Sunday, March18, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Cuthbert, GA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 7:40AMSunset 7:48PM Sunday March 18, 2018 12:20 AM EDT (04:20 UTC) Moonrise 7:38AMMoonset 8:06PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cuthbert, GA
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location: 31.77, -84.79     debug

Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 180006
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
806 pm edt Sat mar 17 2018

Isolated showers and thunderstorms will continue to dissipate this
evening. No significant changes were made to the forecast for
tonight during the evening update.

Prev discussion [740 pm edt]
Near term [through tonight]
Showers and thunderstorms are developing across central georgia,
southeast alabama and into the florida panhandle where moisture
content and instability best compliment isentropic ascent at this
hour. This activity will continue to strengthen over the next few
hours and move ene across the wiregrass through the remainder of the
afternoon, yielding brief, heavy rain and gusty winds. Given the
magnitude of shear nosing into the region (30 to 40 kts of bulk
shear per the latest mesoanalysis), a strong storm or two capable of
producing damaging winds gusts is not out of the question this
afternoon. These storms will quickly weaken and diminish early this
evening with the loss of daytime heating. However, a moist boundary
layer, coupled with a weak surface winds, wet soils, and a pocket of
dry air between 850 and 500mb will yield areas of fog across the
region through mid-Sunday morning. Given widespread cloud cover
across the region overnight, low temperatures will only fall into
lower 60s.

Short term [Sunday through Tuesday]
An active short-term period is expected with multiple rounds of
severe weather possible.

Starting tonight, a cold front will drop into the southeast
associated with a shortwave moving through the ohio valley and
mid-atlantic. A shortwave moving through the southern plains
Sunday morning will help stall this front west east across central
ga al. Convection will develop Sunday afternoon along the gulf
coast seabreeze, as well as along the warm front, and will likely
consolidate across the interior panhandle, southeast alabama, and
extreme southwest georgia late in the afternoon. A few storms in
this region may become severe, with the main threat being damaging
winds or marginally severe hail. SPC has placed this region in a
marginal risk for severe storms. The possible multi-round, main
event, will begin Monday morning as a weak shortwave passes over
the southeast and convection develops along the coastal front and
spreads inland. Modest lapse rates, around 50 knots of deep layer
shear, and plenty of instability would favor a threat for damaging
winds and possibly some hail. The threat for tornadoes with this
first round remains low and should be confined closer to the
coast near the coastal front. Depending on the evolution of
morning afternoon convection, if we're able to destabilize enough
by the time the cold front arrives overnight the threat for more
widespread and stronger severe storms is possible. Shear profiles
and lapse rates are forecast to become more favorable, so it's
just a question of the pre-frontal instability. All modes of
severe weather would be possible overnight with the main threats
being damaging winds and tornadoes, with the hail threat being a
bit lower. The threat for severe weather exists the southeast big
bend of florida early to mid-morning Tuesday, with some post
frontal rain possible across al and ga as another shortwave moves
through the southeast on Tuesday.

Long term [Tuesday night through Saturday]
A much quieter pattern is expected from mid-week to the weekend as
the eastern CONUS trough prevails aloft with ridging at the
surface. Expect highs and lows to be more seasonable with no rain

Aviation [through 00z Monday]
Currently, shra tsra near dhn and aby are expected to diminish
after sunset.VFR to MVFR conditions for the remainder of this
evening, becoming ifr lifr overnight with fog possible at all
terminals. Conditions will improve mid morning, though another
round of showers and thunderstorms is expected Sunday afternoon.

Winds will become light overnight into early Sunday morning,
otherwise expect southwesterly winds to prevail around 10 kts.

Relatively light winds and low seas are expected through Sunday
night. Conditions will begin to deteriorate beginning Monday as
storms, winds, and seas increase ahead of our next frontal system.

Expect at least cautionary conditions beginning Monday. Behind the
front on Tuesday, solid advisory conditions will overspread the
northeast gulf and linger until Wednesday. Cautionary conditions
are expected for much of the remainder of the week.

Fire weather
Low rh values will return mid to late next week. Showers and
thunderstorms will be increasing in coverage this afternoon. Rain
chances will be elevated Sunday afternoon through Tuesday morning.

A couple chances for heavy rain will exist over the next 48 to 60
hours. The first round will be Sunday night across al and ga as a
warm front lifts through the region. Another round is expected on
Monday as two waves of convection are expected. Both Sunday and
Monday, storms should be fairly progressive so heavy rain
shouldn't sit over one place for too long. Average rainfall totals
through Tuesday will be around 0.75-1.5", with isolated higher
amounts up to 3-4". For the most part, flooding is not expected,
though if a sensitive basin gets targeted multiple times, some
minor localized flooding will be possible.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 60 82 66 79 67 10 60 40 70 50
panama city 63 75 66 75 66 10 50 60 70 40
dothan 59 78 65 78 62 30 80 60 70 40
albany 59 79 63 78 64 20 30 70 70 40
valdosta 60 83 65 78 67 10 40 60 70 40
cross city 56 82 63 76 67 0 20 20 70 50
apalachicola 64 75 67 73 67 10 40 50 70 50

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Update... Mcd
near term... Pullin
short term... Harrigan
long term... Harrigan
aviation... Humphreys
marine... Harrigan
fire weather... Mcd
hydrology... Harrigan

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Eufaula Municipal Airport, AL22 mi82 minSW 410.00 miFair69°F64°F87%1012.6 hPa

Wind History from EUF (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S3S45S5S5SW7W9
1 day agoSW3W5W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm4534E53CalmW5W33CalmS3CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3553W55--W5W9W4SW4SW3CalmSW4SW5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Fort Rucker, AL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.