Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Travis Ranch, TX
March 19, 2024 7:34 AM CDT (12:34 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:29 AM Sunset 7:38 PM Moonrise 1:39 PM Moonset 3:42 AM |
Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 191024 AAA AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 524 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New Aviation, Short Term
SHORT TERM
/NEW/ Update: Nothing to add from discussions below. No changes were needed.
05/Marty
Previous Discussion: Update /Through Mid Week/
Earlier discussion below on track through tonight regarding some frost across rural areas primarily North through Southeast of the DFW Metroplex. The warm up ensues with the return of southerly breezes by this afternoon into tonight.
Wednesday: This morning's broad surface ridge will continuing exiting to the southeast toward Central Gulf Coast on Wednesday, while a vigorous mid level shortwave moves out of the Desert Southwest and toward the the Southern High Plains late Wednesday afternoon. Mid level height falls in advance of this system will result in deepening surface cyclogenesis across E NM and the OK/TX Panhandles by late afternoon. A surface dryline will extend southward just east of the TX/NM common border. Well east of these features across North- Central TX, increasing southerly low level flow from the GoM will help draw dew point temperatures in the lower-mid 50s up across much of the forecast area by early Wednesday evening.
Strong, large-scale ascent will remain well west of the forecast area and near the W TX dryline. This will help to fire a few discrete supercells storms across the TX Panhandle and Caprock region extending into far western OK by evening. The fast southwest flow aloft further east will only help to increase the warm and statically stable air over our area with a stout elevated mixed layer (Cap) aloft. Outside of a sprinkle or two from the increasing low level warm advection, look for breezy and seasonally warm high temperatures during the afternoon hour under partly to mostly cloudy skies.
05/Marty
Previous Discussion: /Through Tuesday Night/
Post-frontal weather conditions will take us through the overnight hours into Tuesday. Wind speeds have gradually decreased through the afternoon, becoming light and variable overnight.
Lows tonight will bottom out in the mid to upper 30s, with a few locations out east and along the Red River Valley reaching the freezing mark. Patchy frost will be possible across portions of North and Central Texas, so be sure to protect any plants that you may have outside! Southerly flow will return to the region as we move into the early morning hours tomorrow, with gusts out of the southwest around 15-20 mph. Highs will reach into the mid to upper 60s, with a few locations out west hitting the 70 degree mark.
Temperatures through Tuesday night will fall to around seasonal norms, ranging in the upper 40s to low 50s.
Reeves
LONG TERM
/Issued 320 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024/ /Wednesday Night and Beyond/
As southerly low-level flow increases over the next couple of days, surface dewpoints in the mid- to upper 50s will advect over North and Central Texas by Wednesday ahead of the next weather- making system. An upper-level low will dig south toward the Texas Panhandle late Wednesday aiding in the development of showers and thunderstorms along a dryline extending south out of developing surface low pressure. This activity will approach our western zones late Wednesday evening and shift east during the overnight and into Thursday morning. Limited instability will keep the thunder potential low as this initial round of precipitation moves overhead. Additional showers and thunderstorms will likely develop Thursday afternoon as large-scale ascent increases with the approaching upper-level low, especially east of I-35 where greater quality moisture is expected to reside. Steepening mid- level lapse rates and diurnal heating may lead to pockets of 750-1250 J/kg MLCAPE Thursday afternoon, primarily south of the I-20 corridor. Developing convection will have some modest capping to work through Thursday afternoon, but a few strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing hail and gusty winds seem possible late in the day Thursday, primarily across Central Texas.
Any lingering precipitation will shift east of the forecast area by Thursday night as this storm system moves over the SE CONUS.
Rainfall totals will likely add up to a general 0.25-0.75" east of I-35 with lesser amounts as you go toward the Big Country. Light north, northeasterly winds behind this system will keep afternoon highs in the upper 60s to low 70s Friday and into the weekend (near-normal for this time of year). The next shot of rain looks to arrive late Sunday into early next week as medium-range guidance continues to highlight deep troughing over the western CONUS in the Day 6-Day 7 timeframe. Some early hints in the extended guidance do show some potential for severe weather in the Southern Plains during this timeframe, so continue to check-in with the forecast over the next several days.
Langfeld
AVIATION
/NEW/ /12z TAFs/
No changes necessary from current TAF set. VFR prevail with periodic dense cirrus streaming over the top of an upper ridge.
Light SE surface wind 5 kts or less will become S near 10 kts by afternoon. These conditions should continue into tonight.
SSW winds 10 to 15 kts expected on Wednesday as pressures fall across the D10 airspace.
05/Marty
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 70 50 72 57 68 / 0 0 5 50 70 Waco 66 46 68 57 72 / 0 0 10 40 60 Paris 66 44 69 52 61 / 0 0 10 50 70 Denton 69 46 71 53 67 / 0 0 5 50 70 McKinney 68 47 70 54 64 / 0 0 5 50 80 Dallas 69 51 70 57 68 / 0 0 5 50 70 Terrell 67 46 68 55 66 / 0 0 5 50 70 Corsicana 68 49 69 57 69 / 0 0 5 50 70 Temple 67 47 67 56 73 / 0 0 10 30 50 Mineral Wells 71 46 73 55 73 / 0 0 5 40 60
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 524 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New Aviation, Short Term
SHORT TERM
/NEW/ Update: Nothing to add from discussions below. No changes were needed.
05/Marty
Previous Discussion: Update /Through Mid Week/
Earlier discussion below on track through tonight regarding some frost across rural areas primarily North through Southeast of the DFW Metroplex. The warm up ensues with the return of southerly breezes by this afternoon into tonight.
Wednesday: This morning's broad surface ridge will continuing exiting to the southeast toward Central Gulf Coast on Wednesday, while a vigorous mid level shortwave moves out of the Desert Southwest and toward the the Southern High Plains late Wednesday afternoon. Mid level height falls in advance of this system will result in deepening surface cyclogenesis across E NM and the OK/TX Panhandles by late afternoon. A surface dryline will extend southward just east of the TX/NM common border. Well east of these features across North- Central TX, increasing southerly low level flow from the GoM will help draw dew point temperatures in the lower-mid 50s up across much of the forecast area by early Wednesday evening.
Strong, large-scale ascent will remain well west of the forecast area and near the W TX dryline. This will help to fire a few discrete supercells storms across the TX Panhandle and Caprock region extending into far western OK by evening. The fast southwest flow aloft further east will only help to increase the warm and statically stable air over our area with a stout elevated mixed layer (Cap) aloft. Outside of a sprinkle or two from the increasing low level warm advection, look for breezy and seasonally warm high temperatures during the afternoon hour under partly to mostly cloudy skies.
05/Marty
Previous Discussion: /Through Tuesday Night/
Post-frontal weather conditions will take us through the overnight hours into Tuesday. Wind speeds have gradually decreased through the afternoon, becoming light and variable overnight.
Lows tonight will bottom out in the mid to upper 30s, with a few locations out east and along the Red River Valley reaching the freezing mark. Patchy frost will be possible across portions of North and Central Texas, so be sure to protect any plants that you may have outside! Southerly flow will return to the region as we move into the early morning hours tomorrow, with gusts out of the southwest around 15-20 mph. Highs will reach into the mid to upper 60s, with a few locations out west hitting the 70 degree mark.
Temperatures through Tuesday night will fall to around seasonal norms, ranging in the upper 40s to low 50s.
Reeves
LONG TERM
/Issued 320 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024/ /Wednesday Night and Beyond/
As southerly low-level flow increases over the next couple of days, surface dewpoints in the mid- to upper 50s will advect over North and Central Texas by Wednesday ahead of the next weather- making system. An upper-level low will dig south toward the Texas Panhandle late Wednesday aiding in the development of showers and thunderstorms along a dryline extending south out of developing surface low pressure. This activity will approach our western zones late Wednesday evening and shift east during the overnight and into Thursday morning. Limited instability will keep the thunder potential low as this initial round of precipitation moves overhead. Additional showers and thunderstorms will likely develop Thursday afternoon as large-scale ascent increases with the approaching upper-level low, especially east of I-35 where greater quality moisture is expected to reside. Steepening mid- level lapse rates and diurnal heating may lead to pockets of 750-1250 J/kg MLCAPE Thursday afternoon, primarily south of the I-20 corridor. Developing convection will have some modest capping to work through Thursday afternoon, but a few strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing hail and gusty winds seem possible late in the day Thursday, primarily across Central Texas.
Any lingering precipitation will shift east of the forecast area by Thursday night as this storm system moves over the SE CONUS.
Rainfall totals will likely add up to a general 0.25-0.75" east of I-35 with lesser amounts as you go toward the Big Country. Light north, northeasterly winds behind this system will keep afternoon highs in the upper 60s to low 70s Friday and into the weekend (near-normal for this time of year). The next shot of rain looks to arrive late Sunday into early next week as medium-range guidance continues to highlight deep troughing over the western CONUS in the Day 6-Day 7 timeframe. Some early hints in the extended guidance do show some potential for severe weather in the Southern Plains during this timeframe, so continue to check-in with the forecast over the next several days.
Langfeld
AVIATION
/NEW/ /12z TAFs/
No changes necessary from current TAF set. VFR prevail with periodic dense cirrus streaming over the top of an upper ridge.
Light SE surface wind 5 kts or less will become S near 10 kts by afternoon. These conditions should continue into tonight.
SSW winds 10 to 15 kts expected on Wednesday as pressures fall across the D10 airspace.
05/Marty
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 70 50 72 57 68 / 0 0 5 50 70 Waco 66 46 68 57 72 / 0 0 10 40 60 Paris 66 44 69 52 61 / 0 0 10 50 70 Denton 69 46 71 53 67 / 0 0 5 50 70 McKinney 68 47 70 54 64 / 0 0 5 50 80 Dallas 69 51 70 57 68 / 0 0 5 50 70 Terrell 67 46 68 55 66 / 0 0 5 50 70 Corsicana 68 49 69 57 69 / 0 0 5 50 70 Temple 67 47 67 56 73 / 0 0 10 30 50 Mineral Wells 71 46 73 55 73 / 0 0 5 40 60
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KHQZ MESQUITE METRO,TX | 5 sm | 44 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 34°F | 27°F | 75% | 30.27 | |
KTRL TERRELL MUNI,TX | 14 sm | 41 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 36°F | 30°F | 81% | 30.27 | |
KDAL DALLAS LOVE FIELD,TX | 19 sm | 41 min | calm | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 41°F | 32°F | 70% | 30.26 | |
KLNC LANCASTER RGNL,TX | 20 sm | 19 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 34°F | 32°F | 93% | 30.29 | |
KADS ADDISON,TX | 22 sm | 47 min | SSE 05 | 13 sm | Clear | 41°F | 28°F | 61% | 30.26 | |
KRBD DALLAS EXECUTIVE,TX | 22 sm | 41 min | S 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 39°F | 28°F | 65% | 30.26 |
Dallas/Fort Worth, TX,
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