Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Point Arena, CA
March 19, 2024 1:18 AM PDT (08:18 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:12 AM Sunset 7:22 PM Moonrise 1:31 PM Moonset 3:57 AM |
PZZ930 Pigeon Point To Point Piedras Blancas Between 150 Nm And 250 Nm Offshore- 826 Pm Pdt Mon Mar 18 2024
Tonight - N to nw winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
Tue - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming variable. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
Tue night - Variable winds less than 10 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
Wed - S to sw winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
Wed night - W to sw winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
Thu - S to sw winds less than 10 kt, becoming s. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
Thu night - S winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
Fri - S to sw winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to sw. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
Fri night - W winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
Sat - W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft.
Sat night - W winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming nw 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 12 ft.
PZZ900 Cape Flattery To Cape Shoalwater Between 150 Nm And 250 Nm Offshore- 825 Pm Pdt Mon Mar 18 2024
Tonight - N to nw winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft.
Tue - N to nw winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft.
Tue night - N to nw winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming N 5 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
Wed - N to ne winds 5 to 15 kt, diminishing to less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
Wed night - E to ne winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
Thu - E to se winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Thu night - E to se winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S to se 5 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft.
Fri - E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
Fri night - E to ne winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
Sat - N to ne winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming N 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
Sat night - N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft.
Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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FXUS66 KMTR 190604 AFDMTR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 1104 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 134 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Dry weather conditions will prevail through Thursday with a gradual cooling trend. Expect periods of night time and morning low clouds in the favored coastal and valley locations. Then, unsettled conditions are projected to return by Friday and into the weekend.
UPDATE
Issued at 857 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Low stratus clouds are slowly progressing onshore along portions of the North Bay, SF Peninsula, and around the Monterey Bay.
Expect clouds to fill in around the remainder of the coastal Bay Area and Central Coast overnight with patchy fog possible as well.
This is well represented in the current forecast and more information about it is included in the discussion below. No changes necessary this evening.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 134 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Satellite imagery is showing low clouds off of the coast from the San Francisco Peninsula and points northward early this afternoon.
These clouds will spread back inland overnight and to the south into tomorrow morning. Overnight lows are forecast range from the mid 40s to lower 50s region-wide.
Once low clouds erode, tomorrow afternoon temperatures will warm into the upper 50s to mid 60s near the coast and upper 60s to mid 70s across the interior.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 329 AM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
There's good global model agreement that a consolidation of a few lows will take shape over the eastern Pacific Tuesday night into Thursday. On Friday light to moderate rain will begin spreading across the forecast area as the newly formed eastern Pacific low gets nudged eastward. Wet weather is in store for late week and the weekend, with highest rain totals 1" to 1.5" mainly along the coast especially across the coastal hills and mountains.
Relatively lesser amounts of rain will fall over inland locations, with the least amount of rain over the southern interior where a few hundredths to a tenth of an inch are forecast. As always, the forecast can change, especially if convection develops, this could boost local rainfall amounts. Stay tuned to the latest updates.
If planning travel to or across the high mountain country check with your local NWS office(s) or favorite media outlets for forecast details, it'll be cold enough for snow, please plan accordingly if traveling.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1104 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Currently VFR with Night Fog showing stratus starting to approach coastal airport terminals. As mentioned in the 00Z discussion, ceilings will be the main restrictor over visibility tonight with a few coastal sites, HAF and OAR, reporting unlimited visibilities and ceilings less than 1000 feet. Pushed back the arrival of stratus for SFO, OAK, and SJC. Conditions are still breezy at SFO and OAK which may limit fog development potential for the next few hours. Winds will start to drop off between 07-09Z so pushed back stratus arrival to 07Z. Moderate confidence that fog will develop at STS overnight with the highest probabilities between 11-16Z. Moderate confidence that stratus will move into APC overnight with slightly lower confidence that fog conditions will develop.
Vicinity of SFO...Currently VFR with IFR conditions expected overnight. Night fog shows stratus developing to the west of SFO but not quite reaching the airport yet. Pushed back the arrival of stratus at SFO to 07Z with guidance indicating 07-09Z as the likeliest time for stratus to arrive. Breezy northwest winds will gradually weaken and become light overnight. In terms of timing, models already had light winds forecast at 00Z but observations show breezier conditions are still ongoing. Current TAF has winds weakening at 07Z but breezier conditions may linger until 09Z.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...Currently VFR with conditions expected to transition to IFR within the next hour. Night Fog shows stratus beginning to move inland from the Monterey Bay with stratus stopping just shy of MRY and SFO in the latest image. IFR to LIFR ceilings are possible overnight with some potential for fog development in the early morning. Moderate to high confidence that IFR stratus will develop at MRY and SNS, low to moderate confidence that fog will develop. Light, SW winds at MRY and light, NW winds at SNS are expected overnight with moderate NW winds to return during the day.
MARINE
(Tonight through next Saturday)
Issued at 446 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
High pressure over the region will continue the pattern of fair and sunny weather through at least mid Thursday. Winds out of the northwest and light to moderate through at least Wednesday. Come late Thursday, chances of light rain begin initially over the northern waters and winds turn to become more westerly. Through the day Friday, rain begins to slowly move southward. Moderate NW swell gives way to a new longer period NW swell train late today.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 1104 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 134 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Dry weather conditions will prevail through Thursday with a gradual cooling trend. Expect periods of night time and morning low clouds in the favored coastal and valley locations. Then, unsettled conditions are projected to return by Friday and into the weekend.
UPDATE
Issued at 857 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Low stratus clouds are slowly progressing onshore along portions of the North Bay, SF Peninsula, and around the Monterey Bay.
Expect clouds to fill in around the remainder of the coastal Bay Area and Central Coast overnight with patchy fog possible as well.
This is well represented in the current forecast and more information about it is included in the discussion below. No changes necessary this evening.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 134 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Satellite imagery is showing low clouds off of the coast from the San Francisco Peninsula and points northward early this afternoon.
These clouds will spread back inland overnight and to the south into tomorrow morning. Overnight lows are forecast range from the mid 40s to lower 50s region-wide.
Once low clouds erode, tomorrow afternoon temperatures will warm into the upper 50s to mid 60s near the coast and upper 60s to mid 70s across the interior.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 329 AM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
There's good global model agreement that a consolidation of a few lows will take shape over the eastern Pacific Tuesday night into Thursday. On Friday light to moderate rain will begin spreading across the forecast area as the newly formed eastern Pacific low gets nudged eastward. Wet weather is in store for late week and the weekend, with highest rain totals 1" to 1.5" mainly along the coast especially across the coastal hills and mountains.
Relatively lesser amounts of rain will fall over inland locations, with the least amount of rain over the southern interior where a few hundredths to a tenth of an inch are forecast. As always, the forecast can change, especially if convection develops, this could boost local rainfall amounts. Stay tuned to the latest updates.
If planning travel to or across the high mountain country check with your local NWS office(s) or favorite media outlets for forecast details, it'll be cold enough for snow, please plan accordingly if traveling.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1104 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Currently VFR with Night Fog showing stratus starting to approach coastal airport terminals. As mentioned in the 00Z discussion, ceilings will be the main restrictor over visibility tonight with a few coastal sites, HAF and OAR, reporting unlimited visibilities and ceilings less than 1000 feet. Pushed back the arrival of stratus for SFO, OAK, and SJC. Conditions are still breezy at SFO and OAK which may limit fog development potential for the next few hours. Winds will start to drop off between 07-09Z so pushed back stratus arrival to 07Z. Moderate confidence that fog will develop at STS overnight with the highest probabilities between 11-16Z. Moderate confidence that stratus will move into APC overnight with slightly lower confidence that fog conditions will develop.
Vicinity of SFO...Currently VFR with IFR conditions expected overnight. Night fog shows stratus developing to the west of SFO but not quite reaching the airport yet. Pushed back the arrival of stratus at SFO to 07Z with guidance indicating 07-09Z as the likeliest time for stratus to arrive. Breezy northwest winds will gradually weaken and become light overnight. In terms of timing, models already had light winds forecast at 00Z but observations show breezier conditions are still ongoing. Current TAF has winds weakening at 07Z but breezier conditions may linger until 09Z.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...Currently VFR with conditions expected to transition to IFR within the next hour. Night Fog shows stratus beginning to move inland from the Monterey Bay with stratus stopping just shy of MRY and SFO in the latest image. IFR to LIFR ceilings are possible overnight with some potential for fog development in the early morning. Moderate to high confidence that IFR stratus will develop at MRY and SNS, low to moderate confidence that fog will develop. Light, SW winds at MRY and light, NW winds at SNS are expected overnight with moderate NW winds to return during the day.
MARINE
(Tonight through next Saturday)
Issued at 446 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
High pressure over the region will continue the pattern of fair and sunny weather through at least mid Thursday. Winds out of the northwest and light to moderate through at least Wednesday. Come late Thursday, chances of light rain begin initially over the northern waters and winds turn to become more westerly. Through the day Friday, rain begins to slowly move southward. Moderate NW swell gives way to a new longer period NW swell train late today.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...None.
Airport Reports
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