Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lancaster, CA
March 18, 2024 10:12 PM PDT (05:12 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:56 AM Sunset 7:04 PM Moonrise 1:02 PM Moonset 3:31 AM |
PZZ655 Inner Waters From Point Mugu To San Mateo Pt. Ca Including Santa Catalina And Anacapa Islands- 908 Pm Pdt Mon Mar 18 2024
Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming S 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SW swell 2 ft at 17 seconds. A slight chance of tstms in the evening.
Tue - Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds.
Tue night - SW winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 2 ft at 12 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Wed - Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 2 to 3 ft at 15 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Wed night - W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 2 to 3 ft at 14 seconds and sw 2 ft at 16 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Thu - Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 2 to 3 ft at 13 seconds and S 2 ft at 16 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Thu night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. Mixed swell W 2 to 3 ft at 15 seconds and S 2 ft at 16 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Fri - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 2 to 3 ft and S 2 ft. Patchy fog.
Sat - W winds 15 to 20 kt. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
PZZ600 908 Pm Pdt Mon Mar 18 2024
synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - .at 04z, or 9 pm pst, a 1032 mb surface high was located 900 nm wnw of seattle, wa, and a 1015 mb surface low was near las vegas, nv.
synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - .at 04z, or 9 pm pst, a 1032 mb surface high was located 900 nm wnw of seattle, wa, and a 1015 mb surface low was near las vegas, nv.
Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 190441 AFDLOX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 941 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
SYNOPSIS
18/1248 PM.
Skies will be partly cloudy and it will be a little warmer today.
There is a slight chance of afternoon and early evening showers today and Tuesday in Los Angeles, Ventura, and Santa Barbara Counties, mainly over mountain areas. Dry conditions are expected the rest of the week before a weak system brings wind, light showers, and cooler weather for the weekend.
.SHORT TERM (MON-THU)...18/940 PM.
***UPDATE***
The upper low and associated vort max which brought scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms to L.A. and VTU Counties this afternoon and earlier this evening was centered near the Salton Sea this evening and it was beginning to move east. Measurable rain was reported in many locations in Ventura County and in about 20-30% of L.A. County. However, due to the quick movement of the showers/storms and dry air at low levels, only a few locations reported more than a tenth of an inch of rain. Some small hail was reported in Bellflower, and there were many reports of lightning.
Shower activity decreased quickly around sunset, and while isolated showers continued across Ventura County this evening, there should end or dissipate within the next hour or two.
Otherwise, there were just some high clouds moving southwestward into L.A. County around the western periphery of the upper low.
The WRF shows a fairly good amount of moisture tonight, and suggests areas of low clouds and fog later tonight/Tue morning in coastal sections of L.A. County and possibly Ventura County, on the Central Coast, and in the Santa Ynez Valley. There could be some locally dense fog, mainly north of Point Conception, where the marine inversion is lower.
Low clouds should burn off in most areas by mid to late morning Tue. The upper low will move eastward Tue. While the WRF still shows good instability, especially across L.A. and VTU Counties Tue afternoon and evening. However, there will be somewhat less in the way of moisture wrapping into the region, and there does not look to be any mid or upper level feature (such as a strong vort)
to be a trigger for any storms. Therefore, any showers/tstorms that might develop Tue afternoon should be mainly due to orographic lift of the northeasterly flow into the mountains. With N to NE flow through a deep layer, there is still a chance that some showers could drift into the foothills and some interior valley areas of VTU and L.A. Counties. However, expect less in the way of shower/tstorm activity Tue, especially west of the mountains. Increasing onshore flow may bring slight cooling on Tue, especially to the coastal plain, but this may be somewhat offset but height rises. Overall, max temps should be a few degrees above normal.
***From Previous Discussion***
The upper low will likely continue to move east Tue night and Wed, finally losing its influence on the weather in the forecast area. Expect areas of night thru morning low clouds and fog in coastal areas Tue night/Wed morning, then mostly sunny skies by afternoon. Max temps may drop a bit Wed as onshore flow returns.
There will likely be areas of night/morning low clouds in coastal and some valley areas Wed night/Thu morning. The ridge will weaken and flatten with a large upper low moving toward the West Coast. Max temps will likely still be above normal Thu.
.LONG TERM (FRI-MON)...18/115 PM.
The flow aloft will shift from zonal on Thu to southwesterly Fri.
There may be low clouds again Thu night/Fri morning. Increasing mid and high level moisture pushing into the region will likely bring an increase in clouds to all areas Fri, along with some cooling, bringing temps close to normal levels.
Most ensemble members show measurable rain in most of the area this weekend, but there is uncertainty with respect to amounts and timing. In general the highest chances and rain amounts are in northwest SLO County where up to 0.5" could fall over the weekend.
Most other areas will be between 0.1 and 0.25" except for the Antelope Valley which will likely remain rain free.
By Monday the system should be through the area and the CWA will see mostly clear skies and warming temps under the eastern Pacific ridge.
AVIATION
19/0044Z.
At 00Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer nor inversion.
Low confidence in TAFs due to uncertainty in low clouds as well as isolated showers with a 10-20 percent chance of TSRA through 03Z focused from LAX to LGB. There is a 30-50 percent chance of MVFR to IFR cigs/vsbys around 12Z for KSBA and south including KLAX and a 40 to 60 percent chance elsewhere except less than 10 percent chance for KPMD and KLGB.
KLAX...Low confidence in TAF through 17Z. There is a 10 percent chance of a thunderstorm through 03Z. There is a 30 percent chance of MVFR to IFR cigs/vsbys between 10-17Z and a 50 percent chance after 03Z. Outside of any showers and thunderstorms, any easterly winds should remain less than 7 knots.
KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF through 16Z. There is a 10 percent chance of a thunderstorm through 03Z. There is a 10 percent chance of MVFR to IFR cigs/vsbys between 10-17Z.
MARINE
18/210 PM.
There is a 10-20 percent chance of thunderstorms across the coastal waters south of Point Arguello and into the southern California bight this afternoon and this evening. Any thunderstorm that forms will be capable of produce dangerous cloud to surface lightning, locally gusty and erratic winds, and brief heavy showers or small hail that reduces visibility.
For the waters southwest through northwest of the Channel Islands and along the Central Coast, there is a 40-60 percent chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds each afternoon and evening through Wednesday evening. The highest chance of SCA level winds will be for the northern waters today and Tuesday, expanding to north of San Nicolas Island on Wednesday. There is a 30-40 percent chance of SCA level winds for Thursday and Friday, then widespread SCA conditions are likely over the weekend.
Inside the southern California bight, there is a 20-30 percent chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds each afternoon and evening through Wednesday evening. Wind and seas should remain below SCA levels for Thursday and Friday, then there is a high-to-likely chance of SCA level winds and a moderate-to-high chance of SCA conditions over the weekend.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 941 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
SYNOPSIS
18/1248 PM.
Skies will be partly cloudy and it will be a little warmer today.
There is a slight chance of afternoon and early evening showers today and Tuesday in Los Angeles, Ventura, and Santa Barbara Counties, mainly over mountain areas. Dry conditions are expected the rest of the week before a weak system brings wind, light showers, and cooler weather for the weekend.
.SHORT TERM (MON-THU)...18/940 PM.
***UPDATE***
The upper low and associated vort max which brought scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms to L.A. and VTU Counties this afternoon and earlier this evening was centered near the Salton Sea this evening and it was beginning to move east. Measurable rain was reported in many locations in Ventura County and in about 20-30% of L.A. County. However, due to the quick movement of the showers/storms and dry air at low levels, only a few locations reported more than a tenth of an inch of rain. Some small hail was reported in Bellflower, and there were many reports of lightning.
Shower activity decreased quickly around sunset, and while isolated showers continued across Ventura County this evening, there should end or dissipate within the next hour or two.
Otherwise, there were just some high clouds moving southwestward into L.A. County around the western periphery of the upper low.
The WRF shows a fairly good amount of moisture tonight, and suggests areas of low clouds and fog later tonight/Tue morning in coastal sections of L.A. County and possibly Ventura County, on the Central Coast, and in the Santa Ynez Valley. There could be some locally dense fog, mainly north of Point Conception, where the marine inversion is lower.
Low clouds should burn off in most areas by mid to late morning Tue. The upper low will move eastward Tue. While the WRF still shows good instability, especially across L.A. and VTU Counties Tue afternoon and evening. However, there will be somewhat less in the way of moisture wrapping into the region, and there does not look to be any mid or upper level feature (such as a strong vort)
to be a trigger for any storms. Therefore, any showers/tstorms that might develop Tue afternoon should be mainly due to orographic lift of the northeasterly flow into the mountains. With N to NE flow through a deep layer, there is still a chance that some showers could drift into the foothills and some interior valley areas of VTU and L.A. Counties. However, expect less in the way of shower/tstorm activity Tue, especially west of the mountains. Increasing onshore flow may bring slight cooling on Tue, especially to the coastal plain, but this may be somewhat offset but height rises. Overall, max temps should be a few degrees above normal.
***From Previous Discussion***
The upper low will likely continue to move east Tue night and Wed, finally losing its influence on the weather in the forecast area. Expect areas of night thru morning low clouds and fog in coastal areas Tue night/Wed morning, then mostly sunny skies by afternoon. Max temps may drop a bit Wed as onshore flow returns.
There will likely be areas of night/morning low clouds in coastal and some valley areas Wed night/Thu morning. The ridge will weaken and flatten with a large upper low moving toward the West Coast. Max temps will likely still be above normal Thu.
.LONG TERM (FRI-MON)...18/115 PM.
The flow aloft will shift from zonal on Thu to southwesterly Fri.
There may be low clouds again Thu night/Fri morning. Increasing mid and high level moisture pushing into the region will likely bring an increase in clouds to all areas Fri, along with some cooling, bringing temps close to normal levels.
Most ensemble members show measurable rain in most of the area this weekend, but there is uncertainty with respect to amounts and timing. In general the highest chances and rain amounts are in northwest SLO County where up to 0.5" could fall over the weekend.
Most other areas will be between 0.1 and 0.25" except for the Antelope Valley which will likely remain rain free.
By Monday the system should be through the area and the CWA will see mostly clear skies and warming temps under the eastern Pacific ridge.
AVIATION
19/0044Z.
At 00Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer nor inversion.
Low confidence in TAFs due to uncertainty in low clouds as well as isolated showers with a 10-20 percent chance of TSRA through 03Z focused from LAX to LGB. There is a 30-50 percent chance of MVFR to IFR cigs/vsbys around 12Z for KSBA and south including KLAX and a 40 to 60 percent chance elsewhere except less than 10 percent chance for KPMD and KLGB.
KLAX...Low confidence in TAF through 17Z. There is a 10 percent chance of a thunderstorm through 03Z. There is a 30 percent chance of MVFR to IFR cigs/vsbys between 10-17Z and a 50 percent chance after 03Z. Outside of any showers and thunderstorms, any easterly winds should remain less than 7 knots.
KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF through 16Z. There is a 10 percent chance of a thunderstorm through 03Z. There is a 10 percent chance of MVFR to IFR cigs/vsbys between 10-17Z.
MARINE
18/210 PM.
There is a 10-20 percent chance of thunderstorms across the coastal waters south of Point Arguello and into the southern California bight this afternoon and this evening. Any thunderstorm that forms will be capable of produce dangerous cloud to surface lightning, locally gusty and erratic winds, and brief heavy showers or small hail that reduces visibility.
For the waters southwest through northwest of the Channel Islands and along the Central Coast, there is a 40-60 percent chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds each afternoon and evening through Wednesday evening. The highest chance of SCA level winds will be for the northern waters today and Tuesday, expanding to north of San Nicolas Island on Wednesday. There is a 30-40 percent chance of SCA level winds for Thursday and Friday, then widespread SCA conditions are likely over the weekend.
Inside the southern California bight, there is a 20-30 percent chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds each afternoon and evening through Wednesday evening. Wind and seas should remain below SCA levels for Thursday and Friday, then there is a high-to-likely chance of SCA level winds and a moderate-to-high chance of SCA conditions over the weekend.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KPMD PALMDALE USAF PLANT ,CA | 8 sm | 19 min | W 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 55°F | 39°F | 54% | 30.09 | |
KWJF GENERAL WM J FOX AIRFIELD,CA | 12 sm | 16 min | W 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 39°F | 71% | 30.09 | |
KEDW EDWARDS AFB,CA | 14 sm | 17 min | NNW 04 | 50 sm | Partly Cloudy | 52°F | 34°F | 50% | 30.06 | |
KMHV MOJAVE AIR AND SPACE PORT,CA | 24 sm | 52 min | NNW 08 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 52°F | 37°F | 58% | 30.09 |
Santa Monica
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:30 AM PDT Moonset
Mon -- 05:08 AM PDT 4.53 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:59 AM PDT Sunrise
Mon -- 01:03 PM PDT -0.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:06 PM PDT Moonrise
Mon -- 07:04 PM PDT Sunset
Mon -- 08:15 PM PDT 3.66 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:30 AM PDT Moonset
Mon -- 05:08 AM PDT 4.53 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:59 AM PDT Sunrise
Mon -- 01:03 PM PDT -0.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:06 PM PDT Moonrise
Mon -- 07:04 PM PDT Sunset
Mon -- 08:15 PM PDT 3.66 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Santa Monica, California, Tide feet
12 am |
3.1 |
1 am |
3.3 |
2 am |
3.6 |
3 am |
4 |
4 am |
4.4 |
5 am |
4.5 |
6 am |
4.4 |
7 am |
4 |
8 am |
3.3 |
9 am |
2.4 |
10 am |
1.5 |
11 am |
0.6 |
12 pm |
0.1 |
1 pm |
-0.2 |
2 pm |
0 |
3 pm |
0.5 |
4 pm |
1.3 |
5 pm |
2.2 |
6 pm |
2.9 |
7 pm |
3.4 |
8 pm |
3.7 |
9 pm |
3.6 |
10 pm |
3.3 |
11 pm |
3 |
Santa Monica
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:30 AM PDT Moonset
Mon -- 05:15 AM PDT 4.51 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:59 AM PDT Sunrise
Mon -- 01:06 PM PDT -0.21 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:06 PM PDT Moonrise
Mon -- 07:04 PM PDT Sunset
Mon -- 08:21 PM PDT 3.64 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:30 AM PDT Moonset
Mon -- 05:15 AM PDT 4.51 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:59 AM PDT Sunrise
Mon -- 01:06 PM PDT -0.21 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:06 PM PDT Moonrise
Mon -- 07:04 PM PDT Sunset
Mon -- 08:21 PM PDT 3.64 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Santa Monica, Municipal Pier, California, Tide feet
12 am |
3 |
1 am |
3.2 |
2 am |
3.6 |
3 am |
4 |
4 am |
4.3 |
5 am |
4.5 |
6 am |
4.4 |
7 am |
4.1 |
8 am |
3.4 |
9 am |
2.5 |
10 am |
1.5 |
11 am |
0.7 |
12 pm |
0 |
1 pm |
-0.2 |
2 pm |
-0 |
3 pm |
0.5 |
4 pm |
1.2 |
5 pm |
2.1 |
6 pm |
2.8 |
7 pm |
3.4 |
8 pm |
3.6 |
9 pm |
3.6 |
10 pm |
3.3 |
11 pm |
3 |
Edwards AFB, CA,
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