Thursday, May23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Travis Ranch, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 8:25PM Thursday May 23, 2019 6:55 PM CDT (23:55 UTC) Moonrise 11:51PMMoonset 9:28AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Travis Ranch, TX
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location: 32.81, -96.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 232342
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
642 pm cdt Thu may 23 2019

Aviation
00z tafs
today was another breezy day across the region with winds gusting
to around 35 mph this afternoon. Those gusty winds are expected
to decrease through the rest of this afternoon and into the
evening hours but still remain around 15-20 mph through the
night.

The lack of a change in the upper level pattern will lead to a
similar scenario tonight compared to the past several nights
where the low level jet is expected to strengthen. This increase
in southerly winds just above the surface will help draw an MVFR
deck northward, initially impacting kact around midnight, then
all dallas fort worth metroplex TAF sites a few hours later. By
mid- morning, ceilings will rise to around fl040 and remain
through the afternoon. Wind gusts in the afternoon will once
again pick up, generally remaining between 30-35 mph.

Hernandez

Short term issued 245 pm cdt Thu may 23 2019
tonight
north and central texas this afternoon remain sandwiched between
a ridge of high pressure anchored over the southeast, and a deep
mid-tropospheric trough stretched across the rocky mountains. The
fwd county warning area (cwa) is well within a maritime tropical
(mt) air mass with dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s. A
quick 10-minute walk around the block during lunch readily
revealed just how humid it has become over the past few days.

For the rest of this afternoon, little to no synoptic-scale
forcing over our CWA should keep a firm cap on any shower and
thunderstorm activity, except for perhaps in our southeastern
counties. The href has hinted at the possibility of some weak
convection southeast of an athens to cameron line this afternoon,
and visible satellite imagery does indeed show some percolating
cumulus down there. Given this, have opted to throw in some low
(20-30 percent) pops for the afternoon, but this could be
aggressive if anything. Regardless, any convection that does
develop would remain below severe limits, and likely be in the
form of a brief downpour and a few rumbles of thunder. Expect
anything that does develop to quickly diminish after sunset with
the loss of daytime heating.

For tonight, expecting a near carbon copy of last night. We should
get a renewed surge of stratus clouds as an intense low-level jet
develops. This cloud cover, as well as sultry low 70s dewpoints
should keep low temperatures in the low to mid 70s, leading to a
rather muggy night, and keeping air conditioners across north and
central texas working overtime.

37

Long term issued 245 pm cdt Thu may 23 2019
Friday through Wednesday
north texas will remain positioned between a stout mid level ridge
over the southeastern u.S. And persistent troughing over the
western u.S. Through at least the early part of next week. We'll
be primarily influenced by the ridge with generally low rain
chances and warm humid conditions.

The dryline will remain active given the upstream trough and
periodic shortwave disturbances passing through. Most of the
convection will occur over west texas with weak attempts at making
a run at some of our western counties each evening through the
weekend. The best chance appears to come on Friday when
thunderstorms develop off to the west aided by a weak shortwave
that tracks a little farther east through the evening. We'll
maintain some very low pops primarily across our far northwestern
counties. Otherwise, we'll continue to deal with nocturnal stratus
intrusions that keep skies mostly cloudy from early morning into
early afternoon through the upcoming memorial day holiday. Highs
will top out in the upper 80s and lower 90s each afternoon through
Monday.

By Tuesday, there are indications that the strong ridging to the
east will begin to break down and a fairly potent disturbance will
swing into the plains. This likely represents the next best chance
for areawide rain storm chances as weak front slides southward
through the plains. Low chances for scattered thunderstorms will
continue through the mid late week period.

Dunn

Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 74 87 71 89 72 0 5 0 0 0
waco 74 88 72 89 71 5 5 0 0 0
paris 71 87 68 87 70 0 0 0 0 0
denton 73 87 70 87 71 0 5 5 0 5
mckinney 73 87 70 87 71 0 0 0 0 0
dallas 75 89 73 89 72 0 5 0 0 0
terrell 73 88 71 89 71 0 0 0 0 0
corsicana 73 89 71 89 70 0 0 0 0 0
temple 73 87 70 88 71 5 5 0 0 0
mineral wells 73 86 70 87 68 5 5 10 0 5

Fwd watches warnings advisories
None.

08


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mesquite, Mesquite Metro Airport, TX5 mi66 minESE 14 G 1910.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F71°F59%1014.2 hPa
Terrell, Terrell Municipal Airport, TX14 mi63 minSSE 1210.00 miA Few Clouds89°F70°F53%1013.7 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX19 mi63 minSSE 17 G 2510.00 miA Few Clouds90°F69°F50%1012.4 hPa
Lancaster Airport, TX20 mi61 minSE 17 G 2310.00 miFair89°F68°F52%1014.2 hPa
Dallas / Addison Airport, TX21 mi65 minSE 16 G 2910.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F68°F52%1013.5 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX22 mi63 minSSE 15 G 2210.00 miFair88°F69°F54%1012.2 hPa

Wind History from HQZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE9
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1 day agoSE7S6S5S5S5SE4SE4SE3SE3SE4S5S6SE12SE12SE11
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2 days agoSE12
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.