Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Estill, SC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 5:27PM Friday November 16, 2018 11:28 AM EST (16:28 UTC) Moonrise 1:53PMMoonset 12:20AM Illumination 62% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ352 Waters From Edisto Beach Sc To Savannah Ga Out 20 Nm- 951 Am Est Fri Nov 16 2018
Rest of today..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, subsiding to 2 to 3 ft this afternoon.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..NE winds 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Mon..N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Mon night..N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
AMZ300 951 Am Est Fri Nov 16 2018
Synopsis for the coastal waters of south coastal south carolina and north coastal georgia.. Cool, dry high pressure will dominate the pattern through the weekend. Another cold front may move through the region by mid week, followed by stronger high pressure and continued cool conditions for the remainder of the work week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Estill, SC
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location: 32.77, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston, SC
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Fxus62 kchs 161454
afdchs
area forecast discussion
national weather service charleston sc
954 am est Fri nov 16 2018

Synopsis
Cool, dry high pressure will dominate the pattern through the
weekend. Another cold front may move through the region by mid
week, followed by stronger high pressure and continued cool
conditions for the remainder of the work week.

Near term through tonight
Surface high pressure and deep layered dry air will expand over
the area today, resulting in clear skies and cool temperatures.

A small area of cirrus may drift into far western zones during
the afternoon but will have little to no impact on temps. Highs
will top out in the mid to upper 50s.

Tonight: the main concern under clear skies will be the setup
for strong radiational cooling and temps falling into the mid
30s many areas along and west of u.S. 17. We expect to hoist
frost advisories for many inland zones while we inspect the
outcome of this morning's potential inland freeze for possible
additional freeze warnings. We think coldest rural areas have a
decent chance of seeing a light freeze north of i-16 in ga and
along northwest zones of southeast sc.

Short term Saturday through Monday
West-southwest upper level flow and weak surface high pressure will
prevail over the region through the period with no significant
precipitation expected.

Saturday: temperatures will be the coolest for this period. After a
very cold start, temperatures are expected to climb into the mid 60s
by afternoon. Winds will be light as high pressure becomes centered
over the mid atlantic states. By Saturday night, the surface ridge
will elongate and shift more into the atlantic. However, low level
light north-northeast winds will remain over the region, which
should allow temperatures to drop to around 40 well inland, to the
mid 40s to around 50 closer to the coast.

Sunday and Monday: temperatures moderate as the center of the
surface high moves farther offshore into the atlantic. This allows a
weak coastal trough to develop. Models indicate some moisture return
and therefore slight chance low end chance for light showers, mainly
near the coast, later Sunday through early Monday. The coastal
trough weakens moves offshore Monday as weak surface high pressure
tries to build back from the west. High temperatures generally in
the upper 60s to around 70, and lows Sunday night in the lower 40s
well inland to the lower 50s closer to the coast.

Long term Monday night through Thursday
A broad upper trough moves across the oh river valley Tuesday and
then across new england southeast canada Wednesday. At the surface,
stronger cooler high pressure builds from the northwest behind a
cold front, which moves through with little no precip. Later
Tuesday. The surface ridge remains north of the region Wednesday and
Thursday, then shifts east offshore of the mid atlantic by Friday.

The global models show a return of deep layer moisture from south to
north by Friday as the low level flow veers to southeast. Given the
uncertainty out that far, have kept low end chance pops, which also
seems to collaborate well with surrounding office. High temperatures
starting off in the mid to upper 60s Tuesday, then cooler for
Wednesday and Thursday behind the cold front, with highs generally
in the lower 60s. By Friday, temperatures moderate into the upper
60s. Low temperatures will be cool, ranging from the low 40s well
inland to around 50 closer to the coast.

Aviation 15z Friday through Tuesday
Vfr conditions will prevail through 12z Saturday.

Brief flight restrictions will be possible later Sunday through
early Monday as a weak coastal trough tries to develop with a low
end chance for showers. Otherwise,VFR is expected to prevail for
both sites through mid week next week.

Marine
Wind seas will continue to diminish today as high pressure
builds in from the west. From this afternoon through tonight,
wind speeds will be much lighter as the mean flow veers from nw
to N and NE by early Saturday. Seas will subside to less than 3
ft near shore and 3-4 ft out near the gulf stream.

No highlights are expected through the period. Weak high
pressure is expected to remain just north of the waters through
Sunday. As the high shifts eastward later Sunday, a weak coastal
trough tries to develop, which may bring a chance for showers
Sunday night and early Monday. Another cold front likely pushes
through the waters later Tuesday. Winds generally 15 knots or
less and seas 2 to 4 feet through Tuesday. Winds increasing to
around 15 knots behind the front later Tuesday through
Wednesday. Some gusts near 20 knots will be possible Tuesday
night and Wednesday.

Chs watches warnings advisories
Ga... None.

Sc... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Jrl
short term... Rfm
long term... Rfm
aviation...

marine... Jrl rfm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ACXS1 - ACE Basin Reserve, SC 43 mi104 min NW 2.9 44°F 1021 hPa35°F
FPKG1 - 8670870 - Fort Pulaski, GA 53 mi47 min NW 14 G 16 44°F 63°F1021.4 hPa

Wind History for Fort Pulaski, GA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sylvania, Plantation Airpark, GA22 mi34 minW 410.00 miFair46°F35°F68%1021.7 hPa

Wind History from JYL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN8NW8NW8NW8NW7NW6CalmCalmCalmW3W4W8NW9
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2 days agoN5N6N3NE3CalmN5NW3NW4CalmCalmN4N3CalmNE4E3NE5NE7NE6E5NE7NE5NE5NE6E9

Tide / Current Tables for Tulifiny River, I-95 bridge, South Carolina
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Tulifiny River
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:19 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:22 AM EST     4.52 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:54 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:30 AM EST     1.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:51 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:22 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 05:50 PM EST     4.83 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.72.53.34.14.54.43.93.12.31.71.31.31.72.53.34.14.74.84.53.832.11.4

Tide / Current Tables for North Dawson Landing, Coosawhatchie River, South Carolina
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North Dawson Landing
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:19 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:32 AM EST     6.94 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:54 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:09 AM EST     1.94 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:51 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:00 PM EST     7.41 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:22 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 10:58 PM EST     1.56 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.845.26.26.86.864.83.52.41.92.22.945.26.37.17.475.94.53.121.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Charleston, SC (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, SC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.