport, AL22 mi3 hrsN 010.00 mi31°F30°F96%1026.1 hPa

Wind History from EUF (wind in knots)
Last 24hrNW3W45----5W4W4NW5--454CalmW8364CalmW3W3W4W3Calm
1 day ago----Calm----CalmCalm--NW54----W5W55N34CalmW4W344W45
2 days agoE7NW86--NE6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Fort Rucker, AL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.