Thursday, September20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kimberling City, MO

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 7:13PM Thursday September 20, 2018 4:28 AM CDT (09:28 UTC) Moonrise 4:06PMMoonset 1:41AM Illumination 79% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kimberling City, MO
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 36.66, -93.46     debug


Area Discussion for - Springfield, MO
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus63 ksgf 200913
afdsgf
area forecast discussion
national weather service springfield mo
413 am cdt Thu sep 20 2018

Short term (today and tonight)
issued at 353 am cdt Thu sep 20 2018
another warm day is expected today across the ozarks as
temperatures will easily warm into the upper-80s to lower-90s.

Today will be much breezier as the surface-pressure gradient
tightens up in association with a strengthening low moving into
the central plains. Southwest winds may gust to 25 mph at times
this afternoon into the early evening.

The main forecasting concern for today will be the coverage of
showers and storms. Current WV imagery shows a weak impulse over
the red river valley. This weak short-wave will move into
southwest missouri this afternoon and may provide sufficient
enough lift to support scattered showers and storms. Guidance
shows MLCAPE values ranging between 1500-2000 j kg this afternoon,
mainly across southwest missouri and extreme southeast kansas.

One limiting factor with today's chances is a pronounced layer of
dry air in the mid-levels. This latter feature will likely hinder
most updrafts.

Long term (Friday through Wednesday)
issued at 353 am cdt Thu sep 20 2018
the upper-level ridge, which has been the dominant feature over
the last several days, has begun to flatten out and move east as
it feels the presence of an approaching upper-level trough. This
trough, currently centered over the great basin, will begin to
lift towards the upper great lakes by Friday as the 300-hpa jet
max rounds the base of the trough. At the surface, a rapidly
deepening low pressure system will eject from the lee of the
rockies and move towards the hudson bay. A cold front will drag
through the ozarks Friday morning, bringing rain and isolated
thunder to the region.

Diurnally, this cold front will not be moving through the area at
a favorable time. In an environment of meager instability and
shear, a broken or ragged line of showers might be the most likely
scenario for Friday morning with any convection being elevated.

Therefore, only a couple tenths of an inch of rain is expected
through Friday morning.

By mid-day Friday, the GFS shows the front slowing down and
stalling near the missouri arkansas state line. The ECMWF shows
semblance of this as well. The greatest forecast concern from
Friday afternoon through Sunday will be determining where the
axis of heaviest rainfall will occur. Current WV imagery depicts
a tropical disturbance located near the gulf of california. There
is good agreement within the deterministic models that this
disturbance will get swept into the general westerlies and move
into central oklahoma Friday evening where it will dump a
substantial amount of rain. This surface wave (with tropical
origins) will then glide along the stalled-out front into northern
arkansas and southern missouri during the Friday night Saturday
time frame. The latest wpc rainfall guidance is showing 1-2" of
rainfall for this area through Sunday. This axis may shift north
or south depending on wherever the surface front stalls out.

Therefore, some degree of uncertainty remains in which areas
receive the most rain.

Beyond this weekend, the weather pattern will likely remain active
as a long-wave trough is progged to move onshore the western conus
and translate into the central plains by Wednesday. Under general
southwest flow aloft, several weak disturbances will ripple
across the region. Thus, shower and storm chances appear likely
through the middle of next week.

Sub-80 degree temperatures are expected this weekend as the cold
front moves through the ozarks. Daily high temperatures may
remain below 80 degrees through mid-week as another cold front
crosses the region.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Thursday night)
issued at 1156 pm cdt Wed sep 19 2018
vfr flight conditions expected through the TAF period. South to
southeast winds overnight in the 5 to 10 knot range will increase
by mid to late morning Thursday. There could be some gusts to 20
to 25 knots throughout the afternoon, especially at ksgf and kjln.

Otherwise, scattered cumulus will develop around midday with
isolated showers storms possible during the afternoon and early
evening hours. These should be mainly confined to areas east of
the terminals. The gustiness in the winds will diminish around
sunset.

Sgf watches warnings advisories
Mo... None.

Ks... None.

Short term... Albano dsa
long term... Albano dsa
aviation... Raberding


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Branson, MO16 mi33 minN 010.00 miFair77°F68°F74%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from BBG (wind in knots)
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
-12
PM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5CalmS5SE6SE9SE8S8SE6S5CalmSE5S5S5CalmS4Calm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW6CalmCalmS8S4S5CalmCalm--CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmSW4CalmCalmCalmCalmS5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Springfield, MO (5,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Springfield, MO
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.