Sunday, August19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
South Tucson, AZ

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Sunrise 5:50AMSunset 7:04PM Sunday August 19, 2018 7:07 AM MST (14:07 UTC) Moonrise 2:15PMMoonset 12:13AM Illumination 56% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Tucson, AZ
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location: 32.22, -110.96     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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Fxus65 ktwc 190942
afdtwc
area forecast discussion
national weather service tucson az
242 am mst Sun aug 19 2018

Synopsis Drier air and building high pressure will result in less
thunderstorm activity with higher afternoon temperatures through the
weekend. As the high center returns to east of our area, deep
moisture will return this week with a good chance of showers and
thunderstorms by Tuesday or Wednesday.

Discussion On the synoptic scale, the ridge has rebuilt over
southern california and offshore into the eastern pacific as a
unseasonably early trough digs into the central plains. The
resulting northerly flow for our area has pushed the deepest
moisture back to the south. Add in a degree or so of mid level
warming and thunderstorms today will be isolated at best. Any
that do make it will not want to propagate away from the
mountains.

We're seeing better signals for the ridge to make good time
shifting eastward; first overhead later today and Monday then
just east of our area Monday night and Tuesday. Medium range
model agreement and ensemble means are coming together with a very
reasonable handling of higher latitude energy upstream and
downstream, and subsequently our monsoon-guiding ridge back into
a favorable position over new mexico. As it transitions through
our area, we'll heat up to 5 or 6 degrees above average today and
Monday (but below record values).

As the southerly flow opens back up, increases in strength and
develops a longer fetch, moisture will jump back above average by
mid week. GEFS plumes suggest values back in the 90th percentile
range; around 1.5 to 1.6 inches. So, our brief monsoon break
should end with a bang by Tuesday or Wednesday. Expect
temperatures to drop back to near or a little below average with
the return of deeper moisture and thunderstorms.

Aviation Valid through 20 12z.

Few-sct cloud bases around 10-15k ft agl continue through the
period. Isolated -tsra -shra develop this afternoon primarily near
the int'l border terminals. Sfc winds mainly less than 10 kts
variable in direction overnight, increasing slightly out of the nw
this afternoon, especially near ksad. Winds decrease again this
evening into Monday morning. Aviation discussion not updated for taf
amendments.

Fire weather Isolated storms will favor the higher terrain
primarily along the international border this afternoon. The pattern
gradually shifts early in the work week allowing for better coverage
of showers and storms, especially by Wednesday. Terrain driven 20-ft
winds persist at less than 15 mph, except for in and around
thunderstorms where strong outflows may occur.

Twc watches warnings advisories None.

Meyer carpenter
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Davis-Monthan Air Force Base, AZ5 mi70 minSE 410.00 miFair75°F65°F74%1011.8 hPa
Tucson, Tucson International Airport, AZ7 mi75 minSSE 310.00 miFair76°F66°F72%1011.4 hPa
Tucson Ryan Field Airport, AZ12 mi83 minN 010.00 miFair75°F66°F74%1016.3 hPa

Wind History from DMA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3CalmCalmW3N5W12W10
G17
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SE13W11W10S9S9S9S11S8S6S4S8S6SE4SE4
1 day agoSE3CalmCalmCalmE4N5SW6W6NW10W7W11NW12NW9NW8NW7NW5W5W4W6SW3SW6SW4SE4SE5
2 days agoSE5S3W3NW3NW5N3W5NE5NW6CalmW6NW11NW11NW7S6S5S6CalmS3SE4CalmS3CalmSE4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tucson, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.