Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Monte Sereno, CA
March 19, 2024 4:26 AM PDT (11:26 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:10 AM Sunset 7:20 PM Moonrise 1:12 PM Moonset 3:41 AM |
PZZ560 Coastal Waters From Pigeon Point To Point Pinos California Out To 10 Nm- 231 Am Pdt Tue Mar 19 2024
Rest of tonight - NW winds 5 to 10 knots. Wind waves 5 to 6 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 12 seconds and W 2 to 3 ft at 19 seconds.
Tue - NW winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Wind waves 5 to 6 ft. W swell 4 to 5 ft at 14 seconds and W 2 to 3 ft at 19 seconds.
Tue night - NW winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Wind waves around 6 ft. NW swell 4 to 6 ft at 15 seconds.
Wed - NW winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Wind waves around 6 ft. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 15 seconds.
Wed night - NW winds 10 to 15 knots. Wind waves 5 to 6 ft. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 14 seconds.
Thu - NW winds 5 to 10 knots. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 13 seconds and W up to 2 ft at 21 seconds.
Thu night - NW winds 5 to 10 knots. Wind waves around 6 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds and W 2 to 3 ft at 19 seconds.
Fri - S winds 10 to 15 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft and W 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain.
Sat - W winds 10 to 15 knots. Wind waves around 4 ft. W swell 5 to 7 ft. A chance of rain.
PZZ500 231 Am Pdt Tue Mar 19 2024
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay - Greater farallones - .and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries - .
high pressure to continue through mid week with an incoming low pressure system moving into the area on Thursday. Gentle nw winds and dry conditions will linger through Wednesday before winds strengthen and become more southerly late Wednesday into Thursday. Rain chances will increase over the waters late Thursday with elevated precipitation chances continuing into the weekend. A moderate period northwesterly swell continues to diminish with a new, longer period northwesterly swell train arriving Thursday.
high pressure to continue through mid week with an incoming low pressure system moving into the area on Thursday. Gentle nw winds and dry conditions will linger through Wednesday before winds strengthen and become more southerly late Wednesday into Thursday. Rain chances will increase over the waters late Thursday with elevated precipitation chances continuing into the weekend. A moderate period northwesterly swell continues to diminish with a new, longer period northwesterly swell train arriving Thursday.
Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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FXUS66 KMTR 191004 AFDMTR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 304 AM PDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 301 AM PDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Despite the increase in coastal stratus, rain will stay out of the forecast through Thursday. By Friday, a cold front will bring periods of light to moderate rain and cooler temperatures through the weekend.
SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 301 AM PDT Tue Mar 19 2024
The current low-cloud enhanced IR satellite image looks a lot like early summer with a stratus-filled marine layer intruding into coastal areas and neighboring valleys. The cloud base is a few hundred feet lower than yesterday, and the Ft. Ord profiler is measuring the marine layer depth at around 1,000 ft. This makes patchy fog possible later this morning, and there is some indication of mist beginning to form on regional traffic cameras.
The HRRR has a great handle on the current stratus coverage, and suggests the low clouds will break by mid-day, allowing another sunny and warm afternoon.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 301 AM PDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Wednesday and Thursday will be similar to Tuesday. Marine layer stratus and patchy fog in the morning will give way to clear afternoons and warmer than average temperatures. The pattern will change on Friday as a cold front approaches from the Eastern Pacific. Moderate southerly winds will shift to westerly in the afternoon. Light to moderate rain is also expected on Friday, although a few stronger showers are possible as the surface front moves through. Unsettled weather will persist Saturday, although precipitation will be more hit-or-miss showers compared to Friday.
Lingering light showers will likely persist into Sunday. In addition to the rain and wind, the temperature will be noticeably colder this weekend. Expect coastal areas to stay in the 50s, while some inland valleys break into the low 60s. As an example of this cool-down, Pinnacles National Park recorded a high temperature of 79F Monday. The forecast high for Sunday is only 59F.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1104 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Currently VFR with Night Fog showing stratus starting to approach coastal airport terminals. As mentioned in the 00Z discussion, ceilings will be the main restrictor over visibility tonight with a few coastal sites, HAF and OAR, reporting unlimited visibilities and ceilings less than 1000 feet. Pushed back the arrival of stratus for SFO, OAK, and SJC. Conditions are still breezy at SFO and OAK which may limit fog development potential for the next few hours. Winds will start to drop off between 07-09Z so pushed back stratus arrival to 07Z. Moderate confidence that fog will develop at STS overnight with the highest probabilities between 11-16Z. Moderate confidence that stratus will move into APC overnight with slightly lower confidence that fog conditions will develop.
Vicinity of SFO...Currently VFR with IFR conditions expected overnight. Night fog shows stratus developing to the west of SFO but not quite reaching the airport yet. Pushed back the arrival of stratus at SFO to 07Z with guidance indicating 07-09Z as the likeliest time for stratus to arrive. Breezy northwest winds will gradually weaken and become light overnight. In terms of timing, models already had light winds forecast at 00Z but observations show breezier conditions are still ongoing. Current TAF has winds weakening at 07Z but breezier conditions may linger until 09Z.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...Currently VFR with conditions expected to transition to IFR within the next hour. Night Fog shows stratus beginning to move inland from the Monterey Bay with stratus stopping just shy of MRY and SFO in the latest image. IFR to LIFR ceilings are possible overnight with some potential for fog development in the early morning. Moderate to high confidence that IFR stratus will develop at MRY and SNS, low to moderate confidence that fog will develop. Light, SW winds at MRY and light, NW winds at SNS are expected overnight with moderate NW winds to return during the day.
MARINE
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 301 AM PDT Tue Mar 19 2024
High pressure to continue through mid week with an incoming low pressure system moving into the area on Thursday. Gentle NW winds and dry conditions will linger through Wednesday before winds strengthen and become more southerly late Wednesday into Thursday.
Rain chances will increase over the waters late Thursday with elevated precipitation chances continuing into the weekend. A moderate period northwesterly swell continues to diminish with a new, longer period northwesterly swell train arriving Thursday.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 9 AM PDT Wednesday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 304 AM PDT Tue Mar 19 2024
New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 301 AM PDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Despite the increase in coastal stratus, rain will stay out of the forecast through Thursday. By Friday, a cold front will bring periods of light to moderate rain and cooler temperatures through the weekend.
SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 301 AM PDT Tue Mar 19 2024
The current low-cloud enhanced IR satellite image looks a lot like early summer with a stratus-filled marine layer intruding into coastal areas and neighboring valleys. The cloud base is a few hundred feet lower than yesterday, and the Ft. Ord profiler is measuring the marine layer depth at around 1,000 ft. This makes patchy fog possible later this morning, and there is some indication of mist beginning to form on regional traffic cameras.
The HRRR has a great handle on the current stratus coverage, and suggests the low clouds will break by mid-day, allowing another sunny and warm afternoon.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 301 AM PDT Tue Mar 19 2024
Wednesday and Thursday will be similar to Tuesday. Marine layer stratus and patchy fog in the morning will give way to clear afternoons and warmer than average temperatures. The pattern will change on Friday as a cold front approaches from the Eastern Pacific. Moderate southerly winds will shift to westerly in the afternoon. Light to moderate rain is also expected on Friday, although a few stronger showers are possible as the surface front moves through. Unsettled weather will persist Saturday, although precipitation will be more hit-or-miss showers compared to Friday.
Lingering light showers will likely persist into Sunday. In addition to the rain and wind, the temperature will be noticeably colder this weekend. Expect coastal areas to stay in the 50s, while some inland valleys break into the low 60s. As an example of this cool-down, Pinnacles National Park recorded a high temperature of 79F Monday. The forecast high for Sunday is only 59F.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1104 PM PDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Currently VFR with Night Fog showing stratus starting to approach coastal airport terminals. As mentioned in the 00Z discussion, ceilings will be the main restrictor over visibility tonight with a few coastal sites, HAF and OAR, reporting unlimited visibilities and ceilings less than 1000 feet. Pushed back the arrival of stratus for SFO, OAK, and SJC. Conditions are still breezy at SFO and OAK which may limit fog development potential for the next few hours. Winds will start to drop off between 07-09Z so pushed back stratus arrival to 07Z. Moderate confidence that fog will develop at STS overnight with the highest probabilities between 11-16Z. Moderate confidence that stratus will move into APC overnight with slightly lower confidence that fog conditions will develop.
Vicinity of SFO...Currently VFR with IFR conditions expected overnight. Night fog shows stratus developing to the west of SFO but not quite reaching the airport yet. Pushed back the arrival of stratus at SFO to 07Z with guidance indicating 07-09Z as the likeliest time for stratus to arrive. Breezy northwest winds will gradually weaken and become light overnight. In terms of timing, models already had light winds forecast at 00Z but observations show breezier conditions are still ongoing. Current TAF has winds weakening at 07Z but breezier conditions may linger until 09Z.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...Currently VFR with conditions expected to transition to IFR within the next hour. Night Fog shows stratus beginning to move inland from the Monterey Bay with stratus stopping just shy of MRY and SFO in the latest image. IFR to LIFR ceilings are possible overnight with some potential for fog development in the early morning. Moderate to high confidence that IFR stratus will develop at MRY and SNS, low to moderate confidence that fog will develop. Light, SW winds at MRY and light, NW winds at SNS are expected overnight with moderate NW winds to return during the day.
MARINE
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 301 AM PDT Tue Mar 19 2024
High pressure to continue through mid week with an incoming low pressure system moving into the area on Thursday. Gentle NW winds and dry conditions will linger through Wednesday before winds strengthen and become more southerly late Wednesday into Thursday.
Rain chances will increase over the waters late Thursday with elevated precipitation chances continuing into the weekend. A moderate period northwesterly swell continues to diminish with a new, longer period northwesterly swell train arriving Thursday.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 9 AM PDT Wednesday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
RTYC1 - 9414523 - Redwood City, CA | 22 mi | 56 min | S 1.9G | 53°F | 61°F | 30.10 | ||
46279 | 29 mi | 60 min | 53°F | 58°F | 4 ft | |||
46092 - MBM1 | 32 mi | 75 min | NW 3.9 | 53°F | 56°F | 30.11 | ||
ELXC1 - Elkhorn Slough Reserve, CA | 32 mi | 101 min | SSE 2.9 | 52°F | 30.09 | 51°F | ||
MLSC1 - Moss Landing, South Harbor, CA | 32 mi | 41 min | 56°F | |||||
46240 - Cabrillo Point, Monterey Bay, CA (158) | 41 mi | 60 min | 59°F | 3 ft | ||||
AAMC1 - 9414750 - Alameda, CA | 41 mi | 56 min | WSW 1G | 52°F | 59°F | 30.11 | ||
LNDC1 | 42 mi | 56 min | SW 5.1G | 52°F | 30.10 | |||
MEYC1 | 43 mi | 50 min | 59°F | 30.08 | ||||
OMHC1 - 9414769 - Oakland Middle Harbor Met, CA | 43 mi | 56 min | SW 8.9G | |||||
OKXC1 - 9414776 - Oakland (Berth 34), CA | 44 mi | 56 min | SW 5.1G | 52°F | 30.10 | |||
PXOC1 - 9414311 - San Francisco (Pier 1), CA | 44 mi | 56 min | W 6G | 51°F | 30.07 | |||
1801589 | 45 mi | 116 min | NNW 13G | 52°F | 56°F | 7 ft | 30.11 | 50°F |
PXSC1 | 45 mi | 56 min | 52°F | |||||
FTPC1 - 9414290 - San Francisco, CA | 46 mi | 56 min | WSW 1.9G | 51°F | 30.10 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KSJC NORMAN Y MINETA SAN JOSE INTL,CA | 12 sm | 33 min | calm | 10 sm | Overcast | 55°F | 50°F | 82% | 30.09 | |
KNUQ MOFFETT FEDERAL AFLD,CA | 15 sm | 11 min | calm | 9 sm | Overcast | 54°F | 50°F | 88% | 30.09 | |
KSQL SAN CARLOS,CA | 23 sm | 11 min | S 04 | 10 sm | Overcast | 54°F | 50°F | 88% | 30.11 | |
KWVI WATSONVILLE MUNI,CA | 24 sm | 33 min | calm | 1/2 sm | -- | Fog | 48°F | 48°F | 100% | 30.09 |
Tide / Current for Gold Street Bridge, Alviso Slough, San Francisco Bay, California
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Gold Street Bridge
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Tue -- 04:41 AM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 04:45 AM PDT 3.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:11 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:03 AM PDT 8.67 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:10 PM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:38 PM PDT 0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:19 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:35 PM PDT 7.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Tue -- 04:41 AM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 04:45 AM PDT 3.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:11 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:03 AM PDT 8.67 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:10 PM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:38 PM PDT 0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:19 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:35 PM PDT 7.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Gold Street Bridge, Alviso Slough, San Francisco Bay, California, Tide feet
12 am |
7.2 |
1 am |
6.3 |
2 am |
5.1 |
3 am |
4.1 |
4 am |
3.4 |
5 am |
3.3 |
6 am |
4.3 |
7 am |
6 |
8 am |
7.8 |
9 am |
8.7 |
10 am |
8.4 |
11 am |
7.7 |
12 pm |
6.4 |
1 pm |
4.9 |
2 pm |
3.3 |
3 pm |
1.8 |
4 pm |
0.8 |
5 pm |
0.2 |
6 pm |
0.1 |
7 pm |
0.9 |
8 pm |
2.5 |
9 pm |
4.5 |
10 pm |
6.5 |
11 pm |
7.7 |
Tide / Current for Dumbarton Point 2.3 mi NE, South San Francisco Bay, California Current
EDIT (hide/show)  HelpDumbarton Point 2.3 mi NE
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Tue -- 03:13 AM PDT -0.45 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:27 AM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:41 AM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:02 AM PDT 0.73 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 07:12 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:28 AM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:10 PM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 02:41 PM PDT -1.09 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:14 PM PDT 0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:19 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:14 PM PDT 1.30 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:20 PM PDT -0.01 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Tue -- 03:13 AM PDT -0.45 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:27 AM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:41 AM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:02 AM PDT 0.73 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 07:12 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:28 AM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:10 PM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 02:41 PM PDT -1.09 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:14 PM PDT 0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:19 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:14 PM PDT 1.30 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:20 PM PDT -0.01 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Dumbarton Point 2.3 mi NE, South San Francisco Bay, California Current, knots
12 am |
-0.3 |
1 am |
-0.4 |
2 am |
-0.4 |
3 am |
-0.4 |
4 am |
-0.3 |
5 am |
0.3 |
6 am |
0.6 |
7 am |
0.7 |
8 am |
0.6 |
9 am |
0.3 |
10 am |
-0.2 |
11 am |
-0.5 |
12 pm |
-0.8 |
1 pm |
-1 |
2 pm |
-1.1 |
3 pm |
-1.1 |
4 pm |
-0.8 |
5 pm |
-0.2 |
6 pm |
0.5 |
7 pm |
1 |
8 pm |
1.3 |
9 pm |
1.2 |
10 pm |
0.8 |
11 pm |
0.2 |
San Francisco Bay Area, CA,
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