Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Russellville, AR
March 19, 2024 7:33 AM CDT (12:33 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:15 AM Sunset 7:25 PM Moonrise 1:17 PM Moonset 3:36 AM |
Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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FXUS64 KLZK 191057 AAA AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated for Aviation National Weather Service Little Rock AR 555 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 338 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
High pressure will settle toward the Gulf Coast today. Clockwise flow around the high will bring a breezy west to southwest wind to Arkansas, especially over northern and central sections of the state. Gusts from 25 to 30 mph will be possible.
Otherwise, dry conditions will hold through much of the near term, with a warming trend expected. Temperatures by Wednesday will be above average.
As the period progresses, a cold front will approach from the north, and a storm system will head this way from the southern Plains. Clouds will increase late in the day Wednesday and into Wednesday night. During this time frame, chances for showers/isolated thunderstorms enter the forecast in northern, western, and central sections of the state.
LONG TERM
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 338 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
A weakening short wave trough will move into the region on Thursday into Thursday night. Large scale forcing for ascent will overspread the state and showers and isolated thunderstorms will commence. PoPs will remain elevated Thursday afternoon into Friday morning, afterwards PoPs will decrease from W to E as the system pushes into the TN Valley. Rain amounts should vary from about a tenth of an inch over Nrn AR to around half an inch over Srn AR.
Drier conditions are anticipated on Saturday through much of the day on Sunday. A new trough will move into the Four Corners region on Sunday. This trough is anticipated to eject across the Rockies into the Srn Plains. PoP chances will ramp up once again Sunday evening into Monday.
The synoptic pattern for the late weekend/early work-week system appears more robust than the previous couple of weather systems.
Wind fields look more impressive in regards to speed magnitudes, clockwise curvature, and upper level divergence appears more pronounced. Looking at this pattern alone, one would lean towards an elevated severe weather potential. This could be the case, but the other half of the story will be conditions closer to the surface.
Current long range guidance suggest plenty of ongoing convection on Monday which would serve to limit overall destabilization across the state. Other factors to consider include duration and coverage of low-level return flow. At this point in time, dew points will struggle to reach 60 over Srn AR and mid 50s Cntrl/N AR after starting out in the lower 40s to lower 50s 24-hours prior.
Monitoring near surface conditions will be important over the coming days to access overall local severe weather potential.
Temperatures through the long term will largely be in the 50s and 60s, potentially reaching 70s Sunday and Monday over the far S. Low temperatures will mainly be in the 40s and 50s.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 620 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR conditions will continue today and tonight. The wind will be light/variable for a few hours this morning, becoming west to southwest at 10 to 15 knots. The highest speeds will be over northern and central Arkansas, with some gusts from 20 to 30 knots.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 63 46 72 44 / 0 0 10 20 Camden AR 63 40 70 49 / 0 0 0 20 Harrison AR 65 46 72 44 / 0 0 20 40 Hot Springs AR 63 42 72 49 / 0 0 0 30 Little Rock AR 64 45 74 50 / 0 0 0 20 Monticello AR 61 43 71 52 / 0 0 0 10 Mount Ida AR 65 44 73 49 / 0 0 0 30 Mountain Home AR 67 43 72 42 / 0 0 10 30 Newport AR 61 43 70 45 / 0 0 0 20 Pine Bluff AR 62 43 72 50 / 0 0 0 20 Russellville AR 66 41 74 49 / 0 0 10 30 Searcy AR 62 41 72 45 / 0 0 0 20 Stuttgart AR 60 44 71 50 / 0 0 0 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for ARZ004>008- 014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-103-112-113- 121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240- 241-313-340-341.
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated for Aviation National Weather Service Little Rock AR 555 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 338 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
High pressure will settle toward the Gulf Coast today. Clockwise flow around the high will bring a breezy west to southwest wind to Arkansas, especially over northern and central sections of the state. Gusts from 25 to 30 mph will be possible.
Otherwise, dry conditions will hold through much of the near term, with a warming trend expected. Temperatures by Wednesday will be above average.
As the period progresses, a cold front will approach from the north, and a storm system will head this way from the southern Plains. Clouds will increase late in the day Wednesday and into Wednesday night. During this time frame, chances for showers/isolated thunderstorms enter the forecast in northern, western, and central sections of the state.
LONG TERM
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 338 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
A weakening short wave trough will move into the region on Thursday into Thursday night. Large scale forcing for ascent will overspread the state and showers and isolated thunderstorms will commence. PoPs will remain elevated Thursday afternoon into Friday morning, afterwards PoPs will decrease from W to E as the system pushes into the TN Valley. Rain amounts should vary from about a tenth of an inch over Nrn AR to around half an inch over Srn AR.
Drier conditions are anticipated on Saturday through much of the day on Sunday. A new trough will move into the Four Corners region on Sunday. This trough is anticipated to eject across the Rockies into the Srn Plains. PoP chances will ramp up once again Sunday evening into Monday.
The synoptic pattern for the late weekend/early work-week system appears more robust than the previous couple of weather systems.
Wind fields look more impressive in regards to speed magnitudes, clockwise curvature, and upper level divergence appears more pronounced. Looking at this pattern alone, one would lean towards an elevated severe weather potential. This could be the case, but the other half of the story will be conditions closer to the surface.
Current long range guidance suggest plenty of ongoing convection on Monday which would serve to limit overall destabilization across the state. Other factors to consider include duration and coverage of low-level return flow. At this point in time, dew points will struggle to reach 60 over Srn AR and mid 50s Cntrl/N AR after starting out in the lower 40s to lower 50s 24-hours prior.
Monitoring near surface conditions will be important over the coming days to access overall local severe weather potential.
Temperatures through the long term will largely be in the 50s and 60s, potentially reaching 70s Sunday and Monday over the far S. Low temperatures will mainly be in the 40s and 50s.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 620 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
VFR conditions will continue today and tonight. The wind will be light/variable for a few hours this morning, becoming west to southwest at 10 to 15 knots. The highest speeds will be over northern and central Arkansas, with some gusts from 20 to 30 knots.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 63 46 72 44 / 0 0 10 20 Camden AR 63 40 70 49 / 0 0 0 20 Harrison AR 65 46 72 44 / 0 0 20 40 Hot Springs AR 63 42 72 49 / 0 0 0 30 Little Rock AR 64 45 74 50 / 0 0 0 20 Monticello AR 61 43 71 52 / 0 0 0 10 Mount Ida AR 65 44 73 49 / 0 0 0 30 Mountain Home AR 67 43 72 42 / 0 0 10 30 Newport AR 61 43 70 45 / 0 0 0 20 Pine Bluff AR 62 43 72 50 / 0 0 0 20 Russellville AR 66 41 74 49 / 0 0 10 30 Searcy AR 62 41 72 45 / 0 0 0 20 Stuttgart AR 60 44 71 50 / 0 0 0 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for ARZ004>008- 014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-103-112-113- 121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240- 241-313-340-341.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KRUE RUSSELLVILLE RGNL,AR | 4 sm | 40 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 27°F | 23°F | 86% | 30.23 |
Little Rock, AR,
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