Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Russellville, AR
May 17, 2024 6:42 PM CDT (23:42 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:04 AM Sunset 8:13 PM Moonrise 1:53 PM Moonset 2:07 AM |
Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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FXUS64 KLZK 171943 AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 243 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 241 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
Convection has fired up this afternoon, in particular along what appears to be a residual boundary stretching nearly E-W across north- central Arkansas. Convection is showing very little movement at this time. Storm cells are not persisting particularly long, but continued redevelopment over the same aresas could produce locally heavy runoff.
Aloft, a trof was quickly approaching the area from the west, and was kicking out a few minor impulses riding over the area. The trof should exit the area tomorrow and usher in a temporary reprieve from precipitation. Satellite imagery shows a closed low circulation over eastern OK, and this should move NE overnight into northern Arkansas.
We have been fielding a lot of questions today about whether or not there will be any rain tonight for outdoor graduation ceremonies, and of course whether or not there is a risk for lightning.
Generallly speaking, quite a bit of the convection should start to wane by early this evening, with some lingering past sunset...
although convection will likely linger and persist in the vicinity of the boundary and the approaching closed low aloft.
Long story short, the greatest risk for having a graduation ceremony rained out will be across the northern third of the state, although I would not discount the potential for a rain-out across the central third of the state as well. And while a few showers will affect southern AR, those will likely diminish considerably by early this evening.
After the trof exits to the east, shortwave ridging will take place.
The heat and humidity of summer is not that far away, and Sunday highs will give a bit of a preview of what is to come...with dewpoints in the 60's and highs in the upper 80's to the lower 90's in most areas.
LONG TERM
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 241 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
To begin the period, high pressure will control the weather pattern as an upper level trough will be located across the Rocky Mountains.
By late Tuesday into Wednesday...surface high pressure will push off to the east as a low pressure system moves into the Great Lakes region. This low pressure system will bring a cold front across the state by Wednesday with showers and thunderstorms possible.
Additional unsettled weather will be possible through at least Thursday as another shortwave trough moves over the CWA
It is still too early to mention specific details, but severe weather chances are possible...although on the lower end as of this forecast package. A big question regarding the severe weather chances with the system on Wednesday will be what time of day the storms move into the CWA
Temperatures are expected to be on the warmer side through much of the period. High temperatures are forecast to be in the mid 80s to lower 90s with overnight lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
Higher humidity will likely make temperatures feel slightly warmer.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 74 62 83 63 / 50 20 20 0 Camden AR 80 63 86 65 / 20 30 20 0 Harrison AR 72 59 82 60 / 60 30 10 0 Hot Springs AR 78 62 85 65 / 50 40 10 0 Little Rock AR 79 65 85 67 / 60 50 20 0 Monticello AR 79 66 85 67 / 30 30 40 0 Mount Ida AR 78 60 85 63 / 50 40 10 0 Mountain Home AR 73 60 82 60 / 60 20 10 0 Newport AR 75 63 83 65 / 70 30 20 0 Pine Bluff AR 79 65 85 66 / 40 40 30 0 Russellville AR 76 62 85 64 / 60 40 10 0 Searcy AR 76 62 84 63 / 50 40 30 0 Stuttgart AR 77 66 83 67 / 50 50 40 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 243 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 241 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
Convection has fired up this afternoon, in particular along what appears to be a residual boundary stretching nearly E-W across north- central Arkansas. Convection is showing very little movement at this time. Storm cells are not persisting particularly long, but continued redevelopment over the same aresas could produce locally heavy runoff.
Aloft, a trof was quickly approaching the area from the west, and was kicking out a few minor impulses riding over the area. The trof should exit the area tomorrow and usher in a temporary reprieve from precipitation. Satellite imagery shows a closed low circulation over eastern OK, and this should move NE overnight into northern Arkansas.
We have been fielding a lot of questions today about whether or not there will be any rain tonight for outdoor graduation ceremonies, and of course whether or not there is a risk for lightning.
Generallly speaking, quite a bit of the convection should start to wane by early this evening, with some lingering past sunset...
although convection will likely linger and persist in the vicinity of the boundary and the approaching closed low aloft.
Long story short, the greatest risk for having a graduation ceremony rained out will be across the northern third of the state, although I would not discount the potential for a rain-out across the central third of the state as well. And while a few showers will affect southern AR, those will likely diminish considerably by early this evening.
After the trof exits to the east, shortwave ridging will take place.
The heat and humidity of summer is not that far away, and Sunday highs will give a bit of a preview of what is to come...with dewpoints in the 60's and highs in the upper 80's to the lower 90's in most areas.
LONG TERM
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 241 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024
To begin the period, high pressure will control the weather pattern as an upper level trough will be located across the Rocky Mountains.
By late Tuesday into Wednesday...surface high pressure will push off to the east as a low pressure system moves into the Great Lakes region. This low pressure system will bring a cold front across the state by Wednesday with showers and thunderstorms possible.
Additional unsettled weather will be possible through at least Thursday as another shortwave trough moves over the CWA
It is still too early to mention specific details, but severe weather chances are possible...although on the lower end as of this forecast package. A big question regarding the severe weather chances with the system on Wednesday will be what time of day the storms move into the CWA
Temperatures are expected to be on the warmer side through much of the period. High temperatures are forecast to be in the mid 80s to lower 90s with overnight lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
Higher humidity will likely make temperatures feel slightly warmer.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 74 62 83 63 / 50 20 20 0 Camden AR 80 63 86 65 / 20 30 20 0 Harrison AR 72 59 82 60 / 60 30 10 0 Hot Springs AR 78 62 85 65 / 50 40 10 0 Little Rock AR 79 65 85 67 / 60 50 20 0 Monticello AR 79 66 85 67 / 30 30 40 0 Mount Ida AR 78 60 85 63 / 50 40 10 0 Mountain Home AR 73 60 82 60 / 60 20 10 0 Newport AR 75 63 83 65 / 70 30 20 0 Pine Bluff AR 79 65 85 66 / 40 40 30 0 Russellville AR 76 62 85 64 / 60 40 10 0 Searcy AR 76 62 84 63 / 50 40 30 0 Stuttgart AR 77 66 83 67 / 50 50 40 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KRUE RUSSELLVILLE RGNL,AR | 4 sm | 49 min | calm | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 79°F | 63°F | 58% | 29.73 |
Little Rock, AR,
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