Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for El Paso, TX
May 19, 2024 7:52 PM MDT (01:52 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:04 AM Sunset 8:00 PM Moonrise 3:38 PM Moonset 2:47 AM |
FXUS64 KEPZ 192323 AFDEPZ
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 523 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 1256 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
Warm temperatures, breezy afternoon winds, and dry conditions will continue for the foreseeable future. The warmest day will be Monday before temperatures settle to near normal or just below normal.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1256 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
Warmer than average temperatures will continue again on Monday where much of the lowlands will see low to mid 90 degree temperatures. El Paso is forecasted to reach a high temperature of 98 degrees, which is only a couple degrees off from the record of 100 degrees. Locations along the Rio Grande Valley in Texas could see 100 degrees tomorrow afternoon. Tonight will be another quiet night with light winds and dry conditions. The subtropical jet is inching closer to the Borderland and will begin bringing high clouds to the area late tonight persisting through tomorrow.
In addition, a shortwave near Baja California will push closer to the area during the day on Monday. This will help bring breezy winds to the area tomorrow afternoon. Very dry fuels and air coupled with these breezy winds will create critical fire weather conditions that afternoon. This aforementioned shortwave will push north and east exiting the area overnight. Cool air will push in behind this trough late Mon/early Tues, bringing temperatures down to near or just below normal on Tuesday afternoon.
Temperatures steadily remain near or just below average heading later into the work week with only a couple degree change in between days. Breezy afternoon winds will persist each day as multiple shortwaves slide over the area. Rain chances are non- existent for the foreseeable future.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 520 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
VFR conditions prevail through the forecast period. Gusty W winds to 25-30kts linger this evening, subsiding overnight and tomorrow morning to AOB 8kts. Gusts to 25kts return tomorrow afternoon from W-SW. Mainly SKC expected with FEW-SCT250 moving in from the west later tonight.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1256 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
Critical fire weather conditions expected tomorrow afternoon for southern NM. 20ft winds will be west southwesterly 15-20 MPH in this area with far west TX seeing weaker winds. Min RHs continue to stay within critical thresholds (5-11%) areawide and fuels continue to stay very dry for much of the area. Fuels in the Gila region are still relatively wet but wind speeds will be the strongest in this area and weaker as you go southeast towards west TX. In addition, temperatures will be well above average tomorrow but a cool front coming from the west will push in late Mon/early Tues bringing a bit better moisture behind the front, winds shifting west northwesterly, and a few degree drop in temperatures. Min RHs stay below 15% throughout the work week with the lowlands seeing single digit values. Winds stay breezy each afternoon with calm winds overnight. We can expect to stay elevated for fire weather conditions through the remainder of the week. Winds won't meet Red Flag criteria but everything else will.
Ventilation rates will be very good to excellent through the weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
El Paso 68 98 69 94 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 63 92 65 88 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 60 95 60 90 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 58 93 59 88 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 48 70 46 64 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 58 93 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 53 82 50 78 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 54 93 55 89 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 55 90 54 87 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 64 95 64 90 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 57 96 62 92 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 60 98 64 94 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 62 88 62 84 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 62 98 64 94 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 58 93 59 90 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 67 94 67 89 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 56 93 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 55 95 58 90 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 60 95 60 91 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 59 92 62 88 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 54 83 54 77 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 51 80 50 76 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 52 80 50 74 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 50 83 48 79 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 55 90 54 85 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 53 92 55 87 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 48 82 46 79 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 50 86 49 83 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 53 89 52 86 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 53 83 51 80 / 0 10 0 0 Faywood 54 86 52 82 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 54 92 54 89 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 55 93 55 89 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 56 93 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 56 87 54 84 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
NM...Red Flag Warning from noon to 9 PM MDT Monday for NMZ110>113.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 523 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 1256 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
Warm temperatures, breezy afternoon winds, and dry conditions will continue for the foreseeable future. The warmest day will be Monday before temperatures settle to near normal or just below normal.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1256 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
Warmer than average temperatures will continue again on Monday where much of the lowlands will see low to mid 90 degree temperatures. El Paso is forecasted to reach a high temperature of 98 degrees, which is only a couple degrees off from the record of 100 degrees. Locations along the Rio Grande Valley in Texas could see 100 degrees tomorrow afternoon. Tonight will be another quiet night with light winds and dry conditions. The subtropical jet is inching closer to the Borderland and will begin bringing high clouds to the area late tonight persisting through tomorrow.
In addition, a shortwave near Baja California will push closer to the area during the day on Monday. This will help bring breezy winds to the area tomorrow afternoon. Very dry fuels and air coupled with these breezy winds will create critical fire weather conditions that afternoon. This aforementioned shortwave will push north and east exiting the area overnight. Cool air will push in behind this trough late Mon/early Tues, bringing temperatures down to near or just below normal on Tuesday afternoon.
Temperatures steadily remain near or just below average heading later into the work week with only a couple degree change in between days. Breezy afternoon winds will persist each day as multiple shortwaves slide over the area. Rain chances are non- existent for the foreseeable future.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 520 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
VFR conditions prevail through the forecast period. Gusty W winds to 25-30kts linger this evening, subsiding overnight and tomorrow morning to AOB 8kts. Gusts to 25kts return tomorrow afternoon from W-SW. Mainly SKC expected with FEW-SCT250 moving in from the west later tonight.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1256 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
Critical fire weather conditions expected tomorrow afternoon for southern NM. 20ft winds will be west southwesterly 15-20 MPH in this area with far west TX seeing weaker winds. Min RHs continue to stay within critical thresholds (5-11%) areawide and fuels continue to stay very dry for much of the area. Fuels in the Gila region are still relatively wet but wind speeds will be the strongest in this area and weaker as you go southeast towards west TX. In addition, temperatures will be well above average tomorrow but a cool front coming from the west will push in late Mon/early Tues bringing a bit better moisture behind the front, winds shifting west northwesterly, and a few degree drop in temperatures. Min RHs stay below 15% throughout the work week with the lowlands seeing single digit values. Winds stay breezy each afternoon with calm winds overnight. We can expect to stay elevated for fire weather conditions through the remainder of the week. Winds won't meet Red Flag criteria but everything else will.
Ventilation rates will be very good to excellent through the weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
El Paso 68 98 69 94 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 63 92 65 88 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 60 95 60 90 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 58 93 59 88 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 48 70 46 64 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 58 93 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 53 82 50 78 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 54 93 55 89 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 55 90 54 87 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 64 95 64 90 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 57 96 62 92 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 60 98 64 94 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 62 88 62 84 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 62 98 64 94 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 58 93 59 90 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 67 94 67 89 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 56 93 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 55 95 58 90 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 60 95 60 91 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 59 92 62 88 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 54 83 54 77 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 51 80 50 76 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 52 80 50 74 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 50 83 48 79 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 55 90 54 85 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 53 92 55 87 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 48 82 46 79 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 50 86 49 83 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 53 89 52 86 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 53 83 51 80 / 0 10 0 0 Faywood 54 86 52 82 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 54 92 54 89 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 55 93 55 89 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 56 93 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 56 87 54 84 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
NM...Red Flag Warning from noon to 9 PM MDT Monday for NMZ110>113.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KELP EL PASO INTL,TX | 4 sm | 61 min | W 20G36 | 10 sm | Clear | 93°F | 10°F | 5% | 29.89 | |
| KDNA DONA ANA COUNTY INTL JETPORT,NM | 14 sm | 17 min | WSW 10G15 | 10 sm | Clear | 90°F | 9°F | 5% | 29.93 |
El Paso, TX,
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