Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Havelock, NC
March 19, 2024 5:21 AM EDT (09:21 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:10 AM Sunset 7:20 PM Moonrise 1:11 PM Moonset 3:28 AM |
AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 317 Am Edt Tue Mar 19 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday morning - .
Today - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late this morning and early afternoon, then becoming W late. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop late this morning and early afternoon, then diminishing to light chop late.
Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, increasing to choppy after midnight.
Wed - W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves a moderate chop.
Thu - N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.
Thu night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Fri - E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se after midnight. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of rain in the afternoon. Rain likely.
Sat - SE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming n. Waves choppy. Rain likely, then a chance of rain.
AMZ100 317 Am Edt Tue Mar 19 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - Sca conditions in place into mid-week. Gusty winds and offshore overnight showers quickly waning this morning. Cool high pressure in place ahead of a dry front that will move through Wednesday night. Another low pressure and frontal system impacts the area Friday and Saturday, potentially lasting into Sunday.
Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 190827 AFDMHX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 427 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
Cool high pressure remains in control through Wednesday, bringing with it fire weather concerns. A dry front will move through Wednesday night. A strong low pressure system is expected to impact the area late week into the weekend.
NEAR TERM /TODAY/
As of 0400 Tuesday...Showers/Virga associated with passing of upper trough axis currently confined to Hatt and offshore will continue to push Eward through the early morning hours with skies rapidly clearing W to E as high pressure builds over the FA from the W. Stiff winds in place presently with Nerly surge of CAA winds will relax some starting with sunrise as the jets embedded in the trough aloft push offshore through the morning, backing to become Werly by this afternoon. We have an Increased Fire Danger SPS in effect for all of Mainland ENC. See FWF or FIRE WEATHER section below for more information. Clear skies and highs in the mid 50s, low 50s OBX.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 0400 Tuesday...Quiet night on tap with high pressure continuing to build over the FA and flow aloft becoming more zonal briefly with base of the upper level trough over ECONUS broadening as one shortwave exits the region to the NE and another digging down the Wern half of the trough toward the Great Lakes. A light SWerly breeze through the overnight will keep WAA in place which will lead to warmer MinTs than MON night despite the clear skies and high pressure nearby. MinTs low 40s away from immediate coast, mid 40s to low 50s beaches.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 250 AM Tue...High pressure remains in place Wednesday. A dry front will move through Wednesday night. A strong low pressure system is expected to impact the area late week into the weekend, bringing the potential for multiple impacts to the area, which could linger into early next week.
Wednesday through Thursday...Upper troughing continues across the eastern CONUS with high pressure remaining in control through Wednesday. A dry cold front is progged to push through the area Wednesday night and early Thursday with high pressure building back into the area Thursday. Wednesday will be the warmest day of the week with highs climbing back to 65-70 deg with sunny skies. Then several degrees cooler post frontal Thursday, with highs in the 50s and 60s. Guidance seems to be trending a bit cooler Thursday night and Friday morning, and if inland areas are able to decouple patchy frost is possible.
Friday through Monday...A strong low pressure system is expected to impact the area late week and this weekend, though there is still a bit of uncertainty due to spread in the guidance and run to run consistency in longer range model guidance. The GFS continues to be the more progressive solution, while the 00z EC and CMC show a slower, stronger sfc low that lingers/stalls near or just off the coast into Monday while merging with cut off upper low. Multiple impacts will be possible with this system, including: heavy rain, prolonged period of strong winds and coastal flooding (see coastal flooding section below for more info). Specific impacts will depend on timing, track and strength of the low. Continued to increase pops and winds slightly from the previous forecast. At this time best rain chances will be Friday night into Saturday...with winds peaking Saturday night into Sunday night.
Impacts along the coast could linger into Monday. Will continue to fine tune specifics over the next few days.
AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 0100 Tuesday...VFR flight cats with gusty winds are expected through the TAF period. Some light rain showers will be possible for coastal terminals for the first few hours of this TAF cycle but will wane quickly in the hours before sunrise.
CIGs (and VIS) expected to remain VFR but they will be lowering and approaching MVFR overnight, so have kept a SCT030 group for coastal terminals overnight. Winds gusts will approach 30 kt for a couple of hours as the trough crosses, then winds will briefly subside toward dawn. Skies clear rapidly once the trough axis clears very late tonight. Clear skies and gusty winds again; NWerly early, backing to become Werly in the afternoon, SWerly this evening.
LONG TERM /Wednesday through Saturday/...
As of 250 AM Tue...Pred VFR conditions expected through Thursday. Breezy W winds Wed with gusts 15-25 kt. Chances for sub-VFR will be increasing Friday and Saturday with low pressure system impacting the area. Rain chances increase through the day Friday, becoming widespread moderate to heavy at times Friday night into Saturday.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Tues Night/...
As of 0415 Tuesday...Gusty N-NWerly winds early as axis of shortwave in upper trough passes departs. Waters and sounds could see occasional gusts approaching 35kts, with brief gusts up to 40kts over the Gulf Stream. An SCA is in place for all waters through the day, however there will be a period of sub- SCA conditions this afternoon as high pressure builds in, relaxing winds while backing to become Werly 10-15kt this afternoon. Conditions deteriorate again this evening and tonight as winds continue to veer to become SWerly 15-20G25kt by 2000edt, SWerly 20-25G30kt by midnight local. Seas are currently 4-7ft forecast to subside to 2-5ft by this afternoon, increasing again overnight with the strengthening winds to 4-7ft.
LONG TERM /Wednesday through Saturday/...
As of 250 AM Tue...Moderate to breezy WSW 15-25 kt winds will continue into Wednesday night ahead of the cold front, with seas 3-6 ft. Will continue with SCA for the Pamlico Sound and coastal waters through Wed eve/night. A dry front will move through the waters late Wed night and early Thursday morning, with gusty SW winds becoming N 15-20 kt. Occasional gusts to 25 kt will be possible in the post frontal flow for a few hours Thursday morning. Flow will grad veer Thu night becoming E 10-15 kt, then increasing to 15-25 kt Friday, as low pressure begins to strengthen over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Seas will build to 4-6 ft by Friday afternoon with increasing onshore flow.
Very dangerous marine conditions expected to develop across the waters this weekend, then likely lingering into early next week, as a strong low pressure system impacts the waters. A prolonged period of gale force winds expected, with potential for storm force winds. Winds expected to peak Saturday night into Sunday night. Seas will peak at 10-15+ ft.
FIRE WEATHER
As of 250 AM Tue...Elevated fire weather concerns expected through mid week with dry fuels, low RH values and breezy winds.
Increased Fire Danger SPS continues for today. The day shift will reassess the need for another IFD SPS WED,
Today - *INCREASED FIRE DANGER* min RH values 20-25% inland, 25-30% coast, and breezy NWerly winds early becoming Werly 10-15mph with gusts 20-25 mph.
Wed - Min RH values 25-30% and WSW winds 15-20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
Thu - Min RH values 20-25% and N winds 5-15 mph.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 250 AM Tue...We continue to monitor the potential for a strong low pressure system to impact the area late week and this the weekend. Still a bit of uncertainty with respect to timing and the track of the low, but there will be potential for minor to moderate coastal flooding, both soundside and oceanside with localized ocean overwash, rough surf and beach erosion. Impacts may begin as early as Friday night, then peaking Saturday and Sunday, possibly lingering into Monday. Breezy SE winds expected Friday night, becoming northerly by Sat night. Troublesome area on the northern end of Ocracoke Island may be impacted with ocean overwash on Hwy 12. Will continue to fine tune the forecast over the next few days.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ131-136- 137-230-231.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ150.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ152-154- 156-158.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 427 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
Cool high pressure remains in control through Wednesday, bringing with it fire weather concerns. A dry front will move through Wednesday night. A strong low pressure system is expected to impact the area late week into the weekend.
NEAR TERM /TODAY/
As of 0400 Tuesday...Showers/Virga associated with passing of upper trough axis currently confined to Hatt and offshore will continue to push Eward through the early morning hours with skies rapidly clearing W to E as high pressure builds over the FA from the W. Stiff winds in place presently with Nerly surge of CAA winds will relax some starting with sunrise as the jets embedded in the trough aloft push offshore through the morning, backing to become Werly by this afternoon. We have an Increased Fire Danger SPS in effect for all of Mainland ENC. See FWF or FIRE WEATHER section below for more information. Clear skies and highs in the mid 50s, low 50s OBX.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 0400 Tuesday...Quiet night on tap with high pressure continuing to build over the FA and flow aloft becoming more zonal briefly with base of the upper level trough over ECONUS broadening as one shortwave exits the region to the NE and another digging down the Wern half of the trough toward the Great Lakes. A light SWerly breeze through the overnight will keep WAA in place which will lead to warmer MinTs than MON night despite the clear skies and high pressure nearby. MinTs low 40s away from immediate coast, mid 40s to low 50s beaches.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 250 AM Tue...High pressure remains in place Wednesday. A dry front will move through Wednesday night. A strong low pressure system is expected to impact the area late week into the weekend, bringing the potential for multiple impacts to the area, which could linger into early next week.
Wednesday through Thursday...Upper troughing continues across the eastern CONUS with high pressure remaining in control through Wednesday. A dry cold front is progged to push through the area Wednesday night and early Thursday with high pressure building back into the area Thursday. Wednesday will be the warmest day of the week with highs climbing back to 65-70 deg with sunny skies. Then several degrees cooler post frontal Thursday, with highs in the 50s and 60s. Guidance seems to be trending a bit cooler Thursday night and Friday morning, and if inland areas are able to decouple patchy frost is possible.
Friday through Monday...A strong low pressure system is expected to impact the area late week and this weekend, though there is still a bit of uncertainty due to spread in the guidance and run to run consistency in longer range model guidance. The GFS continues to be the more progressive solution, while the 00z EC and CMC show a slower, stronger sfc low that lingers/stalls near or just off the coast into Monday while merging with cut off upper low. Multiple impacts will be possible with this system, including: heavy rain, prolonged period of strong winds and coastal flooding (see coastal flooding section below for more info). Specific impacts will depend on timing, track and strength of the low. Continued to increase pops and winds slightly from the previous forecast. At this time best rain chances will be Friday night into Saturday...with winds peaking Saturday night into Sunday night.
Impacts along the coast could linger into Monday. Will continue to fine tune specifics over the next few days.
AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 0100 Tuesday...VFR flight cats with gusty winds are expected through the TAF period. Some light rain showers will be possible for coastal terminals for the first few hours of this TAF cycle but will wane quickly in the hours before sunrise.
CIGs (and VIS) expected to remain VFR but they will be lowering and approaching MVFR overnight, so have kept a SCT030 group for coastal terminals overnight. Winds gusts will approach 30 kt for a couple of hours as the trough crosses, then winds will briefly subside toward dawn. Skies clear rapidly once the trough axis clears very late tonight. Clear skies and gusty winds again; NWerly early, backing to become Werly in the afternoon, SWerly this evening.
LONG TERM /Wednesday through Saturday/...
As of 250 AM Tue...Pred VFR conditions expected through Thursday. Breezy W winds Wed with gusts 15-25 kt. Chances for sub-VFR will be increasing Friday and Saturday with low pressure system impacting the area. Rain chances increase through the day Friday, becoming widespread moderate to heavy at times Friday night into Saturday.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Tues Night/...
As of 0415 Tuesday...Gusty N-NWerly winds early as axis of shortwave in upper trough passes departs. Waters and sounds could see occasional gusts approaching 35kts, with brief gusts up to 40kts over the Gulf Stream. An SCA is in place for all waters through the day, however there will be a period of sub- SCA conditions this afternoon as high pressure builds in, relaxing winds while backing to become Werly 10-15kt this afternoon. Conditions deteriorate again this evening and tonight as winds continue to veer to become SWerly 15-20G25kt by 2000edt, SWerly 20-25G30kt by midnight local. Seas are currently 4-7ft forecast to subside to 2-5ft by this afternoon, increasing again overnight with the strengthening winds to 4-7ft.
LONG TERM /Wednesday through Saturday/...
As of 250 AM Tue...Moderate to breezy WSW 15-25 kt winds will continue into Wednesday night ahead of the cold front, with seas 3-6 ft. Will continue with SCA for the Pamlico Sound and coastal waters through Wed eve/night. A dry front will move through the waters late Wed night and early Thursday morning, with gusty SW winds becoming N 15-20 kt. Occasional gusts to 25 kt will be possible in the post frontal flow for a few hours Thursday morning. Flow will grad veer Thu night becoming E 10-15 kt, then increasing to 15-25 kt Friday, as low pressure begins to strengthen over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Seas will build to 4-6 ft by Friday afternoon with increasing onshore flow.
Very dangerous marine conditions expected to develop across the waters this weekend, then likely lingering into early next week, as a strong low pressure system impacts the waters. A prolonged period of gale force winds expected, with potential for storm force winds. Winds expected to peak Saturday night into Sunday night. Seas will peak at 10-15+ ft.
FIRE WEATHER
As of 250 AM Tue...Elevated fire weather concerns expected through mid week with dry fuels, low RH values and breezy winds.
Increased Fire Danger SPS continues for today. The day shift will reassess the need for another IFD SPS WED,
Today - *INCREASED FIRE DANGER* min RH values 20-25% inland, 25-30% coast, and breezy NWerly winds early becoming Werly 10-15mph with gusts 20-25 mph.
Wed - Min RH values 25-30% and WSW winds 15-20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
Thu - Min RH values 20-25% and N winds 5-15 mph.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 250 AM Tue...We continue to monitor the potential for a strong low pressure system to impact the area late week and this the weekend. Still a bit of uncertainty with respect to timing and the track of the low, but there will be potential for minor to moderate coastal flooding, both soundside and oceanside with localized ocean overwash, rough surf and beach erosion. Impacts may begin as early as Friday night, then peaking Saturday and Sunday, possibly lingering into Monday. Breezy SE winds expected Friday night, becoming northerly by Sat night. Troublesome area on the northern end of Ocracoke Island may be impacted with ocean overwash on Hwy 12. Will continue to fine tune the forecast over the next few days.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ131-136- 137-230-231.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ150.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ152-154- 156-158.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC | 17 mi | 51 min | N 7G | 44°F | 61°F | 29.89 | ||
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC | 27 mi | 81 min | NNW 26G | 46°F | 29.91 | |||
41159 | 46 mi | 55 min | 62°F | 7 ft | ||||
41064 | 47 mi | 73 min | NNW 25G | 48°F | 62°F | 29.91 | 38°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KNKT CHERRY POINT MCAS /CUNNINGHAM FIELD/,NC | 3 sm | 25 min | NNW 16G24 | 10 sm | Clear | 43°F | 18°F | 36% | 29.95 | |
KEWN COASTAL CAROLINA REGIONAL,NC | 15 sm | 27 min | NNW 11G20 | 10 sm | Clear | 41°F | 18°F | 38% | 29.96 | |
KMRH MICHAEL J SMITH FIELD,NC | 17 sm | 23 min | NNW 21G27 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 45°F | 27°F | 49% | 29.93 |
Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:09 AM EDT 0.15 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:26 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:32 AM EDT 1.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:11 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 01:17 PM EDT 0.22 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:10 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:49 PM EDT 1.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:18 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:09 AM EDT 0.15 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:26 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:32 AM EDT 1.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:11 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 01:17 PM EDT 0.22 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:10 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:49 PM EDT 1.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:18 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Spooner Creek, North Carolina, Tide feet
12 am |
0.2 |
1 am |
0.2 |
2 am |
0.4 |
3 am |
0.6 |
4 am |
0.8 |
5 am |
1.1 |
6 am |
1.2 |
7 am |
1.2 |
8 am |
1.1 |
9 am |
0.9 |
10 am |
0.7 |
11 am |
0.5 |
12 pm |
0.3 |
1 pm |
0.2 |
2 pm |
0.3 |
3 pm |
0.4 |
4 pm |
0.6 |
5 pm |
0.8 |
6 pm |
1 |
7 pm |
1 |
8 pm |
0.9 |
9 pm |
0.8 |
10 pm |
0.6 |
11 pm |
0.4 |
Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:26 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:37 AM EDT 1.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:11 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 12:19 PM EDT 0.36 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:09 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:55 PM EDT 1.64 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:18 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:26 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:37 AM EDT 1.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:11 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 12:19 PM EDT 0.36 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:09 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:55 PM EDT 1.64 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:18 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet
12 am |
0.3 |
1 am |
0.6 |
2 am |
0.9 |
3 am |
1.3 |
4 am |
1.7 |
5 am |
1.9 |
6 am |
1.9 |
7 am |
1.8 |
8 am |
1.5 |
9 am |
1.2 |
10 am |
0.8 |
11 am |
0.5 |
12 pm |
0.4 |
1 pm |
0.4 |
2 pm |
0.6 |
3 pm |
1 |
4 pm |
1.3 |
5 pm |
1.6 |
6 pm |
1.6 |
7 pm |
1.5 |
8 pm |
1.3 |
9 pm |
1 |
10 pm |
0.7 |
11 pm |
0.4 |
Morehead City, NC,
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