Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for The Village, OK
March 19, 2024 7:29 AM CDT (12:29 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:33 AM Sunset 7:43 PM Moonrise 1:35 PM Moonset 3:55 AM |
Area Discussion for - Norman, OK
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FXUS64 KOUN 191104 AFDOUN
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 604 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Cold conditions are expected to linger through the morning, with clear skies across most of the region and areas of calmer winds resulting in plummeting temperatures in locations. Some areas will likely see below freezing temperatures, but areas of ~10mph winds as well as the advection of some mid-level clouds through northern Texas will help abate widespread freezing temperatures.
Dry weather is expected to continue through the day on Tuesday, with mostly clear skies and southerly/southwesterly winds continuing.
Highs will continue to climb back above average, with temperatures increasing into the upper 60s/low 70s. With the occasionally gusty winds, dry air advected in from the Texas panhandle, and some available fuels (ERCs ~ 70th percentile), some areas of elevated fire weather conditions are expected in far northwestern Oklahoma Tuesday afternoon.
Winds will diurnally diminish Tuesday evening, however continued warm air and moisture advection into the region will keep things away from freezing temperatures, with lows dropping into the 40s across the region.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Wednesday will continue the brief warm and moisture advection trend as the upper level ridge that developed ahead of a cut off upper level cyclone in the southwestern CONUS will begin shifting eastward as the cutoff low is reingested into the flow. Surface winds will shift primarily out of the south, promoting ample moisture return ahead of the upper level trough moving in Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. With the moisture return, a dryline is expected to develop in the Texas panhandle, which will begin to shift eastward with the progressing upper level trough and associated surface low pressure cyclone that develops. With models indicating enough initial instability (MUCAPE ~ 1000 J/kg) and deep level shear (0-6km shear ~ 50kts), some severe storms are possible initially in western Oklahoma and northern Texas. Precipitation is expected to become widespread as the upper level cyclone providing upper level lifting support and enough moisture through the region.
Precipitation will shift out of the region with the upper level trough Thursday night, and conditions are expected to remain dry through Friday morning. A cold front associated with a larger system in the Great Lakes region is expected to push through the region, resulting in a wide variety of model solutions with regards to the intensity of the cold front as well as potential precipitation with the front. With the wide range of uncertainty, primarily stuck with the NBM with an initial slight dip of temperatures and limited precipitation chances on Saturday. The next best chance for widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures will be with the next longwave trough moving through the region early next week.
Zwink
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 604 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Winds will increase from the southwest later this morning, and then decrease again around sunset. VFR conditions will prevail with only some mid and high level clouds over the area.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 71 47 73 51 / 0 0 20 70 Hobart OK 71 44 73 49 / 0 0 30 70 Wichita Falls TX 71 46 72 53 / 0 0 10 60 Gage OK 75 41 74 42 / 0 0 50 50 Ponca City OK 76 44 75 45 / 0 0 30 60 Durant OK 68 46 70 52 / 0 0 0 50
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None.
TX...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 604 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Cold conditions are expected to linger through the morning, with clear skies across most of the region and areas of calmer winds resulting in plummeting temperatures in locations. Some areas will likely see below freezing temperatures, but areas of ~10mph winds as well as the advection of some mid-level clouds through northern Texas will help abate widespread freezing temperatures.
Dry weather is expected to continue through the day on Tuesday, with mostly clear skies and southerly/southwesterly winds continuing.
Highs will continue to climb back above average, with temperatures increasing into the upper 60s/low 70s. With the occasionally gusty winds, dry air advected in from the Texas panhandle, and some available fuels (ERCs ~ 70th percentile), some areas of elevated fire weather conditions are expected in far northwestern Oklahoma Tuesday afternoon.
Winds will diurnally diminish Tuesday evening, however continued warm air and moisture advection into the region will keep things away from freezing temperatures, with lows dropping into the 40s across the region.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Wednesday will continue the brief warm and moisture advection trend as the upper level ridge that developed ahead of a cut off upper level cyclone in the southwestern CONUS will begin shifting eastward as the cutoff low is reingested into the flow. Surface winds will shift primarily out of the south, promoting ample moisture return ahead of the upper level trough moving in Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. With the moisture return, a dryline is expected to develop in the Texas panhandle, which will begin to shift eastward with the progressing upper level trough and associated surface low pressure cyclone that develops. With models indicating enough initial instability (MUCAPE ~ 1000 J/kg) and deep level shear (0-6km shear ~ 50kts), some severe storms are possible initially in western Oklahoma and northern Texas. Precipitation is expected to become widespread as the upper level cyclone providing upper level lifting support and enough moisture through the region.
Precipitation will shift out of the region with the upper level trough Thursday night, and conditions are expected to remain dry through Friday morning. A cold front associated with a larger system in the Great Lakes region is expected to push through the region, resulting in a wide variety of model solutions with regards to the intensity of the cold front as well as potential precipitation with the front. With the wide range of uncertainty, primarily stuck with the NBM with an initial slight dip of temperatures and limited precipitation chances on Saturday. The next best chance for widespread precipitation and cooler temperatures will be with the next longwave trough moving through the region early next week.
Zwink
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 604 AM CDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Winds will increase from the southwest later this morning, and then decrease again around sunset. VFR conditions will prevail with only some mid and high level clouds over the area.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 71 47 73 51 / 0 0 20 70 Hobart OK 71 44 73 49 / 0 0 30 70 Wichita Falls TX 71 46 72 53 / 0 0 10 60 Gage OK 75 41 74 42 / 0 0 50 50 Ponca City OK 76 44 75 45 / 0 0 30 60 Durant OK 68 46 70 52 / 0 0 0 50
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None.
TX...None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KPWA WILEY POST,OK | 4 sm | 36 min | SSW 15 | 10 sm | Clear | 39°F | 25°F | 56% | 30.16 | |
KHSD SUNDANCE,OK | 6 sm | 14 min | SSW 11 | 10 sm | -- | 39°F | 21°F | 48% | 30.15 | |
KOKC WILL ROGERS WORLD,OK | 12 sm | 37 min | SSW 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 30°F | 23°F | 74% | 30.18 | |
KRCE CLARENCE E PAGE MUNI,OK | 13 sm | 14 min | SSW 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 36°F | 23°F | 60% | 30.16 | |
KTIK TINKER AFB,OK | 16 sm | 1.6 hrs | SSW 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 36°F | 21°F | 55% | 30.14 | |
KGOK GUTHRIEEDMOND RGNL,OK | 22 sm | 36 min | SSW 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 39°F | 21°F | 48% | 30.14 | |
KOUN UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA WESTHEIMER,OK | 23 sm | 14 min | S 11 | 10 sm | Clear | 37°F | 21°F | 52% | 30.18 | |
KRQO EL RENO RGNL,OK | 23 sm | 19 min | SSW 13 | 10 sm | Clear | 36°F | 25°F | 64% | 30.18 |
Oklahoma City, OK,
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