Tuesday, March28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Travis Ranch, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 7:45PM Tuesday March 28, 2017 8:22 PM CDT (01:22 UTC) Moonrise 6:51AMMoonset 7:36PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Travis Ranch, TX
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location: 32.81, -96.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 290023
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
723 pm cdt Tue mar 28 2017

Aviation
A warm front had lifted north of the metroplex TAF sites late
this afternoon. A broken layer of clouds between 4000 ft and
8000 ft will remain in place through the evening. MVFR ceilings
are likely to develop late this evening ahead of an approaching
low pressure system. MVFR ceilings will linger overnight through
sunrise at all TAF sites.

Thunderstorms currently west of the region will slowly organize
into a squall line that will move east through the night. Although
an isolated storm or two could develop ahead of this line, coverage
will be too limited to mention in this TAF package. We expect
this line of storms to reach the i-35 corridor (and all TAF sites)
between 8z and 9z with impacts from these storms possible through
sunrise. Once the line of storms moves east of the interstate 35
corridor Wednesday morning, clouds will quickly clear as
subsidence increases behind the squall line. Although there should
be no direct impacts from storms Wednesday afternoon, eastbound
departures will likely be affected.

A southeast wind between 12 and 16 mph this evening will turn more
southerly by sunrise Wednesday ahead of a cold front. Wind speeds
on Thursday will range from 10 to 15 knots along with some higher
gusts. The cold front will not reach the metroplex TAF sites
until around 02z Thursday.

Discussion
/issued 340 pm cdt Tue mar 28 2017/

Tornado watch in effect for areas west and northwest of the
dallas-fort worth metroplex...

convection continues to increase over the texas panhandle and
south plains in advance of a deep upper level low, which was
centered over new mexico this afternoon. Storms will gradually
spread eastward later this afternoon and this evening in the
eastward developing region of good forcing associated with the
upper low. Activity will likely initiate along an eastward moving
dryline, with individual storms moving generally north-northeast.

These storms will are expected to develop upscale into a linear
mcs, which will push east across north and central texas
overnight.

Meanwhile, a warm front has taken its time moving north, but
appears to have made it north of the i-20 corridor. The boundary
will continue to approach the red river, and may become the focus
for a few isolated strong to severe storms. Discrete cells will
have the potential for producing large hail, damaging winds and
perhaps a tornado. The best potential for thunderstorms this
afternoon will likely be over our northwestern counties where the
strongest forcing will reside and the surface boundary will be
near.

As the line progresses east overnight, damaging straight-line
winds will be the primary threat. That said, decreasing
instability as surface heating wanes could be a factor that helps
mitigate the severe potential. The latest hi-res guidance
indicates a weakening trend as the line moves east of the i-35
corridor Wednesday morning. The dryline and/or lingering outflow
is likely to stall near the far-eastern counties as the upper low
continues trekking east across the southern plains. Another round
of good forcing associated with the upper low will help ignite
additional storms in the vicinity of the stalled boundary during
the peak heating hours Wednesday. Some of these storms may become
severe with large hail and damaging winds. The exact location of
the surface boundary will determine where storms initiate, and at
this time the highest pops will be over the eastern-most counties
with lower pops the farther west you go.

The upper low center will move east across oklahoma Wednesday
night, which may generate isolated storms along the red river. Due
to the expected low coverage, pops will remain fairly low. There
could be an isolated hail threat due to the cold air aloft but the
overall severe threat Wednesday night appears low.

Thursday should be a nice day as the upper low moves east and a
cold front pushes through the region. This will be short-lived,
however, as the next upper level storm system drops quickly
southeast from the pacific northwest into the four-corners region,
bringing a quick return to south winds, moisture and warmer
weather Friday. This system looks like it will similarly generate
multiple rounds of convection from Saturday afternoon through
Sunday night. There is still some model uncertainty with regard to
the timing and exact path the system will take, but the latest
guidance hints that there will again be at least some threat of
severe weather this weekend. We may have to also consider the
threat for localized flooding to to the multiple precipitation
events expected this week.

30

Preliminary point temps/pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 65 83 54 69 52 / 100 40 10 5 5
waco 65 82 54 73 50 / 100 50 5 5 5
paris 64 76 54 66 47 / 80 70 30 10 10
denton 63 80 51 67 47 / 100 40 10 5 5
mckinney 65 78 53 67 48 / 100 50 10 10 5
dallas 66 82 55 69 52 / 100 50 10 10 5
terrell 66 79 55 69 48 / 100 60 20 10 5
corsicana 66 80 56 71 51 / 90 60 20 10 5
temple 64 82 54 75 51 / 90 50 5 5 5
mineral wells 57 81 49 69 47 / 100 20 10 5 5

Fwd watches/warnings/advisories
None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mesquite, Mesquite Metro Airport, TX5 mi32 minESE 1210.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F60°F54%1005.4 hPa
Terrell, Terrell Municipal Airport, TX14 mi29 minSSE 15 G 2110.00 miFair79°F59°F50%1005.2 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX19 mi29 minSE 1510.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F63°F56%1003.9 hPa
Lancaster Airport, TX20 mi27 minSE 1210.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F62°F61%1005.1 hPa
Dallas / Addison Airport, TX21 mi35 minESE 12 G 1910.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F62°F58%1004.7 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX22 mi29 minSE 11 G 2210.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F63°F58%1003.7 hPa

Wind History from HQZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmNE3NE5E4E34E5E4E8SE13
G17
E11
G16
E14
G20
SE14
G20
SE10
G17
SE15
G20
SE9SE12
1 day agoSE8S17S13
G21
S21
G26
S15
G20
S14
G21
S14
G20
S11S8SW5SW3SW7NW11NW4NW5NW6NW5N9N5N5N4N4N4Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmSE3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE7SE7S7SE10
G15
SE13
G16
SE11
G17
SE13
G20
SE18
G22
SE13
G22
SE10SE13
G18
SE13
G19

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.