Monday, January22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Puxico, MO

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 5:18PM Monday January 22, 2018 2:06 PM CST (20:06 UTC) Moonrise 10:23AMMoonset 10:42PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Puxico, MO
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location: 36.98, -90.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Paducah, KY
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Fxus63 kpah 221151
afdpah
area forecast discussion
national weather service paducah ky
551 am cst Mon jan 22 2018

Update
Issued at 551 am cst Mon jan 22 2018
updated aviation discussion for 12z tafs.

Short term (today through Wednesday night)
issued at 251 am cst Mon jan 22 2018
a band of heavy showers with some embedded thunderstorms has entered
our western-most counties as of 2 am. Some bowing segments within
the line are currently noted, so can't rule out a strong storm in
our far west counties, capable of transferring some of the strong
winds aloft to the surface (llj starting to ramp up with winds of
55-60+ kts expected at 850mb). Any surface instability resides
down in arkansas, where some stronger convection is currently
noted within this band moving eastward. Overall what little
elevated instability there is wanes heading into the morning
hours. The timing of this convection through the area continues on
track, with clearing from west to east from 12z to 18z.

A nice dry slot moves in during the late morning and afternoon
hours, with breezy conditions and warm temperatures. Nudged highs up
a bit closer to MOS guidance, given that we no longer have any snow
cover and we will have good mixing during the day.

Upper low currently over kansas will push east into the great lakes
region by Tuesday morning. Guidance continues to indicate a
secondary band of convection developing closer to the upper low
later this afternoon, but it should largely stay to our north. May
see some wrap around showers on the backside of the low spread into
our far northern counties during the evening overnight hours.

Otherwise dry conditions for much of the area after this initial
band of convection moves through this morning.

Should still have a decent pressure gradient on Tuesday to result in
a healthy wind, although winds won't be near as strong as today.

Also expecting a good amount of cloud cover on the backside of the
system. Temperatures will be quite a bit cooler, back closer to
normal for this time of year in the 40s during the day on Tuesday
and Wednesday.

Long term (Thursday through Sunday)
issued at 251 am cst Mon jan 22 2018
Thursday into Thursday night continues to look dry with unseasonably
warm temperatures as south winds ahead of our next weather system
pump warm air north. GFS and ECMWF remain in decent general
agreement on the approach and passage of a cold front Friday night
into Saturday, though GFS is now about 6 hours faster than the
ecmwf. GFS brings the front into western potions of the pah
forecast area by 12z Saturday, and the ECMWF holds off until closer
to 18z. The latest ECMWF run is very similar to its 00z run
yesterday, and prefer to lean toward its timing due to the
consistency. The overall solution indicates showers will spread
across the pah forecast area Friday night, with numerous and more
substantial showers expected late Friday night and through the day
Saturday, tapering off from west to east Saturday night. Looking at
several instability parameters, do not see a reason to include
thunder at this time.

High pressure will build in behind the front for Sunday, leading to
dry conditions. Cooler air will filter into our region, and we
should see near seasonal temperatures.

Aviation
Issued at 551 am cst Mon jan 22 2018
band of showers and embedded thunderstorms continues to move east
across the area, with gusty winds extending out ahead of it. Some
ifr MVFR vsby reductions noted with this convection as well. This
activity will continue to end from west to east through late
morning. Some MVFR CIGS are expected for a short while behind the
main band of showers. Main concern through the day will be gusty
south southwest winds of 25-30kts, possibly higher. Some decrease
in speed expected this evening overnight, but still remaining
quite gusty. Mid cloud deck creeps back in this evening, with
guidance suggesting lowering to lowVFR or high end MVFR towards
end of period.

Pah watches warnings advisories
Il... None.

Mo... None.

In... None.

Ky... None.

Update... Sp
short term... Sp
long term... Sp
aviation... Sp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poplar Bluff, Poplar Bluff Municipal Airport, MO20 mi74 minSSW 18 G 318.00 miFair and Breezy59°F44°F58%1002.6 hPa

Wind History from POF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S5S4S5S7S8S6SE7S12S12S15
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S7SW9S10S6S7S12S10S17
G29
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1 day agoS8S8S5S5S6CalmCalmCalmCalmS7S6S8S5S6S6S9S8S10S8S7S10
G18
S9S11S9
2 days agoS12
G22
SW13S7S7S6S6S7S5SW7SW8SW5SW9SW10SW7SW4SW4CalmCalm--S5S5S8S8S9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Paducah, KY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Paducah, KY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.