Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Havelock, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 8:26PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 1:17 AM EDT (05:17 UTC) Moonrise 9:54AMMoonset 11:07PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 103 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Rest of tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Havelock, NC
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location: 34.88, -76.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 280200
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1000 pm edt Tue jun 27 2017

Synopsis
An upper level disturbance will cross the region this evening.

High pressure will build in from the west Wednesday through late
week then move offshore for the weekend with troughing inland
through early next week.

Near term overnight
As of 10 pm tue... Fcst in good shape as iso precip has all but
ended across the coastal areas this eve, thus no rain in fcst
rest of the overnight.

Previous discussion... As of 646 pm tue... Very isolated storms
have developed early this evening. Main focus is dare county
where a couple storms have developed, then further SW along
inland propagating sea breeze a couple showers have formed. Have
removed pops from coastal plain counties, and retained iso
thunder through about 9pm across the eastern areas, whereafter
much drier air filters in and skies become clear as cold front
passes through. No other changes to fcst tonight.

Previous discussion... As of 300 pm Tuesday... Looks like the
potential for convection late today through early this evening
is minimal as a mid level shortwave moves through the area this
evening. This feature will be moving through during peak heating
with weak dpva noted after 18z and with sufficient instability
with lifted index values of -3 to -5. However, moisture return
has been limited by north to northwest flow in the low levels
with dewpoints dropping into the upper 50s inland this
afternoon, this was producing capes below 1000 j kg. In
addition, low level convergence is marginal in vicinity of the
weak sea breeze. Thus have lowered pops to slight chance and
will end mention of precipitation around 01z with dry weather
expected for the remainder of the night. Skies will become
mostly clear late this evening and with winds expected to
decouple inland, good radiational cooling is expected overnight.

This will allow temps to drop into the upper 50s to lower 60s
inland as drier air filters back into the region associated with
surface high pressure building back over the area. Low temps
will be warmer in the mid to upper 60s along the coast, where
low level mixing is expected to prevail overnight.

Short term Wednesday
As of 300 pm Tuesday... Dry weather with pleasant temperatures
and comfortable humidities are expected Wednesday as high
pressure remains over the area. High temps inland will be in the
mid 80s with upper 70s to lower 80s expected along the coast.

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
As of 315 pm Tuesday... High pressure will settle overhead
through Wednesday night and provide fair and seasonably cool
conditions. The high shifts off the coast Thursday, and
southerly flow develops, and will bring an increase of moisture.

Unsettled weather returns Friday through Tuesday as scattered
rain showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop each day.

Wednesday night and Thursday... Dry weather is expected both
Wednesday and Thursday with high pressure influencing the area.

Lows Wednesday night will be pleasant but a couple degrees
warmer than Tuesday night, with lows in the lower 60s inland to
lower 70s along the immediate coast. Winds come around to the
se Thursday, and humidity begins to increase as high pressure
slides off the coast. High temps on Thursday will be mainly in
the mid upper 80s inland and the low mid 80s along the coast.

Friday... A weak upper level disturbance will move into the
region Friday morning originating from the gulf of mexico. Both
the latest GFS and euro show fairly widespread showers for the
southern half of the CWA on Friday. So, have slight chance pops
increasing from the south starting late Friday Thursday
night early Friday morning. Pops increase to 20 to 40 percent
Friday, highest across southern areas. Shower thunderstorm
activity will shift to the coast and coastal waters Friday night and
have chance pops along the coast for this. High temps will
reach the upper 80s and the low to mid 80s for coastal areas.

Saturday through Tuesday... Scattered showers thunderstorms are
expected to develop each afternoon from Saturday to Tuesday and
move towards the coast overnight. Have broad chance pops for
this period with the highest pops over inland areas during the
day, and along the coast at night. A weak front may aid shower
and thunderstorm development Sunday and again on Tuesday. High
temps look to be around 90 inland and mid 80s near the coast.

With lows in the lower to mid 70s

Aviation 02z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through 18z Wednesday ...

as of 646 pm Tuesday...VFR skc through this TAF period. Cool
front passing through will clear out the remaining mid and high
clouds after around 10pm. Little if any chance for fog tonight
as dry air advection will be in place. Calm wind tonight will
be light N veering easterly through Wed afternoon.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 315 pm Tuesday...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the period. Some brief sub-vfr periods are possible
Friday through Sunday as scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop and could see some periods of MVFR-ifr
fog low stratus early mornings beginning on Friday.

Marine
Short term tonight and Wednesday ...

as of 300 pm Tuesday... Main concern is the potential for
moderate N NE flow late tonight into Wednesday as high pressure
builds over the waters. Light variable winds 10 kt or less
occurring over the waters this afternoon will become southerly
around 10 kt this evening. Then after midnight the flow will
become nw-n, veering to ne-e Wednesday. The NAM and cmc
regional models indicate that winds could reach 20 kt sustained
late tonight early Wednesday while the GFS keeps this flow
around 10 kt. Have trended the forecast closer to the stronger
models and will indicate winds increasing to 15 kt with gusts to
20 kt late tonight and early Wednesday. Seas will be 1-2 feet
through this evening then build to around 3 ft late tonight
into Wednesday in the stronger flow.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 315 pm Tuesday... Fair boating conditions expected in the
long term, especially Thursday. Winds will turn to the se
Wednesday night and remain weak. SE flow around 10 kt gradually
becomes more southerly by Thursday night into Friday. By
Saturday winds become more southwest and increase to 10-15 kts.

This will continue into Sunday. Could see periods of 15 to 20 kt
in the outer waters. Saturday and Sunday. Seas will be mostly
2-3 ft, with some 4 foot seas possible beginning Saturday over
the central and southern waters.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jme
near term... Jme tl
short term... Jme
long term... Rsb sgk
aviation... Rsb tl
marine... Rsb jme


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 17 mi48 min N 11 G 13 77°F 79°F1017.4 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 27 mi78 min NW 8 G 11 79°F 1017.6 hPa (+2.0)
41159 46 mi35 min 81°F2 ft
41064 47 mi70 min WNW 7.8 G 12 80°F 81°F1017.8 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC3 mi24 minN 910.00 miA Few Clouds74°F59°F60%1018.4 hPa
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC15 mi81 minN 410.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F66°F79%1018.7 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC16 mi24 minN 010.00 miFair68°F62°F81%1019 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC17 mi80 minWNW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F68°F71%1017.8 hPa

Wind History from NKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmNW3W3W7NW5N634SE4SE5S3S6SW4SW3SW3SW3--N10N9
1 day agoNW4CalmCalmN7N6N7N7N9N8NE10NE9NE6NE10NE10NE11NE9NE8NE7E4SE4SE3SE5CalmCalm
2 days ago--SW3SW6SW3CalmSW4W5W6CalmSW6SW5W8NW6W7W5N4NW7S7SW5CalmS4CalmSW5--

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:42 AM EDT     2.40 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:21 AM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:15 PM EDT     2.18 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:38 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.32.42.21.71.10.50.1-0.2-0.10.20.81.41.92.22.11.81.30.80.30-00.20.71.3

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:29 AM EDT     1.58 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:23 AM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:04 PM EDT     1.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:26 PM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.31.61.61.41.10.70.3-0-0.2-0.10.10.50.81.11.21.210.70.40.1-0-00.20.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.