Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Estill, SC
March 19, 2024 8:15 AM EDT (12:15 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:29 AM Sunset 7:39 PM Moonrise 1:35 PM Moonset 3:39 AM |
AMZ352 Waters From Edisto Beach Sc To Savannah Ga Out 20 Nm- 729 Am Edt Tue Mar 19 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 am edt this morning - .
Rest of today - N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt early this afternoon, then becoming sw 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft, subsiding to 2 to 3 ft this afternoon.
Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
Fri - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Fri night - S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms.
Sat - W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Sat night - N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ300 729 Am Edt Tue Mar 19 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters of south coastal south carolina and north coastal georgia - High pressure will prevail into Thursday. A storm system will impact the area Friday into Saturday, before high pressure returns early next week.
Area Discussion for - Charleston, SC
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FXUS62 KCHS 191136 AFDCHS
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston SC 736 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will prevail into Thursday. A storm system will impact the area Friday into Saturday, before high pressure returns early next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
At daybreak, satellite water vapor indicated that the axis of a mid-level shortwave was rippling over the western Atlantic off the SC/GA coast. As this feature departs, CAA and sfc winds are expected to decrease across the forecast area this morning.
By mid-morning, northwest winds are forecast to settle to 5-10 mph across the forecast area. Conditions today will feature a sunny sky with very low humidity. High temperatures should favor values in the low 60s, a few spots along the coast may peak in the mid 60s.
Tonight, the sfc ridge over the forecast area is expected to drift over the Atlantic. Near term guidance indicates that a broad trough will develop east of the Southern Appalachians tonight. This pattern should support steady southwest winds for most of tonight, yielding slight WAA. Low temperatures are forecast to range from the upper 30s inland to the mid to upper 40s along the coast.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
High pressure will persist through Wednesday, before a dry cold front drops through late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. No weather concerns are expected. There should be plenty of sun, although higher level clouds will begin to increase on Thursday ahead of the next weather system. Highs will be near to slightly above normal both days, averaging in the low to mid 70s. Lows Wednesday night ranging from the mid 40s inland to lower 50s closer to the coast will be more mild for Thursday night, spanning the 50s.
More active weather is expected to arrive late week. Mid level shortwave will track east from the Southern Plains Thursday night and then pass across the Southeast Friday into Friday night. As this occurs, low pressure is expected to develop and strengthen while passing over or near the local area. There remains differences between model solutions on where the low tracks and timing which leads to some uncertainty in forecast details. Regardless, PWats climb to over 1.25 inches which is well above climatological norms for late March. Combined with strong isentropic ascent, rain chances will increase late Thursday night with numerous to widespread showers expected through the day and into Friday night. This event should bring a decent amount of rain to the area with periods of moderate to heavy rainfall possible. There could be a few embedded thunderstorms, but instability will largely be dependent on the eventual low track.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Mid level shortwave and associated surface low near the area Saturday morning will move away from the region over the weekend, allowing high pressure to build inland. Any lingering showers on the backside of the low Saturday should come to an end, with the remainder of the weekend and early next week forecast to be dry.
AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
12Z TAFs: Terminals will remain VFR through the TAF period. High pressure will build over the terminals this morning, providing a steady NW wind between 5-10 kts. This afternoon, the sfc ridge is forecast to shift offshore as a broad trough develops in the lee of the Appalachians. Winds are forecast to shift from the southwest between 5-10 kt. Southwest winds should persist through the overnight hours.
Extended Aviation Outlook: Flight restrictions in low clouds and showers are possible late Thursday night through Friday night as low pressure impacts the region.
MARINE
Based on observation trends and high resolution guidance, gales across the nearshore waters should end during the pre-dawn hours this morning. The Gale Warnings will be replaced with Small Craft Advisories for a few hours this morning to highlight lingering gusts and elevated seas. High pressure is expected to gradually increase across the marine zones today. Conditions should improve through the day, with afternoon conditions featuring southwest winds between 10- 15 kts and wave heights decreasing to 1-3 ft.
Tonight, the pressure gradient will tighten over the marine zones as the sfc ridge shifts over the Atlantic. West winds are forecast to develop gusts around 25 kts for a few hours tonight across the Charleston County nearshore waters. It is possible a Small Craft Advisory will be issued for AMZ350 tonight. Elsewhere, west winds may develop gusts around 20 kts. Seas should gradually increase to 2- 4 ft by late tonight.
Wednesday through Sunday: Winds and seas are expected to stay under small craft advisory levels through at least Thursday. Low pressure is then expected to pass over or near the area Friday into Saturday.
While still some uncertainty in the track, this system will bring the potential for increasing winds and seas, and advisories could be needed. High pressure will build inland while the low departs over the weekend and a tight pressure gradient between these two features will keep conditions elevated over the coastal waters through Sunday.
CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for AMZ350- 352-354-374.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston SC 736 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will prevail into Thursday. A storm system will impact the area Friday into Saturday, before high pressure returns early next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
At daybreak, satellite water vapor indicated that the axis of a mid-level shortwave was rippling over the western Atlantic off the SC/GA coast. As this feature departs, CAA and sfc winds are expected to decrease across the forecast area this morning.
By mid-morning, northwest winds are forecast to settle to 5-10 mph across the forecast area. Conditions today will feature a sunny sky with very low humidity. High temperatures should favor values in the low 60s, a few spots along the coast may peak in the mid 60s.
Tonight, the sfc ridge over the forecast area is expected to drift over the Atlantic. Near term guidance indicates that a broad trough will develop east of the Southern Appalachians tonight. This pattern should support steady southwest winds for most of tonight, yielding slight WAA. Low temperatures are forecast to range from the upper 30s inland to the mid to upper 40s along the coast.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
High pressure will persist through Wednesday, before a dry cold front drops through late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. No weather concerns are expected. There should be plenty of sun, although higher level clouds will begin to increase on Thursday ahead of the next weather system. Highs will be near to slightly above normal both days, averaging in the low to mid 70s. Lows Wednesday night ranging from the mid 40s inland to lower 50s closer to the coast will be more mild for Thursday night, spanning the 50s.
More active weather is expected to arrive late week. Mid level shortwave will track east from the Southern Plains Thursday night and then pass across the Southeast Friday into Friday night. As this occurs, low pressure is expected to develop and strengthen while passing over or near the local area. There remains differences between model solutions on where the low tracks and timing which leads to some uncertainty in forecast details. Regardless, PWats climb to over 1.25 inches which is well above climatological norms for late March. Combined with strong isentropic ascent, rain chances will increase late Thursday night with numerous to widespread showers expected through the day and into Friday night. This event should bring a decent amount of rain to the area with periods of moderate to heavy rainfall possible. There could be a few embedded thunderstorms, but instability will largely be dependent on the eventual low track.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Mid level shortwave and associated surface low near the area Saturday morning will move away from the region over the weekend, allowing high pressure to build inland. Any lingering showers on the backside of the low Saturday should come to an end, with the remainder of the weekend and early next week forecast to be dry.
AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
12Z TAFs: Terminals will remain VFR through the TAF period. High pressure will build over the terminals this morning, providing a steady NW wind between 5-10 kts. This afternoon, the sfc ridge is forecast to shift offshore as a broad trough develops in the lee of the Appalachians. Winds are forecast to shift from the southwest between 5-10 kt. Southwest winds should persist through the overnight hours.
Extended Aviation Outlook: Flight restrictions in low clouds and showers are possible late Thursday night through Friday night as low pressure impacts the region.
MARINE
Based on observation trends and high resolution guidance, gales across the nearshore waters should end during the pre-dawn hours this morning. The Gale Warnings will be replaced with Small Craft Advisories for a few hours this morning to highlight lingering gusts and elevated seas. High pressure is expected to gradually increase across the marine zones today. Conditions should improve through the day, with afternoon conditions featuring southwest winds between 10- 15 kts and wave heights decreasing to 1-3 ft.
Tonight, the pressure gradient will tighten over the marine zones as the sfc ridge shifts over the Atlantic. West winds are forecast to develop gusts around 25 kts for a few hours tonight across the Charleston County nearshore waters. It is possible a Small Craft Advisory will be issued for AMZ350 tonight. Elsewhere, west winds may develop gusts around 20 kts. Seas should gradually increase to 2- 4 ft by late tonight.
Wednesday through Sunday: Winds and seas are expected to stay under small craft advisory levels through at least Thursday. Low pressure is then expected to pass over or near the area Friday into Saturday.
While still some uncertainty in the track, this system will bring the potential for increasing winds and seas, and advisories could be needed. High pressure will build inland while the low departs over the weekend and a tight pressure gradient between these two features will keep conditions elevated over the coastal waters through Sunday.
CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for AMZ350- 352-354-374.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
ACXS1 - ACE Basin Reserve, SC | 43 mi | 90 min | 0 | 40°F | 30.15 | 24°F |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KAQX ALLENDALE COUNTY,SC | 16 sm | 20 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 34°F | 21°F | 60% | 30.13 | |
KJYL PLANTATION AIRPARK,GA | 22 sm | 20 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 37°F | 25°F | 60% | 30.14 |
Tide / Current for Tulifiny River, I-95 bridge, South Carolina
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Tulifiny River
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Tue -- 01:54 AM EDT 0.62 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:36 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:27 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:56 AM EDT 4.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:34 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 02:49 PM EDT 0.83 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:34 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:31 PM EDT 4.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:54 AM EDT 0.62 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:36 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:27 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:56 AM EDT 4.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:34 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 02:49 PM EDT 0.83 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:34 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:31 PM EDT 4.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Tulifiny River, I-95 bridge, South Carolina, Tide feet
12 am |
1.4 |
1 am |
0.8 |
2 am |
0.6 |
3 am |
0.9 |
4 am |
1.7 |
5 am |
2.7 |
6 am |
3.7 |
7 am |
4.4 |
8 am |
4.6 |
9 am |
4.4 |
10 am |
3.9 |
11 am |
3.2 |
12 pm |
2.3 |
1 pm |
1.5 |
2 pm |
1 |
3 pm |
0.8 |
4 pm |
1.2 |
5 pm |
1.9 |
6 pm |
2.8 |
7 pm |
3.6 |
8 pm |
4 |
9 pm |
4.1 |
10 pm |
3.7 |
11 pm |
3.1 |
Tide / Current for North Dawson Landing, Coosawhatchie River, South Carolina
EDIT (hide/show)  HelpNorth Dawson Landing
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Tue -- 12:33 AM EDT 0.97 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:36 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:06 AM EDT 7.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:27 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 01:28 PM EDT 1.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:34 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:34 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:41 PM EDT 6.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:33 AM EDT 0.97 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:36 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:06 AM EDT 7.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:27 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 01:28 PM EDT 1.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:34 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:34 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 07:41 PM EDT 6.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
North Dawson Landing, Coosawhatchie River, South Carolina, Tide feet
12 am |
1.1 |
1 am |
1 |
2 am |
1.7 |
3 am |
2.9 |
4 am |
4.3 |
5 am |
5.7 |
6 am |
6.7 |
7 am |
7.1 |
8 am |
6.8 |
9 am |
5.9 |
10 am |
4.8 |
11 am |
3.4 |
12 pm |
2.2 |
1 pm |
1.4 |
2 pm |
1.4 |
3 pm |
2 |
4 pm |
3.1 |
5 pm |
4.3 |
6 pm |
5.5 |
7 pm |
6.2 |
8 pm |
6.3 |
9 pm |
5.7 |
10 pm |
4.7 |
11 pm |
3.4 |
Charleston, SC,
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