Thursday, November22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Broken Arrow, OK

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 5:12PM Thursday November 22, 2018 4:53 AM CST (10:53 UTC) Moonrise 5:15PMMoonset 6:15AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Broken Arrow, OK
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location: 36.04, -95.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Tulsa, OK
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Fxus64 ktsa 221018
afdtsa
area forecast discussion
national weather service tulsa ok
418 am cst Thu nov 22 2018

Discussion
Surface high pressure currently across eastern arkansas is
expected to begin pushing eastward today as a shortwave over the
west coast approaches the plains. In response... Southerly winds
along with high temperatures close to yesterdays highs should be
common across eastern oklahoma and northwest arkansas today. Wind
gusts 15 to 25 mph across northeast oklahoma combined with highs
in the low 60s will again create areas of limited fire weather
conditions this afternoon. A limited fire danger may remain into
the overnight hours before relative humidities recover as
southerly winds look to increase from west to east with the
approaching shortwave from out west.

A slight chance of rain showers will become possible over parts of
northeast oklahoma late tonight into early Friday morning and
become likely during the day Friday as the wave moves across the
southern central plains. The greater rain chances look to be
across northeast oklahoma and northwest arkansas Friday morning
into early afternoon ahead of the mid upper level trof axis.

Instability continues to look limited at best over the CWA and
will thus continue with no mention of thunder. During the
afternoon hours Friday... Rain showers look to taper off from west
to east behind the frontal boundary as it pushes across the cwa
with chances exiting the region by Friday evening. Behind the
frontal boundary... Clearing conditions will allow for a late
afternoon temperature rally with highs in the upper 50s low 60s
over the western part of the cwa. Highs in the low 50s are
forecast for northwest arkansas.

Southerly winds quickly return along with the warmest day of the
forecast period Saturday ahead of another wave and strong cold
front forecast to move across the region Saturday night and
Sunday. Ahead of this system... Temps in the mid 60s to low 70s
will be possible. These conditions will help to create at least
limited fire weather conditions over the cwa... With some elevated
fire weather dangers over parts of eastern oklahoma where the warm
temps and higher winds should be co-located.

Latest model solutions this morning have shown timing differences
with the wave and strong cold front moving across the plains
Saturday night and Sunday. The GFS is faster compared to the
ecmwf... Though both show the wave moving through southern kansas
and lifting into missouri with precipitation remaining just north
of the CWA closer to the low. Have gone with a blended model
approach for timing and will continue with pops below mentionable
criteria for this time period.

A much colder air mass is forecast to push into the CWA Sunday
morning along with wind gusts in the 25 to around 40 mph range. In
response... Temperatures look to fall during the day across
northeast oklahoma with a slight warm up before falling across
southeast oklahoma and western arkansas. Thus... Used a non-diurnal
temp curve for Sunday temperatures. Falling temperatures combined
with gusty northwesterly winds will create wind chill values in
the 20s and 30s Sunday afternoon evening over the cwa. With the
precip expected to remain to the north... The gusty winds could
again create areas of limited to elevated fire weather conditions.

The colder airmass with temperatures below seasonal average look
to hold over the region into the first half of next week as upper
level northerly flow and surface high pressure remain over the
plains.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tul 62 48 61 39 0 20 80 0
fsm 63 43 54 39 0 10 80 10
mlc 62 48 62 39 0 10 60 0
bvo 62 47 60 34 0 20 80 0
fyv 59 40 52 35 0 10 80 10
byv 60 43 53 40 0 0 80 10
mko 62 47 58 38 0 10 80 0
mio 61 45 55 37 0 10 90 10
f10 62 47 63 38 0 10 70 0
hhw 60 46 64 41 0 10 50 0

Tsa watches warnings advisories
Ok... None.

Ar... None.

Short term... 07
long term... .20


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tulsa - Jones Jr. Airport, OK5 mi61 minN 010.00 miFair34°F30°F85%1026.6 hPa
Tulsa, Tulsa International Airport, OK12 mi61 minS 710.00 miFair41°F30°F67%1025.5 hPa

Wind History from RVS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3S6S7S8S9S12S11S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4S3S4CalmSW3Calm
1 day agoCalmN4CalmCalmNE4N43CalmNE3CalmCalmNE3E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3S4CalmS6SW5SW4Calm43CalmNW3NW4N6N4NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tulsa, OK (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tulsa, OK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.