Friday, May26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Eureka Springs, AR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:00AMSunset 8:26PM Friday May 26, 2017 7:23 PM CDT (00:23 UTC) Moonrise 6:01AMMoonset 8:29PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eureka Springs, AR
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location: 36.41, -93.74     debug


Area Discussion for - Tulsa, OK
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Fxus64 ktsa 262339
afdtsa
area forecast discussion
national weather service tulsa ok
639 pm cdt Fri may 26 2017

Discussion
Forecast was left largely intact for the evening. The main change
made was to insert some low thunder probs along a wsw-ene oriented
surface trough across east central into northeast oklahoma. Some
weak convergence has resulted in a band of agitated CU at times on
vis satellite along the surface trough. Some of the hi-res
guidance does suggest potential for some development. However,
warm temps aloft due to an expansive EML should keep coverage
isolated at best. Hail would be the main threat if a storm
develops.

Lacy

Prev discussion issued 623 pm cdt Fri may 26 2017
aviation...

concerning TAF sites ktul krvs kbvo kmlc kxna kfyv kfsm krog.

Ifr conditions currently for all sites... Although expect MVFR
cigs and visibilities (along with areas of ifr) to develop
later tonight. An isolated thunderstorm or two can't be ruled
out through the overnights hours... Although the primary
development is expected toward 00-03z... Just beyone the scope
of this forecast.

Prev discussion... Issued 408 pm cdt Fri may 26 2017
discussion...

Significant severe weather possible Saturday
Currently a weak frontal boundary extends along the interstate 44
corridor with dewpoints south of the boundary rising into the low
to mid 70s. Furthermore, 12z regional soundings sampled a broad
region of steep lapse rates with resultant high potential
instability across much of the forecast area. This instability is
currently capped and is expected to remain so through tonight. The
exception will be in vicinity of the aforementioned boundary late
tonight as upglide may be sufficient to realized a few
thunderstorms from far NE ok into far NW ar. Any storm which does
form will have potential to be strong.

The main severe weather focus will take shape during the day on
Saturday and continue through Saturday night. Data remain
consistent in developing extreme instability amidst strong deep
layer shear profiles. This environment will remain capped through
much of the day with convective initiation focusing on the cold
front and dryline boundaries. Furthermore a larger convective
complex passing across ks and western mo is likely to place an
outflow boundary into NE ok and far NW ar by late afternoon.

Placement and orientation of these boundaries will be instrumental
in convective placement and evolution, and will also be key in
what severe hazards are realized. A favored scenario is initial
supercellular development capable all severe hazards with a local
tornado threat especially in vicinity of any outflow boundary.

Storms may then evolve into broken lewps capable of destructive
winds. Regardless of the exact scenario, the environment will
favor significant severe weather potential which should be the
focus of any awareness messages. Outdoor venues and recreational
activities should understand the weather hazard potential and have
a severe weather safety plan.

Severe weather continues through Saturday night while progressing
from north to south with dry and cooler conditions Sunday and
Monday. The pattern transitions to that typical of early summer
by mid to late next week with increasing moisture amidst weak
flow and subtle forcing.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tul 71 91 65 81 10 30 50 0
fsm 72 89 70 82 10 10 80 10
mlc 74 89 68 80 10 20 70 10
bvo 64 89 62 81 10 30 40 0
fyv 67 85 64 75 20 20 70 10
byv 68 85 65 76 30 30 70 10
mko 71 88 66 79 20 20 70 10
mio 67 86 63 79 20 40 60 0
f10 70 89 66 79 20 20 70 0
hhw 73 88 71 81 10 20 60 20

Tsa watches warnings advisories
Ok... None.

Ar... None.

Short term... 30


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rogers - Rogers Executive Airport - Carter Field, AR20 mi26 minS 910.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F71°F69%1007.7 hPa

Wind History from ROG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE9SE7SE7SE7SE8SE7SE9SE7SE6SE7SE7SE6E7SE4S11
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1 day agoNW4W3CalmCalmSW3CalmSW4CalmS3SE3SE3CalmSE5S6S6S116S8S12
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2 days agoNW6W4NW4W5W6NW8NW7NW5NW3NW6NW7NW6NW8NW7W9NW12NW11NW9NW11
G18
W12W9NW12
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G16
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tulsa, OK (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Springfield, MO
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.