Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Oxnard, CA
March 19, 2024 4:15 AM PDT (11:15 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:59 AM Sunset 7:09 PM Moonrise 2:09 PM Moonset 4:19 AM |
PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 246 Am Pdt Tue Mar 19 2024
Today - Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 11 seconds.
Tonight - W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming se. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 11 seconds.
Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds.
Wed night - W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft dominant period 12 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Thu - W winds 10 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 10 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Thu night - Western portion, W winds 15 to 25 kt. Eastern portion, W winds 10 to 15 kt. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft dominant period 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Fri - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
Sat - NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Combined seas 5 to 7 ft. A slight chance of rain.
PZZ600 246 Am Pdt Tue Mar 19 2024
synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - .at 09z, or 2 am pst, a 1032 mb surface high was located 900 nm wnw of seattle, wa. A 1015 mb thermal low was over the gulf of california with an axis extending northwest across the southern california bight. Light to moderate west to northwest flow will continue across the coastal waters through late week.
synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - .at 09z, or 2 am pst, a 1032 mb surface high was located 900 nm wnw of seattle, wa. A 1015 mb thermal low was over the gulf of california with an axis extending northwest across the southern california bight. Light to moderate west to northwest flow will continue across the coastal waters through late week.
Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 190541 AFDLOX
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 1041 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
SYNOPSIS
18/1014 PM.
Areas of overnight low clouds and fog should clear by late Tuesday morning. In the afternoon, mountains showers are possible, with very slight chances for valleys. Dry conditions are expected the rest of the week before a weak system brings wind, light showers, and cooler weather for this weekend.
.SHORT TERM (MON-THU)...18/940 PM.
***UPDATE***
The upper low and associated vort max which brought scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms to L.A. and VTU Counties this afternoon and earlier this evening was centered near the Salton Sea this evening and it was beginning to move east. Measurable rain was reported in many locations in Ventura County and in about 20-30% of L.A. County. However, due to the quick movement of the showers/storms and dry air at low levels, only a few locations reported more than a tenth of an inch of rain. Some small hail was reported in Bellflower, and there were many reports of lightning.
Shower activity decreased quickly around sunset, and while isolated showers continued across Ventura County this evening, there should end or dissipate within the next hour or two.
Otherwise, there were just some high clouds moving southwestward into L.A. County around the western periphery of the upper low.
The WRF shows a fairly good amount of moisture tonight, and suggests areas of low clouds and fog later tonight/Tue morning in coastal sections of L.A. County and possibly Ventura County, on the Central Coast, and in the Santa Ynez Valley. There could be some locally dense fog, mainly north of Point Conception, where the marine inversion is lower.
Low clouds should burn off in most areas by mid to late morning Tue. The upper low will move eastward Tue. While the WRF still shows good instability, especially across L.A. and VTU Counties Tue afternoon and evening. However, there will be somewhat less in the way of moisture wrapping into the region, and there does not look to be any mid or upper level feature (such as a strong vort)
to be a trigger for any storms. Therefore, any showers/tstorms that might develop Tue afternoon should be mainly due to orographic lift of the northeasterly flow into the mountains. With N to NE flow through a deep layer, there is still a chance that some showers could drift into the foothills and some interior valley areas of VTU and L.A. Counties. However, expect less in the way of shower/tstorm activity Tue, especially west of the mountains. Increasing onshore flow may bring slight cooling on Tue, especially to the coastal plain, but this may be somewhat offset but height rises. Overall, max temps should be a few degrees above normal.
***From Previous Discussion***
The upper low will likely continue to move east Tue night and Wed, finally losing its influence on the weather in the forecast area. Expect areas of night thru morning low clouds and fog in coastal areas Tue night/Wed morning, then mostly sunny skies by afternoon. Max temps may drop a bit Wed as onshore flow returns.
There will likely be areas of night/morning low clouds in coastal and some valley areas Wed night/Thu morning. The ridge will weaken and flatten with a large upper low moving toward the West Coast. Max temps will likely still be above normal Thu.
.LONG TERM (FRI-MON)...18/115 PM.
The flow aloft will shift from zonal on Thu to southwesterly Fri.
There may be low clouds again Thu night/Fri morning. Increasing mid and high level moisture pushing into the region will likely bring an increase in clouds to all areas Fri, along with some cooling, bringing temps close to normal levels.
Most ensemble members show measurable rain in most of the area this weekend, but there is uncertainty with respect to amounts and timing. In general the highest chances and rain amounts are in northwest SLO County where up to 0.5" could fall over the weekend.
Most other areas will be between 0.1 and 0.25" except for the Antelope Valley which will likely remain rain free.
By Monday the system should be through the area and the CWA will see mostly clear skies and warming temps under the eastern Pacific ridge.
AVIATION
19/0541Z.
At 0431Z at KLAX, there was a deep moist layer up to 5000 ft.
Low confidence in TAFs due to uncertainty in low clouds tonight.
There is a 30% chance of no cigs forming for KSBA, KOXR, KCMA, KSMO, KLAX, and KLGB. Timing of development/clearing of cigs and vsby restrictions may be off by up to 2 hours. From 20Z-04Z Tue there is a 15% chance of thunderstorms over the mountains of LA and Ventura Counties.
KLAX...Low confidence in TAF through 20Z Tue, due to uncertainty in cigs. There is a 30% chance of no cigs forming tonight, and timing might be off by up to 2 hours. Any easterly winds should remain less than 7 knots.
KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 10% chance of BKN008-BKN015 cigs between 10-17Z.
MARINE
18/1014 PM.
For the waters southwest through northwest of the Channel Islands and along the Central Coast, there is a 60 percent chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level Tuesday afternoon and evening.
Wednesday afternoon and evening, there is a 60 percent chance of SCA level winds for the waters around Point Conception and the Channel Islands, and a 40% for the waters along the Central Coast.
Chances will decrease to a 30% for all these waters Thurday and Friday.
Inside the southern California bight through Wednesday evening, there is a 20 percent chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds each afternoon and evening with the highest chances for the western portions. Thursday and Friday conditions are expected to be below SCA level.
Widespread SCA condition are expected for all waters starting as early as Saturday afternoon.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM to 9 PM PDT Tuesday for zones 645-670-673. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 1041 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
SYNOPSIS
18/1014 PM.
Areas of overnight low clouds and fog should clear by late Tuesday morning. In the afternoon, mountains showers are possible, with very slight chances for valleys. Dry conditions are expected the rest of the week before a weak system brings wind, light showers, and cooler weather for this weekend.
.SHORT TERM (MON-THU)...18/940 PM.
***UPDATE***
The upper low and associated vort max which brought scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms to L.A. and VTU Counties this afternoon and earlier this evening was centered near the Salton Sea this evening and it was beginning to move east. Measurable rain was reported in many locations in Ventura County and in about 20-30% of L.A. County. However, due to the quick movement of the showers/storms and dry air at low levels, only a few locations reported more than a tenth of an inch of rain. Some small hail was reported in Bellflower, and there were many reports of lightning.
Shower activity decreased quickly around sunset, and while isolated showers continued across Ventura County this evening, there should end or dissipate within the next hour or two.
Otherwise, there were just some high clouds moving southwestward into L.A. County around the western periphery of the upper low.
The WRF shows a fairly good amount of moisture tonight, and suggests areas of low clouds and fog later tonight/Tue morning in coastal sections of L.A. County and possibly Ventura County, on the Central Coast, and in the Santa Ynez Valley. There could be some locally dense fog, mainly north of Point Conception, where the marine inversion is lower.
Low clouds should burn off in most areas by mid to late morning Tue. The upper low will move eastward Tue. While the WRF still shows good instability, especially across L.A. and VTU Counties Tue afternoon and evening. However, there will be somewhat less in the way of moisture wrapping into the region, and there does not look to be any mid or upper level feature (such as a strong vort)
to be a trigger for any storms. Therefore, any showers/tstorms that might develop Tue afternoon should be mainly due to orographic lift of the northeasterly flow into the mountains. With N to NE flow through a deep layer, there is still a chance that some showers could drift into the foothills and some interior valley areas of VTU and L.A. Counties. However, expect less in the way of shower/tstorm activity Tue, especially west of the mountains. Increasing onshore flow may bring slight cooling on Tue, especially to the coastal plain, but this may be somewhat offset but height rises. Overall, max temps should be a few degrees above normal.
***From Previous Discussion***
The upper low will likely continue to move east Tue night and Wed, finally losing its influence on the weather in the forecast area. Expect areas of night thru morning low clouds and fog in coastal areas Tue night/Wed morning, then mostly sunny skies by afternoon. Max temps may drop a bit Wed as onshore flow returns.
There will likely be areas of night/morning low clouds in coastal and some valley areas Wed night/Thu morning. The ridge will weaken and flatten with a large upper low moving toward the West Coast. Max temps will likely still be above normal Thu.
.LONG TERM (FRI-MON)...18/115 PM.
The flow aloft will shift from zonal on Thu to southwesterly Fri.
There may be low clouds again Thu night/Fri morning. Increasing mid and high level moisture pushing into the region will likely bring an increase in clouds to all areas Fri, along with some cooling, bringing temps close to normal levels.
Most ensemble members show measurable rain in most of the area this weekend, but there is uncertainty with respect to amounts and timing. In general the highest chances and rain amounts are in northwest SLO County where up to 0.5" could fall over the weekend.
Most other areas will be between 0.1 and 0.25" except for the Antelope Valley which will likely remain rain free.
By Monday the system should be through the area and the CWA will see mostly clear skies and warming temps under the eastern Pacific ridge.
AVIATION
19/0541Z.
At 0431Z at KLAX, there was a deep moist layer up to 5000 ft.
Low confidence in TAFs due to uncertainty in low clouds tonight.
There is a 30% chance of no cigs forming for KSBA, KOXR, KCMA, KSMO, KLAX, and KLGB. Timing of development/clearing of cigs and vsby restrictions may be off by up to 2 hours. From 20Z-04Z Tue there is a 15% chance of thunderstorms over the mountains of LA and Ventura Counties.
KLAX...Low confidence in TAF through 20Z Tue, due to uncertainty in cigs. There is a 30% chance of no cigs forming tonight, and timing might be off by up to 2 hours. Any easterly winds should remain less than 7 knots.
KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 10% chance of BKN008-BKN015 cigs between 10-17Z.
MARINE
18/1014 PM.
For the waters southwest through northwest of the Channel Islands and along the Central Coast, there is a 60 percent chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level Tuesday afternoon and evening.
Wednesday afternoon and evening, there is a 60 percent chance of SCA level winds for the waters around Point Conception and the Channel Islands, and a 40% for the waters along the Central Coast.
Chances will decrease to a 30% for all these waters Thurday and Friday.
Inside the southern California bight through Wednesday evening, there is a 20 percent chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds each afternoon and evening with the highest chances for the western portions. Thursday and Friday conditions are expected to be below SCA level.
Widespread SCA condition are expected for all waters starting as early as Saturday afternoon.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM to 9 PM PDT Tuesday for zones 645-670-673. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 | 27 mi | 39 min | NNW 1.9G | 55°F | 30.04 | |||
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA | 32 mi | 35 min | ENE 3.9G | 57°F | 58°F | 30.00 | 57°F | |
46025 - Santa Monica Basin - 33NM West Southwest of Santa Monica, CA | 34 mi | 35 min | SSE 1.9G | 58°F | 59°F | 30.04 | 57°F | |
46251 | 36 mi | 49 min | 56°F | 58°F | 3 ft | |||
46268 | 38 mi | 45 min | 56°F | 60°F | 2 ft | |||
46221 - Santa Monica Bay, CA (028) | 41 mi | 49 min | 58°F | 3 ft | ||||
ICAC1 - 9410840 - Santa Monica Pier | 42 mi | 45 min | 58°F | 61°F | 30.06 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KOXR OXNARD,CA | 3 sm | 24 min | NE 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 54°F | 48°F | 82% | 30.03 | |
KCMA CAMARILLO,CA | 8 sm | 20 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 52°F | 46°F | 82% | 30.03 | |
KNTD POINT MUGU NAS (NAVAL BASE VENTURA CO),CA | 10 sm | 20 min | NNE 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 52°F | 50°F | 94% | 30.03 |
Ventura
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:54 AM PDT 2.68 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:20 AM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:33 AM PDT 4.69 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:01 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 01:59 PM PDT -0.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:09 PM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:08 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:41 PM PDT 3.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:54 AM PDT 2.68 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:20 AM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:33 AM PDT 4.69 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:01 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 01:59 PM PDT -0.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:09 PM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:08 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:41 PM PDT 3.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Ventura, California, Tide feet
12 am |
2.8 |
1 am |
2.7 |
2 am |
2.8 |
3 am |
3.2 |
4 am |
3.8 |
5 am |
4.3 |
6 am |
4.6 |
7 am |
4.6 |
8 am |
4.3 |
9 am |
3.6 |
10 am |
2.6 |
11 am |
1.5 |
12 pm |
0.5 |
1 pm |
-0.1 |
2 pm |
-0.3 |
3 pm |
-0.1 |
4 pm |
0.6 |
5 pm |
1.5 |
6 pm |
2.5 |
7 pm |
3.3 |
8 pm |
3.7 |
9 pm |
3.8 |
10 pm |
3.6 |
11 pm |
3.1 |
Port Hueneme
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:51 AM PDT 2.68 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:19 AM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:34 AM PDT 4.69 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:00 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 01:56 PM PDT -0.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:09 PM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:08 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:42 PM PDT 3.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:51 AM PDT 2.68 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:19 AM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:34 AM PDT 4.69 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:00 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 01:56 PM PDT -0.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:09 PM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:08 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:42 PM PDT 3.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Port Hueneme, California, Tide feet
12 am |
2.8 |
1 am |
2.7 |
2 am |
2.8 |
3 am |
3.2 |
4 am |
3.8 |
5 am |
4.3 |
6 am |
4.6 |
7 am |
4.7 |
8 am |
4.3 |
9 am |
3.5 |
10 am |
2.6 |
11 am |
1.5 |
12 pm |
0.5 |
1 pm |
-0.1 |
2 pm |
-0.3 |
3 pm |
-0.1 |
4 pm |
0.6 |
5 pm |
1.5 |
6 pm |
2.5 |
7 pm |
3.3 |
8 pm |
3.7 |
9 pm |
3.8 |
10 pm |
3.6 |
11 pm |
3.1 |
Los Angeles, CA,
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