Saturday, January19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oxnard, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 5:15PM Saturday January 19, 2019 6:28 PM PST (02:28 UTC) Moonrise 4:52PMMoonset 6:29AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 202 Pm Pst Sat Jan 19 2019
Tonight..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 13 seconds.
Sun..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 15 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 12 seconds.
Sun night..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Combined seas 6 to 8 ft dominant period 12 seconds.
Mon..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Combined seas 7 to 9 ft dominant period 9 seconds.
Mon night..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt, becoming N 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Combined seas 7 to 9 ft dominant period 11 seconds.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft.
PZZ600 202 Pm Pst Sat Jan 19 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 21z...or 1 pm pst, a 1040 mb high was over western colorado with a ridge extending to a 1025 mb surface high 150 nm sw of point conception. Weak low pressure is forecast to develop along a surface front over the eastern pac tonight. This front will move E and into the northern coastal waters late Sun and Sun night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oxnard, CA
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location: 34.23, -119.24     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 192349
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
349 pm pst Sat jan 19 2019

Synopsis 19 758 am.

Dry conditions will continue this weekend and through next week.

Temperatures will bounce around a bit with warmer readings today,
cooler Sunday and Monday, then a gradual warming trend next week.

Breezy Monday and Tuesday.

Short term (tdy-tue) 19 1224 pm.

Overall, 12z models in good synoptic agreement through the short
term period. At upper levels, ridge will gradually weaken tonight
and Sunday then a low pressure system will move across northern
ca and into the great basin Sunday night and Monday with a ridge
developing over the eastern pacific on Tuesday. Near the surface,
weak northeast flow tonight will shift onshore on Sunday, but then
strong northerly flow will develop Sunday night Monday then shift
to the northeast on Tuesday.

Forecast-wise, tonight through Sunday look to be rather quiet.

With the return of onshore flow and weakening upper level ridge,
there will be some cooling on Sunday with increasing cloud cover
during the day.

For Sunday night and Monday, things get more interesting. As the
upper low moves across northern ca and into the great basin, it
will bring the threat of some showers to san luis obispo and santa
barbara counties Sunday night Monday morning as well as northern
mountain slopes of ventura and los angeles counties. The threat of
north slope showers will continue through the day on Monday.

Additionally, cyclonic flow generated by this system may produce
some shower activity across the foothills of the san gabriel
valley Sunday night Monday morning. There will not be a lot of
moisture associated with this system, so any shower activity will
be light (generally under 0.10 inches). Snow levels will drop
noticeably Sunday night and Monday, bottoming out around 4000 feet
on Monday. So, there could be some issues for the grapevine and
this situation will need to be watched closely. With this system,
temperatures will be noticeably cooler on Monday with temperatures
a few degrees below seasonal normals.

The more significant issue with this system will be winds. As the
storm moves through, strong and gusty northerly winds are likely
Sunday night and Monday. Models indicate plenty of cold air
advection and good upper level winds (850 mb winds between 35 and
45 knots). So, rather high confidence in advisory-level winds in
the usual north wind-prone areas (i-5 corridor and santa ynez
range) with even the possibility of some local warning-level
gusts. These northerly winds will filter down into the lower
elevations and there is a chance of low end advisory-level north
winds in the coastal valleys (especially the santa clarita and san
fernando valleys).

By Monday night and Tuesday, the flow will shift to the northeast
with a chance of advisory-level northeast winds across ventura and
los angeles counties. With the northeast flow, temperatures will
rebound a bit, generally climbing to near normal on Tuesday.

Long term (wed-sat) 19 1232 pm.

For the extended forecast, 12z models continue to exhibit good
synoptic agreement. At upper levels, ridge will remain over the
eastern pacific through the week with the ridge axis moving
onshore by Saturday. Near the surface, weak to moderate offshore
gradients will continue as surface high pressure remains
entrenched over the great basin.

Forecast-wise, nothing too exciting anticipated with the above
pattern. The combination of the upper level ridge and offshore
surface gradients will keep skies mostly clear and rain-free
through the period. There will be periods of northeasterly winds,
but are generally expected to remain below advisory levels. As for
temperatures, expect a warming trend through the period,
especially west of the mountains. In wind-protected areas,
overnight low temperatures will remain rather chilly.

Aviation 19 2348z.

At 2345z, there was no marine inversion at klax.

Generally hi confidence in the 00z tafs. Except for a 50% chance
of some low clouds and fog with lifr to vlifr conds at kprb late
tonight into Sun morning, expectVFR conds at all the airfields
today thru Sun morning. MVFR CIGS expected to arrive to areas
north of point conception on Sunday afternoon as weak cold front
approaches area. There is a 20 percent chance of light rain at
kprb and ksbp by late tomorrow afternoon.

Klax... High confidence in the 00z TAF withVFR conds expected
thru Sun evening.

Kbur... High confidence in the 00z TAF withVFR conds expected
thru Sun afternoon.

Marine 19 117 pm.

Across the outer waters, moderate to high confidence in the
current forecast. Winds and seas are expected to remain below
small craft advisory (sca) levels through Sunday, then there is a
60%-70% chance of SCA winds and seas at times Sunday night
through Tuesday. There is also a 20% chance of gale force wind
gusts across the outer waters Sunday night thru Monday evening.

Conditions should then be below SCA levels Tuesday night through
Thursday.

For all the inner waters, moderate to high confidence in the
current forecast. Winds and seas are expected to remain below
small craft advisory (sca) levels through Sunday, then there is a
60%-70% chance of SCA winds and seas at times Sunday night through
Monday evening. Conditions should then be below SCA levels late
Monday night through Thursday.

Beaches 19 125 pm.

A moderate westerly swell is expected to persist through Sunday.

Another larger west to northwest swell is expected to move into
the coastal waters Sunday night and Monday. These swells will
produce elevated surf and strong rip currents on west-facing
beaches through Monday night. Large astronomical high tides can
also be expected each morning, peaking Monday. Due to the higher-
than-normal tides and elevated surf, there could be minor coastal
flooding near the times of the morning high tide each day. As a
result of the elevated surf and potential for minor coastal
flooding, a beach hazards statement is in effect for all west-
facing beaches through Monday night.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... Beach hazards statement in effect through late Monday night
for zones 34-35-39>41-87. (see laxcfwlox).

Pz... None.

Hazard potential outlook (tue-sat)
Advisory level north to northeast winds possible Monday and
Tuesday.

Public... Rat
aviation... Gomberg
marine... Sirard
beaches... Sirard
synopsis... Kj
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 11 mi38 min 59°F4 ft
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 27 mi53 min SW 1.9 G 2.9 64°F 1021 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 33 mi39 min W 3.9 G 5.8 61°F 60°F6 ft1021 hPa60°F
46025 - Santa Monica Basin - 33NM West Southwest of Santa Monica, CA 34 mi39 min W 7.8 G 9.7 62°F 61°F5 ft1020.2 hPa61°F
46251 37 mi59 min 61°F5 ft
46221 - Santa Monica Bay, CA (028) 41 mi59 min 61°F5 ft
ICAC1 - 9410840 - Santa Monica Pier 42 mi41 min Calm G 1 61°F 60°F1020.4 hPa

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Oxnard, Oxnard Airport, CA3 mi38 minW 610.00 miFair59°F51°F75%1020.4 hPa
Camarillo, Camarillo Airport, CA8 mi34 minN 010.00 miFair66°F46°F50%1021.2 hPa
Point Mugu, Naval Air Warfare Center, CA10 mi92 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds66°F48°F52%1020.7 hPa

Wind History from OXR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE4NE4NE5NE4N3N3CalmNE4NW3N4CalmNW4N3N8N6NW4NW6W8W8W8W8W4W6
1 day agoW5CalmSW3W4CalmW11W5W8NE6NE3NE6NE5NE6NE7NE6NE33W5W6SW74W7W7W5
2 days agoE4NE6CalmS5S4S7S7S9S12S10
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Tide / Current Tables for Ventura, California
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Ventura
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:08 AM PST     1.95 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:29 AM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:01 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:20 AM PST     6.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:42 PM PST     -1.41 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:52 PM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:14 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:04 PM PST     3.98 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.222.12.83.8566.56.45.74.32.71-0.4-1.2-1.4-0.80.31.62.83.743.83.2

Tide / Current Tables for Port Hueneme, California
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Port Hueneme
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:05 AM PST     1.95 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:28 AM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:01 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:21 AM PST     6.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:39 PM PST     -1.41 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:52 PM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:14 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:05 PM PST     3.98 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.222.12.83.8566.56.45.74.32.61-0.4-1.3-1.4-0.80.31.62.83.743.83.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.