Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Grand Prairie, TX
March 19, 2024 1:19 AM CDT (06:19 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:30 AM Sunset 7:40 PM Moonrise 1:41 PM Moonset 3:44 AM |
Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 190552 AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1252 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New Aviation, Short Term
SHORT TERM
/NEW/ Update /Through Mid Week/
Earlier discussion below on track through tonight regarding some frost across rural areas primarily North through Southeast of the DFW Metroplex. The warm up ensues with the return of southerly breezes by this afternoon into tonight.
Wednesday: This morning's broad surface ridge will continuing exiting to the southeast toward Central Gulf Coast on Wednesday, while a vigorous mid level shortwave moves out of the Desert Southwest and toward the the Southern High Plains late Wednesday afternoon. Mid level height falls in advance of this system will result in deepening surface cyclogenesis across E NM and the OK/TX Panhandles by late afternoon. A surface dryline will extend southward just east of the TX/NM common border. Well east of these features across North- Central TX, increasing southerly low level flow from the GoM will help draw dew point temperatures in the lower-mid 50s up across much of the forecast area by early Wednesday evening.
Strong, large-scale ascent will remain well west of the forecast area and near the W TX dryline. This will help to fire a few discrete supercells storms across the TX Panhandle and Caprock region extending into far western OK by evening. The fast southwest flow aloft further east will only help to increase the warm and statically stable air over our area with a stout elevated mixed layer (Cap) aloft. Outside of a sprinkle or two from the increasing low level warm advection, look for breezy and seasonally warm high temperatures during the afternoon hour under partly to mostly cloudy skies.
05/Marty
Previous Discussion: /Through Tuesday Night/
Post-frontal weather conditions will take us through the overnight hours into Tuesday. Wind speeds have gradually decreased through the afternoon, becoming light and variable overnight.
Lows tonight will bottom out in the mid to upper 30s, with a few locations out east and along the Red River Valley reaching the freezing mark. Patchy frost will be possible across portions of North and Central Texas, so be sure to protect any plants that you may have outside! Southerly flow will return to the region as we move into the early morning hours tomorrow, with gusts out of the southwest around 15-20 mph. Highs will reach into the mid to upper 60s, with a few locations out west hitting the 70 degree mark.
Temperatures through Tuesday night will fall to around seasonal norms, ranging in the upper 40s to low 50s.
Reeves
LONG TERM
/Issued 311 PM CDT Mon Mar 18 2024/ /Tuesday Night Onward/
An upper low over the Desert Southwest will bring our next chance of rain as it finally ejects east across the Rockies Tuesday night, into the Texas Panhandle on Wednesday, and through the rest of Texas and Southern Plains Wednesday night and Thursday.
Scattered rain showers will develop Wednesday night as the low approaches the Big Country, with isolated thunderstorms possible by Thursday as the low center moves east along the Red River. The best rain chances will likely end up being along and east of I-35 where Gulf moisture will be most plentiful. That being said, overall moisture will still be limited, with probabilities of receiving half an inch or more of rain remaining below 30 percent.
Thunderstorms will also likely remain isolated due to limited instability, but a few storms will be capable of small hail wherever any pockets of elevated instability exist.
Dry and seasonable weather will return Friday and Saturday as the upper low and all associated precipitation exit to our east. Focus will then shift to the West Coast on Sunday where the next upper trough will be deepening. The trough will be progressive and dynamic, likely bringing a more widespread round of showers and storms (compared to the midweek system) as it makes its approach from the west Sunday night or next Monday. Severe weather potential remains uncertain at this time, but the time of year and the current model solutions indicate that there will be at least a low end chance. We will know more as better resolution guidance arrives later this week.
30
AVIATION
/NEW/ /06z TAFs/
VFR with a few passing clouds around FL250 with no impacts to commercial aviation within the D10 airspace. Look for DFW to be in a south flow configuration by later this morning as light southerly winds around 5 kts, increase to between 10-12 kts later today and continue through tonight.
A broad surface high from over North-Central Texas into the Lower Mississippi valley will slowly move southeast toward the Central Gulf Coast by 12z Wednesday. SW flow aloft will only help to strengthen a cap over the area with no weather expected through the next 24-30 hours.
05/Marty
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 50 72 57 69 54 / 0 5 50 60 20 Waco 46 68 57 73 54 / 0 10 30 40 20 Paris 44 69 52 61 51 / 0 10 50 60 20 Denton 46 71 54 68 49 / 0 5 50 60 20 McKinney 47 70 54 66 52 / 0 5 50 60 20 Dallas 51 70 57 69 54 / 0 5 50 60 20 Terrell 46 68 54 68 54 / 0 5 50 60 30 Corsicana 49 69 57 71 56 / 0 5 40 50 30 Temple 47 67 56 74 53 / 0 10 30 40 10 Mineral Wells 46 73 54 73 50 / 0 5 40 40 10
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1252 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New Aviation, Short Term
SHORT TERM
/NEW/ Update /Through Mid Week/
Earlier discussion below on track through tonight regarding some frost across rural areas primarily North through Southeast of the DFW Metroplex. The warm up ensues with the return of southerly breezes by this afternoon into tonight.
Wednesday: This morning's broad surface ridge will continuing exiting to the southeast toward Central Gulf Coast on Wednesday, while a vigorous mid level shortwave moves out of the Desert Southwest and toward the the Southern High Plains late Wednesday afternoon. Mid level height falls in advance of this system will result in deepening surface cyclogenesis across E NM and the OK/TX Panhandles by late afternoon. A surface dryline will extend southward just east of the TX/NM common border. Well east of these features across North- Central TX, increasing southerly low level flow from the GoM will help draw dew point temperatures in the lower-mid 50s up across much of the forecast area by early Wednesday evening.
Strong, large-scale ascent will remain well west of the forecast area and near the W TX dryline. This will help to fire a few discrete supercells storms across the TX Panhandle and Caprock region extending into far western OK by evening. The fast southwest flow aloft further east will only help to increase the warm and statically stable air over our area with a stout elevated mixed layer (Cap) aloft. Outside of a sprinkle or two from the increasing low level warm advection, look for breezy and seasonally warm high temperatures during the afternoon hour under partly to mostly cloudy skies.
05/Marty
Previous Discussion: /Through Tuesday Night/
Post-frontal weather conditions will take us through the overnight hours into Tuesday. Wind speeds have gradually decreased through the afternoon, becoming light and variable overnight.
Lows tonight will bottom out in the mid to upper 30s, with a few locations out east and along the Red River Valley reaching the freezing mark. Patchy frost will be possible across portions of North and Central Texas, so be sure to protect any plants that you may have outside! Southerly flow will return to the region as we move into the early morning hours tomorrow, with gusts out of the southwest around 15-20 mph. Highs will reach into the mid to upper 60s, with a few locations out west hitting the 70 degree mark.
Temperatures through Tuesday night will fall to around seasonal norms, ranging in the upper 40s to low 50s.
Reeves
LONG TERM
/Issued 311 PM CDT Mon Mar 18 2024/ /Tuesday Night Onward/
An upper low over the Desert Southwest will bring our next chance of rain as it finally ejects east across the Rockies Tuesday night, into the Texas Panhandle on Wednesday, and through the rest of Texas and Southern Plains Wednesday night and Thursday.
Scattered rain showers will develop Wednesday night as the low approaches the Big Country, with isolated thunderstorms possible by Thursday as the low center moves east along the Red River. The best rain chances will likely end up being along and east of I-35 where Gulf moisture will be most plentiful. That being said, overall moisture will still be limited, with probabilities of receiving half an inch or more of rain remaining below 30 percent.
Thunderstorms will also likely remain isolated due to limited instability, but a few storms will be capable of small hail wherever any pockets of elevated instability exist.
Dry and seasonable weather will return Friday and Saturday as the upper low and all associated precipitation exit to our east. Focus will then shift to the West Coast on Sunday where the next upper trough will be deepening. The trough will be progressive and dynamic, likely bringing a more widespread round of showers and storms (compared to the midweek system) as it makes its approach from the west Sunday night or next Monday. Severe weather potential remains uncertain at this time, but the time of year and the current model solutions indicate that there will be at least a low end chance. We will know more as better resolution guidance arrives later this week.
30
AVIATION
/NEW/ /06z TAFs/
VFR with a few passing clouds around FL250 with no impacts to commercial aviation within the D10 airspace. Look for DFW to be in a south flow configuration by later this morning as light southerly winds around 5 kts, increase to between 10-12 kts later today and continue through tonight.
A broad surface high from over North-Central Texas into the Lower Mississippi valley will slowly move southeast toward the Central Gulf Coast by 12z Wednesday. SW flow aloft will only help to strengthen a cap over the area with no weather expected through the next 24-30 hours.
05/Marty
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 50 72 57 69 54 / 0 5 50 60 20 Waco 46 68 57 73 54 / 0 10 30 40 20 Paris 44 69 52 61 51 / 0 10 50 60 20 Denton 46 71 54 68 49 / 0 5 50 60 20 McKinney 47 70 54 66 52 / 0 5 50 60 20 Dallas 51 70 57 69 54 / 0 5 50 60 20 Terrell 46 68 54 68 54 / 0 5 50 60 30 Corsicana 49 69 57 71 56 / 0 5 40 50 30 Temple 47 67 56 74 53 / 0 10 30 40 10 Mineral Wells 46 73 54 73 50 / 0 5 40 40 10
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KGPM GRAND PRAIRIE MUNI,TX | 2 sm | 24 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 32°F | 53% | 30.30 | |
KGKY ARLINGTON MUNI,TX | 4 sm | 26 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 41°F | 37°F | 87% | 30.28 | |
KRBD DALLAS EXECUTIVE,TX | 8 sm | 26 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 45°F | 34°F | 66% | 30.27 | |
KDAL DALLAS LOVE FIELD,TX | 15 sm | 26 min | calm | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 45°F | 34°F | 66% | 30.28 | |
KDFW DALLASFORT WORTH INTL,TX | 15 sm | 26 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 46°F | 30°F | 53% | 30.27 | |
KJWY MIDWAY RGNL,TX | 16 sm | 24 min | calm | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 41°F | 36°F | 81% | 30.31 | |
KFWS FORT WORTH SPINKS,TX | 17 sm | 24 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 39°F | 37°F | 93% | 30.30 | |
KLNC LANCASTER RGNL,TX | 17 sm | 24 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 39°F | 37°F | 93% | 30.30 | |
KFTW FORT WORTH MEACHAM INTL,TX | 20 sm | 26 min | N 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 43°F | 36°F | 76% | 30.27 | |
KADS ADDISON,TX | 22 sm | 24 min | ENE 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 46°F | 28°F | 49% | 30.30 | |
KNFW FORT WORTH NAS JRB (CARSWELL FLD),TX | 23 sm | 27 min | WNW 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 46°F | 37°F | 71% | 30.28 |
Dallas/Fort Worth, TX,
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