Thursday, May23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Matador, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 8:48PM Thursday May 23, 2019 2:25 AM CDT (07:25 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:42AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Matador, TX
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location: 34.11, -100.77     debug


Area Discussion for - Lubbock, TX
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Fxus64 klub 230534
afdlub
area forecast discussion
national weather service lubbock tx
1234 am cdt Thu may 23 2019

Aviation
Stratus streaming northward through the concho valley should reach
the TAF sites within the first few hours of the TAF period. Expect
MVFR ceilings, but a period of ifr at klbb and kpvw also looks
possible. Two periods of TS look possible, one close to sunrise
this morning and the other mid late afternoon into evening along
and east of the dryline. Low confidence in areal extent and timing
lead to keeping mention out of the tafs at this time.

Prev discussion issued 335 pm cdt Wed may 22 2019
discussion...

southwesterly flow aloft is expected to persist early next week. An
elliptically oriented low is poised across the far southwestern part
of the conus. This feature is expected to lift into the great basin
by mid-day tomorrow. That said, the evolution of this low is fairly
complex and model initialization seems to be struggling with the
finer (or actually not so fine) details of the system. Given the
scarcity of mid-level data across the pacific and NRN mx, there is
little reason to wonder why. Many nwp solutions have pointed toward
late night and early morning convection across the cwfa and this is
reflected in the blends. However, there are a couple of negative
factors for this. 1. The area is in the subsident region of the ul
jet and 2. The position of the ul low is quite far west. There are
model indications of a disturbance in the mean flow though wv, while
showing a broad area of lift from NW az to mmtj thence into the
pacific, there looks to be little indication of a disturbance
sufficiently stout to trigger TSTM development given the distance
from the parent low. What is more typical of this situation, given
the moist advection is the formation of streamer showers aided by
the llj. With 70+ dewpoints just to our southeast, moisture should
be plentifully increasing once the dryline retreats into nm. While
it's hard to completely rule out some thunder, will narrow it down
to the nwrn S plains and extreme southwestern panhandle tonight into
the morning hours on Thursday.

Deeper moisture should keep the clouds in for part of the day east
of the dryline before scattering. While we do not have the limiting
issues with cirrus, this may delay the onset of afternoon convection
somewhat. Ul lift should increase by late afternoon and with the
breaks in the clouds providing some increase in low level
instability, the expectation for thunderstorms exists. With cape
approaching 3kj kg and 50 kts of 0-6km shear, this seems to be a
good balance for severe storms. Low level shear seems to support a
tornado or two as well. We're also seeing potential for training
which justifies wording for heavy rain potential well into Friday
morning.

For Friday and beyond, sloshing dryline (some days with more
magnitude than others) should persist through Sunday evening. It
is may, afterall, and a severe threat will exist each evening for
the afternoon and evening. Beyond that, will let the blend do what
it does best as solutions diverge.

Lub watches warnings advisories
None.

07


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Childress, Childress Municipal Airport, TX34 mi33 minSSE 138.00 miFair74°F69°F85%1006.8 hPa

Wind History from CDS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8N7SW3S6N7N8E4SE9SW9SW10S11
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1 day agoNW15NW10N7SW10SW8W12W19
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2 days agoSE11SE8E11SE13SE14SE12
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SE9NE7E6NE4N5N10NE9NW11NE12
G22
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Lubbock, TX (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lubbock, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.